Gabriel Lopes

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@chiamakaafc Dí Maria

[Evan @EvanWritesOnX]

On the Spain/Morocco matter.

• This isn’t about traffickers or a court ruling that went viral.

• It’s about who controls the only land border between Africa and the EU. Morocco decides how hard it is to reach Ceuta. Spain does not.

• 50,000 crossed in one day. 48,000 were sent back the next under a deal struck in hours. That tells me it’s not chaos. It’s a demonstration of control on Moroccos behalf showing it can turn the tap on and off.

• The real issue underneath is Western Sahara. Spain still refuses to fully recognise Moroccan control there. Morocco wants that settled before Spanish politics changes.

• The other issue is Spain and Algeria.

• Europe already pays Morocco hundreds of millions to keep the border quiet. Every time numbers spike, the money and political favours get bigger, not smaller.

• Markets barely moved. Spanish stocks hit new highs. No panic in bonds. Investors treated this as routine bargaining, not a real crisis.

• Europe’s first response was to threaten Spain’s open-border status while praising cooperation with Morocco. The country controlling the border got support. The country receiving the people got blamed.

• The timing matches annual UN decision on Western Sahara in October.

I’ll write a full article on this.

[Evan @EvanWritesOnX]

No one is bombing Israel unless it's strictly the Shia Axis of Resistance.

And even then, the axis is subdued to how confrontational it is allowed to be against Israel.

I don't know why people don't understand this.

The Arab states CANNOT bomb Israel.

There's underlying reason that dates back to 2023 as to why this is.

The 2023 deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia was not just a public relations exercise.

It was a deal to end the 50 year Iranian Shia posture.

Both sides had reached the limit of what endless proxy warfare could deliver.

Saudi Arabia could no longer absorb drone and missile hits on its oil infrastructure while trying to fund Vision 2030.

Iran could no longer sustain isolation, sanctions pressure, and the cost of arming every Shia militia from Yemen to Lebanon while its own economy and regime legitimacy eroded.

China needed uninterrupted energy flows and a quieter Gulf.

This deal locked in mutual recognition that perpetual hostility was a losing strategy for both.

What we are watching in 2026 is the enforcement of that bargain, not its collapse. Saudi Arabia’s strikes on Iranian-backed militias in Iraq are the cleanup operation, just like everything else has been.

This is not Saudi Arabia choosing Israel over Arabs. It is Saudi Arabia enforcing the agreement that Iran itself signed.

The proxies being hit are the leftover instruments of the old Iranian posture: the export of revolution, the permanent siege of the Gulf, the use of Arab territory as a launch pad against Arab states.

Those instruments no longer serve Iran’s core survival needs. Iran is allowing the pruning because the alternative is a return to open confrontation that would destroy everything in the region and hand full power back to the defense sector.

This same logic explains why no one in the region is attacking Israel right now. The old axis of resistance was a finite-game tool. It existed to bleed opponents, raise costs, and keep Iran relevant through permanent crisis.

Once Iran and Saudi Arabia moved to an infinite-game understanding; regime survival, economic continuity, regional insulation,

the utility of that tool collapsed.

Attacking Israel would re-ignite the very proxy dynamics the 2023 deal was designed to shut down. It would invite American and Israeli escalation back into the Gulf, force Saudi Arabia and the UAE into the open confrontation they just exited, and hand Iran’s hardliners the justification to reverse the rapprochement.

No player benefits from that outcome.

Iran gains nothing by reopening a front that would invite strikes on its own soil and reverse the limited sanctions relief path it needs.

Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf states gain nothing by watching the region burn when their priority is capital accumulation and domestic transformation.

The absence of attacks on Israel is therefore not surrender and not secret alignment. It is the logical result of every major player’s dominant strategy now pointing toward regional deconfliction rather than permanent externalization of conflict.

Even Trump himself refuses to involve Israel in these Iranian strikes. Because Trump represents the faction that wants peace, not war. Because that faction generates higher returns through the former, not the latter.

The hardline factions still embedded in Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon are the ones resisting that shift.

Saudi Arabia is doing the kinetic work, along with the US, to remove them so the broader Iranian state can consolidate the pragmatic course. The expansionist remnants are being discarded so the core Iranian system can survive under the new equilibrium.

At the same time the Arab states are reducing exclusive dependence on the US. The old model where security guarantees in exchange for energy alignment and political deference, no longer match their survival requirements. American guarantees proved conditional, American attention proved finite, and American politics proved volatile.

Saudi Arabia is not choosing sides against the Arab world. It is enforcing the agreement that was supposed to end the most destructive version of Arab-Iranian conflict.

The absence of attacks on Israel is not the result of fear or secret pacts.

It is the result of every major regional player having more to lose from reopening that front than from keeping it closed.

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@deathmaskr @camaradamachado A única forma de botar coleira no sistema financeiro é fazer uma maioria no congresso focado em um projeto soberano.

Só ganha eleição pra executivo quem tem apoio do sistema financeiro e a maior parte dos países do mundo está inserida nessa lógica.

Se não for ele é outro...

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@deathmaskr @camaradamachado O PT nunca teve maioria no congresso.

É por isso que tem que ficar barganhando tudo pra arrancar migalhas da maioria, que é representante das elites.

Depois note a diferença com o México de Lopez Obrador por exemplo, ou mesmo a Venezuela.....

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@deathmaskr @camaradamachado Executivo não muda lei. Vc precisa entender como funciona o Estado que rege sua vida.

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@MatiasBitar1 @taytarantula Chora boludooooo
Maior campeão.
Único a participar de todas edições.
O que mais fez gols.
O que mais fez pontos.

Kkkkkk

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@gstvcms Apostadores, audiência e marketing em cima de Messi para que chegassem até a final, daria muito mais grana do que se fosse Cabo Verde. Ou qualquer outro time. Última copa dele,menino de ouro. Juiz ainda tentou na final roubar mais uma vez, mas nao conseguiram superar a Espanha..

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@DiegoPerezDs @unknowndiego02 Amigo, a Argentina jogou muito melhor que a Inglaterra, é um fato inegável.

Mas o futebol tem regras.....

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@camaradamachado Saci Pererê é dos nossos porra.....

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@TayQuinnnn Vc que é limitado e não enxerga a dimensão de ser a maior de TODOS OS TEMPOS.

Qual, ATUALMENTE, É A MAIOR campeã de todos os tempos?

Qual, ATUALMENTE, foi a única que participou de TODAS as copas?

Qual, ATUALMENTE, foi a que mais fez gols?

A nova geração aprende com a velha

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@TayQuinnnn Eu já vi 2. E nos 40 anos de vida, foi a seleção mais vitoriosa que vi até hoje.

Acorda pra vida, a história do futebol não se resume a insignificantes 24 anos.....

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@Ramon48390404 Eu já vi 2. E nos 40 anos de vida, foi a seleção mais vitoriosa que vi até hoje.

Acorda pra vida, a história do futebol não se resume a insignificantes 28 anos.....

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@Yilder_ome Podemos fazer os dois.

A MAIOR SELEÇÃO DE TODOS OS TEMPOS.

A MAIOR CAMPEÃ.
A UNICA A PARTICIPAR DE TODAS AS COPAS.
A SELEÇÃO QUE MAIS FEZ GOLS NA HISTÓRIA DAS COPAS.

CHORA!!!

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@camaradamachado Respeita o Brasil caralho.....

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@camaradamachado Esse intervalo de tempo foi para criar uma narrativa?

[Gabriel Lopes @solgabriel10]

@IamJesucristo BRASIL HEXAAAAA