$BTC Next strong support $73,000 looking like we have a red 3 day holiday weekend and then look for a bounce on Tuesday!
Happy Memorial Day weekend everyone!!
PPI Release 8:30am ET.
Market expects around 0.3% MoM... nothing dramatic on paper. But don’t get comfortable. It’s not the number alone, it’s how it shifts rate-cut expectations into March.
However my positioning remains unchanged (explained in quoted post)
MEXICO 🇲🇽 | VIOLENCE & MARKETS — WHAT ACTUALLY MATTERS
There’s a lot of noise right now. Some are already calling this the start of a long, ugly drug war.
That comparison is lazy.
2026 Latin America ≠ 2008.
That said it’s also too early to say this is over.
So instead of emotions, let’s talk impact:
🟡 Areas on the Edge (Indirect Exposure)
Gold Miner: LUCA
Already delivered a fast 4–5x, profits taken, now running as a free position.
Silver Miner: SVRSF
Similar story — strong move, smart risk management.
Both operate in Mexico.
Both have been here before.
Both teams understand the terrain — politically and operationally.
These aren’t panic sells. They’re watchlists.
🎯 Ground Zero (Direct Exposure)
Silver Miner: GSVRF
Another multi-X performer, and currently the fastest-growing silver miner in Mexico.
Key fact most miss:
Mexico is the #1 silver-producing country in the world, producing double the output of the #2 country.
The team?
Top-tier.
Well-funded.
Not new to operating in complex environments.
Risk exists — but this isn’t amateur hour.
⚖️ Risk Reality Check (This Is Where People Fail)
Real assets don’t just face politics.
They face:
• Floods
• Droughts
• Earthquakes
• Operational disruptions
This is why diversification is not optional.
Balance speculative plays with large caps.
Never exceed the 1% MAX rule per high-risk asset.
Ask yourself one simple question:
If this position went to zero tomorrow… would my account bleed out — or would it barely sting?
If the answer is “bleed,” you sized it wrong
- P-Circle's Stocks Premium
$BTC Major chunk of Liquidity is now only on the upside near 70's.
So I'm thinking a bottoming this week and rise thereon.
See $SPX.F is Green while $BTC is Red despite being this over-sold… 62-64K bias terms were expected Lows for me as I didn't believe in Lower-Lows before 73K. Still sticking to it.
However, no confirmations locally of a bottom, there's crumbs of Liquidity still left below in 62xxx 61xxx but it is just crumbs compared to what has been wiped last 24 hours in 63-65K region.
Re; the $63K target was meant after 67.2K S/R fail. But we did not Short as lower lows were not my bias before $73K. Would not short here unless 62.7K breaks on Daily, odds of which are low. If happens, then 59,177 is a Target.
Still believe that thesis of finding a bottom before lower-lows and then ultimately rising before failing further lower in months to come only later on. But, If I'm wrong about 73K b4 lower lows Bias, It'll still not effect Macro bias of 65-56K lows into 80’s minimum.
Good thing is that we do know this is a Bear Market and we were very early to accept and set expectations.
Mr. X 🎖️ FREE SIGNAL [This is Not Mr. P]
$YGG SCALP [LONG]
Price now is: CMP TAKEN AT 0.0400
E1: 0.0400
E2: 0.03765
SL: 0.0373 (-3.8%)
Targets
• 0.0405
• 0.0413
• 0.044
• 0.0486+
Note: Move Stop Loss to entry once TP1 is hit. Do not over-leverage!
$BTC Update
63K Level even 62,8xx is Not Bearish
In-fact nearly 12 hours before dump I posted in Telegram clearly that $67.2K S/R (made it risk-free) because if $67.2K S/R breaks, it would lead to "$63K". (Good weekend and weekdays wins, but Transparently almost shorted, but didn't execute)
Well since the 63K test was very much the expectation, So not yet ruling bearish.
Still, The Only Reason I'm cautious to not take new bets is
A) because we're already in XXXXXX Zone (hidden for exclusivity) & I don't wish to double the risk is why only if $BTC comes into ideal most levels like $63.3K - $63.8K, will long not with wide but really tight SL to control combined risk
And
B) because it's likely a full body Candle
Means there can be odds We can potentially range below $65800 for a few days so no rush
BIAS = same i.e. Purple box before new lows
The 73K bias gets invalidated, say, if we dip too low too early this week, example, below $62xxx or $619xx. Is why tight SLs on my recent $BTC long limit, Then better wait 55-58 zone first, or, but then that's a complete different dynamic trade and that'll be taken not for $73K but potentially $84K or so after local low confirmation. Is why that trade is separate study / execution.
