27 PLAYS. ONE MASSIVE WEEKEND. π¨β½
The board is completely loaded for the next 3 days. I have spent the last 5 days breaking down lines across Europe, South America, and the Middle East.We start TODAY with 2 plays before the absolute chaos of Saturday & Sunday.
The 3-day masterclass starts below. π§΅π
The 27-game weekend card starts in exactly 1 HOUR! β°πΈπ¦
We are heading to Saudi Arabia first , followed by evening contrarian play in Argentina. Do not miss the start of this 3-day run. Grab both Friday plays in the thread below! π
I also fixed Telegram issues. New link is up.
27 PLAYS. ONE MASSIVE WEEKEND. π¨β½
The board is completely loaded for the next 3 days. I have spent the last 5 days breaking down lines across Europe, South America, and the Middle East.We start TODAY with 2 plays before the absolute chaos of Saturday & Sunday.
The 3-day masterclass starts below. π§΅π
@SPAINsider Market buying low on hosts after first game they got hammered 5:1 at Andorra.
Las Palmas started with 3 points but now catching similar price like last season on this stadium when they made 1:1 draw.
Seems very easy to click guests ~ 2.40
No opinion from me on most games in Spain this matchweek but last one even it was terrible for me overall with picks ,went 2/2 in πͺπΈ with Santander half win at +0.25 & Celta B +0.5 β οΈ
This weekend one side stand out in Segunda and it is :
Ceuta +0.25 AH @ 1.80 vs Las Palmas ; )
@GefionTips From the value stand point absolutely nothing.
Just sit back , relax and enjoy the fact the Premier League is back.
There are couple market spots in this matchweek but definetly not here.
Sharps are on Coventry but it's more expecting letdown after City game and guessing.
It's hard to say if Arsenal is overpriced as they are the best team in England especially after Guimaraes , Konsa additions but they are coming off 3:0 vs Man City , last season champions , UCL finalists etc.
Possible very early season letdown still could be on the cards and how many times they edged it out vs on paper below average teams.
@hsmtips I don't know if that was a mistake but I saw couple locals open Galatasaray to win at ~1.72
Erzurumspor lost 3:0 vs other newcomer Amedspor.
Whole world is on Galata after their season opener draw yet I see market going now other way - from
~1.37 to now 1.51 at Pinnacle.
Fishy.
@FIFABrit@punter_phil I'm possibly one of the few who also thinks Ipswich +0 is the obvious play
Market made 0 adjustments to this line after Sunderland top 7 finish and them building really solid squad after heavy investments.
Bad teams don't know they are bad very early - applies to Hull & Ipswich
@FIFABrit@punter_phil Sharp money on Hull.
Everyone betting United on 3-way ML and -1.5 yet at Pinnacle already price on their spread is +107.
Went like ~0.20 up since couple days.
Not betting anything here but definetly not playing United away at this odds against anyone in 2026.
@JamieFootyTip One of Arsenal/Man United/Man City will not win imo.
Arsenal already seeing reverse line movement at Pinnacle at -2 (most likely will win)
Man United on the road vs on paper worst team in the Prem , also reverse line movement at -1.5 (now +107 on Red Devils)
Man City lots of "?"
@KingsTopTips Liverpool odds are quite tricky here.
They still in the market for the players while market is now very low on Newcastle after bad season and sales of key midfield pieces.
Pinnacle numbers show that bookies are higher on hosts than general betting public.Rather stay away/watch.
@SkySportsNews Lets be serious , Enzo is a must buy for City.
Bouadi is teenager , Anderson is good but first season in big team and Kovacic/Nico are not really trustworthy with second one still likely to leave.
@datagaffer Sirius train will soon really start slowing down , however today's odds are quite favorable for them to make another win.
Bookies telling us Hacken overperformed so far.
The odds would be ~1.90-1.95 if they expected hosts to stumble again yet they are ~1.70.
Lean Sirius , no bet.
@PitchSideTip It looks decent to be fair as big ACCA but you never know in early season.
Bookies still not sure about Spurs even after rebuild and how can you trust Man Utd away with such low odds.
Even Man City have tricky task with Bournemouth style and lack of midfield depth at the moment
β½οΈ
π¦π· Primera Nacional
San Telmo +0.00 AH -102
We are seeing interesting odds here as San Telmo is a side that last season were simply bang average and this campaign they fell down even more as currently being on far 15th place in Group A and only 1 point above Acassuso team that is currently being placed last.
