we’ve built 6 full configuration sections with 20+ custom settings ( some of them don't even exist anywhere else yet ) for copy-traders on @Polymarket
full breakdown in the thread 🧵
We’re hosting a $125,000 World Cup Challenge on @jup_predict
If you’re a FIFA World Cup 2026 fan, this one’s for you
All you need to do is correctly predict 5 matches
This isn’t one to miss. Here’s how to participate:
tbh i agree with @thenarrator
prediction markets are still in their early stage, similar to how exchanges existed before perpetual futures were invented.
I believe there is likely another market structure that hasn't been discovered yet, one that solves liquidity without relying on market makers, LP subsidies, or platform-funded losses.
every prediction market mechanism has a core problem it can't escape
CLOB (polymarket, kalshi): needs market makers to function. no MM means empty books. the platform is hostage to the willingness of sophisticated participants to show up and quote both sides. works great for top 10 markets. the other 10,000 markets sit empty because nobody will market make them for the fees available
AMM (traditional DeFi approach): needs LPs who accept that one side of their position goes to zero at resolution. impermanent loss is permanent in binary outcomes. no fee structure compensates for guaranteed 100% loss on half your inventory. LPs either lose money or demand subsidies that make the platform unprofitable
parimutuel (traditional horse racing): no exit before resolution. your payout shifts as more money enters after you. markets must close before events. you're locked in, diluted, and cut off
scoring rules / LMSR (legacy academic approach): the market maker subsidizes all liquidity and accepts bounded loss. generally works for research and play money markets. doesn't scale because someone has to fund the subsidy and the loss is guaranteed
each mechanism solves one problem and creates another
someone needs to build something new