Monday Pre-SPX open dumps usually are better to be left alone.
Weekly close above $65073 would be of importance, bare minimum Otherwise will start doubting current lows. Currently I don't. Maybe later on they get taken not now. I can be wrong on anything, in Premium I manage stuff strategically so I do not recommend you leverage on what You read without doing your part in verification, studying, etc...
There’s a new tax rule in the Netherlands that could quietly matter more than people think.
$ASML (NDQ) is the only company in the world that makes the advanced machines needed to produce high-end chips... the same chips companies like $NVIDIA rely on.
Yes, $NVIDIA is about 9x bigger than $ASML. But ASML itself is still huge (around $600B market cap). If something impacts ASML, it can ripple through the entire semiconductor space.
Here’s the key part:
Around 56% of $ASML investors are Dutch. And under this new law, Dutch investors are being taxed on unrealized gains... meaning they can be taxed on profits they haven’t even taken yet.
That can create selling pressure. And if a large chunk of shareholders are affected, it’s reasonable to ask: does this indirectly impact the broader chip sector? Even names like NVIDIA?
This is the kind of macro development that actually matters.
I’m not here to post every loud headline. For example, when the Trump weekend news hit Bitcoin at $66K, I didn’t react because shortly after, SCOTUS news made it irrelevant and price followed trajectory anyway. That’s noise.
This Dutch tax situation is different. It’s structural. And in macro terms, it’s something worth paying attention to.
Also I still believe 7000–7300 will be a serious challenge for $SPX to clear this year.
$BTC
Ego in Crypto will Cost You More Than Any Bear Market Ever Will.
People don’t reject BEAR Market, they just reject the idea that they were wrong.
At 70k $BTC when price had already done the damage, ego finally gave up. That’s where many “accepted” the bear phase and in doing so, realized losses they could’ve avoided weeks earlier.
You didn’t need to fake a narrative. Just like We took $BTC long from 81k to 97k. It was a confirmed long trade inside a broader bear market and the best part is Our SL was already in profits. We won BIG but at the same time didn't turn our back on BEARs
Read that again.
You can know you’re in a bear phase and still trade the upside... That’s called understanding liquidity instead of marrying a bias. Now I see the same crowd finally comfortable saying “yes, it’s a bear market.”
Good. Progress.
But here’s the mistake again…
Accepting a bear market does not mean you refuse to go long. Especially when liquidity is building, and we’ve already crashed nearly 50%.
What exactly do some of you think a bear market looks like? A polite email before it drops?
Liquidity doesn’t care about your labels.
It hunts where the most people feel safe.
And right now… safety feels very crowded.
$ETH, Liquidity & Alt‑Season Conditions – Explained
Look at $ETH Liquidity chart the same way we did for the $SPX: liquidity regimes matter. If you're waiting for Alt‑season since last proper one in 2020-21, watch ETHEREUM more closely than $BTC. It’s a better barometer for Alts performance.
Let's see the pattern of when Alts last took off... There are only two true Alt‑season periods to learn from: 2017‑18 and 2020‑22. In both cases, Bitcoin rallied first and then slowed while capital rotated into smaller coins.
• 2017‑18: Money supply was high and liquidity was loose. That was enough for a decent Alt‑season.
• 2020‑22: Liquidity wasn’t just loose, it was very loose. The money supply expanded, the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet and the U.S. dollar index $DXY were falling, and short‑term interest rates (2‑year yield) were dropping. Those combined factors created a monster rally in Altcoins. A drop in Bitcoin dominance followed, signalling that traders were rotating into riskier assets.
So why was 2017‑18 only “loose” while 2020‑22 was “very loose”? Because in 2020‑22, even though money supply wasn’t as high as 2017‑18, the $DXY and 2‑year yield were dropping and that’s more important than raw money supply. A falling balance sheet and lower yields add more fuel to liquidity than money printing alone.
We don’t bother with 2010‑13 data because Crypto (BTC) was born during a QE environment. To compare apples to apples, we start from 2016 onward.
Why Money Supply alone isn’t enough?
Money supply matters, but it’s not everything. For example, in 2024 the money supply was rising, and $BTC did fine, but $ETH and most altcoins didn’t. They need a special cocktail: loose money supply plus falling yields and a weakening $DXY. BTC can rally in tighter conditions; Alts can’t. The higher you go on the risk curve, the looser the liquidity you need.
What about now (2026)? Right now liquidity is very tight:
• $DXY is moderately high (not supportive).
• Money supply growth is weak.
• The 2‑year yield is elevated and stubborn.