San Telmo were just dominated away from home , losing 0:3 vs Quilmes and overall arriving here in very bad form off b2b losses and as loser of 5/6 in Primera Nacional.
Deportivo Moron after strong previous campaign , finishing 4th in regular phase and then falling short in fighting for a promotion - now are doing even better , pushing hard for 1st spot in Group A.
Moron is now 5 points off leaders Ferro but with 1 less game played.
Deportivo won first game vs San Telmo this season 1:0 , while being priced ~ 1.55 on 3-way line.
Now they are doing much better than them yet bookies made adjustments against them with basically even odds on both sides here which makes very little sense.
This game is looking like another trap and bookies are happy to take $$$ on Moron with safe +0 AH line - don't fall for it.
27 PLAYS. ONE MASSIVE WEEKEND. π¨β½
The board is completely loaded for the next 3 days. I have spent the last 5 days breaking down lines across Europe, South America, and the Middle East.We start TODAY with 2 plays before the absolute chaos of Saturday & Sunday.
The 3-day masterclass starts below. π§΅π
β½οΈ
πΈπ¦ Saudi Pro League
Al Diriyah 3-way ML +110
I need to add it as the price here clearly stands out.
It is another play on the favorite but this weekend I like a bunch of them to deliver.
Al-Hazem was really solid team last season in Saudi Pro League , finishing on 9th place but even they already started with b2b wins , beating newcomers Abha 2:1 in the league and Al Bukiryah 3:2 in domestic cup we are seeing bookies not really being sure about their overall strenght or strenght of this wins.
Al-Hazem is not really impressive in terms of foreign players but they made one under the radar addition to their attack , bringing super scorer of Jagiellonia Bialystok from Poland - Afemico Pululu.
Bookies straight up placing them as significant home underdogs after good last season and also start of new campaign tells you a lot.
They simply rate quite highly other newcomers they will face today - Al Diriyah.
Guests started the season with b2b defeats but their strenght of schedule was already very hard as they started with league game against #3 team from last campaign and Asian Champions League winners - Al Ahli and then drew current SPL champions - Al Nassr in domestic cup.
Al Diriyah lost both games but against Al Ahli they already put good fight , losing only 0:1 while also winning xG battle 1.35 to 0.96.
Against Al-Nassr the 1:4 score is very missleading as game was much more even with xG's : 1.82 to 1.93.
Al Diriyah is a team that added good known foreign players in the summer like Djimsiti , Mbemba or Gueye.
Bookies straight up telling you at home they would be a big favorite over a team that was mid table on this level last season.
Al Diriyah also kept French striker Laborde who scored 28 goals on 2nd tier last season.
Bookies expect this to be prime opportunity for them to get on the winning track - back them.
@haydencr_08@Allthings__THFC Thats true , wouldn't be surprised if he performs better at Spurs but he got so many opportunities to prove himself and he looked simply poor time after time.This is highest level , no bigger team will wait for his potential forever.
Recap 17.08-20.08 :
5-1-1 , +35.13 units
(10/10 flat stake system)
β½οΈπ¨πΏ Fotbal Trinec +0.50 AH -119 β οΈ
β½οΈπ·πΈ Teleoptik +0.50 AH -117 β οΈ
β½οΈπΊπ² Colorado Rapids +0.00 AH +103 β οΈ
β½οΈπΊπ² Vancouver Whitecaps -1.00 AH -108 βοΈ
β½οΈπ§π· Botafogo SP +0.00 AH -110 β¬οΈ
β½οΈπͺπΊ Lech Poznan -1.00 AH -123 β οΈ
β½οΈπͺπΊ Dinamo City +0.50 AH -102 β οΈ
Much needed very good start to the new week , including easy 2-0 in European Q yesterday.Especially happy on that Dinamo City winner as I was really the only one on them.
Many sharp and contratian sides on the pitch ready for this weekend across the globe.Plays will be split between X and my free Telegram channel so make sure you are in it as well ; )
β½οΈ Midweek Betting Slate
I have 4 selections locked in from today to Thursday.
Starting today in π¨πΏ 2nd tier and finishing on Thursday with πͺπΊ Conference League Q.
Bounce back week.All picks and breakdowns will be updated daily π