Even with FED pausing its balance‑sheet tightening (QT), the overall mix remains restrictive for alts. That’s why there’s no real Alt‑season yet—and why even $BTC has struggled recently. Though, the Bright Spots:
• The FED’s balance sheet is no longer shrinking aggressively.
• Money supply looks like it could start improving (though it might take a recession or market crack to trigger it).
• $DXY is stable, and while it might bounce (a “dead‑cat” rally), it’s not in a runaway uptrend. This is also mentioned in Report 2-B.
I can’t predict the 2‑year yield with confidence. It depends on too many factors. But until it moves lower, liquidity stays tight.
So what’s the play?
• Don’t expect an Alt season soon. Altcoins might front‑run improving liquidity and rally before conditions fully loosen, but that’s usually after a scare (a spike in yields or DXY).
• Survive the scare. A mid‑year “2‑year yield scare” or DXY spike could be the positioning opportunity before the real easing cycle.
• Be selective. Out of thousands of Alts, only a handful will truly perform. $ETH is the safest bet if you want exposure; it tends to lead Alt‑moves. And when the right conditions arrive, Alt gains can embarrass $BTC and BTC gains can embarrass the S&P 500's.
In Summary: Know the right Alt‑season conditions—as 2017‑18 and 2020‑22 taught us—and compare them to today’s tight regime. Until liquidity loosens again, focus on surviving and positioning.
Now, you're equipped with far more knowledge, hence far more power, than majority on X shouting "ALT SEASON!! ALT SEASON!!!" in literally every other post.
$BTC Survive this year and enjoy next 3
Waiting for confirmations gets you nowhere.
One of my recent 'X b4 Y' speculative prediction suggested we'll rise without breaching $65k-67k zones. When candles were red $BTCUSD & $BTCUSDT chart had inconsistency, Suggesting this inconsistency will Resolve in Favor of USD chart. Hyper Awareness short term target $68.3k done Now✅
I've guided in previous quoted Update that Macro bias remains unchanged. Here's further detailed version:
$SPX / $GOLD very important Chart Page 35 From my Report 2B (image below)
This has confirmed Breakdown last week too. Closing, back-testing below Yellow Trend-Line.
Historically this has either happened during recessions OR during times where Stock Market starts doing nothing for Months and Months, more or less flat, corrective
Which is Why I believe $BTC will only give a Lower High and not a Higher High as $SPX is not going to be upto anything spectacular as long as SPX/GOLD is in this breakdown mode.
However if we get Accelerated Drop in $SPX then things might change short term with even cheaper prices but still the Macro Outlook remains same. Either way nothing to PANIC in Spot-terms
2026 is Midterm year and I'm not convinced $BTC puts a Higher High this year, and some macro factors too. Which is why I believe, Base Case is, Slow chop in $SPX that leads, which results in Crypto bottoming 58K - 65K and then we get a Lower High $84k+ (exact levels inside premium) and down from there with no ATH.
$BTC
You're not late Macro Terms.
Unchanged quoted Bigger move regardless of optional Local lows being tested or not, which is not my bias but just so you know the bigger move is up.
🔁 Just 40 more reposts on quoted post to Unlock My Next 'X before Y' prediction on Bitcoin
Difficult seasons reveal Character.
You've ALL seen While creators outside P-Circle were turning their back on their audience, Your P stood in the storm with you ALL throughout this BEAR market because I believe Leadership is tested in difficult times.
💥Already be witness, I've gone above and beyond with:
* Free 3X Challenge Completed ✅
* 25-26 Consecutive Wins after Nov Crash until first SL ✅
* 3-4 FREE Premium Months ✅
* Free 10 Wins Challenge with 90% Accuracy ✅ (Poll terms I had to do 5 wins and Free Report, but I ended up doing nearly 20 autumnal Free Signals through December-January.
* Macro Report 2-A was also Free and positioned for Continued downfall within correctly timed X b4 Y rallies✅
* Further, Report 2-B was Cash-back too✅
* All Traders & Services access was Free ✅
* Wherever possible, I even provided 1-1 Management or Guidance for Members' Private Trade beyond Premium Signals even! Be witnesses those who received it.
* 1 Free Month of new Macro Investment Channel Alerting You of Next Opportunity✅
And The List goes on, we also now have 13-14 Mr. P only Wins as of Today since last SL already!!!
Even the Team Traders, Volunteers, FAIRLY decent work! Thanking all of them: Altman, Wizard, Jay, Stylekind, Xilam, Mark, Sonics.
We’ve all done our part — and we genuinely hope you’re back on track too.
To The Wholesome Journey 🥂
Mr. P Loves You!