@kvp2688 HEG and Graphite India running near capacity and Chinese tariffs @ 97%.
This will be pure profit for Indian imports, and should continue to drag prices upwards globally
Low sulfur heavy oil up 57% in Japan. While not exactly the same as decant feedstock for PNC, it’s a relevant point to follow.
Decant is 25% cost of finished electrode. That’s a built in 15% cost increase for producers - $500 in Graftech’s case.
$EAF
$EAF
Relevant to upcoming needle coke prices&supply. Hard to sign 1 year firm price contracts with customers if you don’t know what your needle coke price is, and if you can even get enough. As of late June, ICC described low sulfur slurry supply as “extremely tight”
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Carbon and graphite [electrode] prices in the US continued to push higher in June. I see no reason for a slowdown with higher steel prices and impending duties on Chinese/Indian competitors.
https://t.co/Fe3eCosrPY
🚨 Küresel Piyasada Son 24 Saatin En Sıcak Anomalisi
Artan Varlık: Yüksek Saflıkta Doğal Flake Grafit (Natural Flake Graphite)
Yüzde Artışı: Doğu Afrika'daki ana ihracat limanlarında patlak veren lojistik grevler ve arz daralması endişesiyle spotta gecelik +%145 talep patlaması
$EAF
We’ll know shortly whether Flanagan’s speculation of a pet needle coke shortage caused by Iran War is correct. Per Flanagan - China and some Japanese producers source their decant oil from the ME.
About 14% of adults worldwide suffer from tinnitus, often described as ringing in the ears. The long-held belief that patients should simply live with it is finally beginning to change https://t.co/oDsi7YLwOV
$EAF
Relevant to upcoming needle coke prices&supply. Hard to sign 1 year firm price contracts with customers if you don’t know what your needle coke price is, and if you can even get enough. As of late June, ICC described low sulfur slurry supply as “extremely tight”
Mexico’s auto industry is bracing for a blow that could spread well beyond Toyota, after the Japanese automaker said it would move production of its popular Tacoma truck out of the country and into Texas. https://t.co/l6PKsrYzzR
$EAF
Tokai said supply for both needle coke and decant oil to produce carbon black are tight. I don’t expect the situation to improve as the year progresses.
Graftech is going to be the winner with its own needle coke sourced from US domestic decant.
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Tokai Carbon’s 2026 integrated report out today
They expect the large diameter electrode market to grow at 4% a year. This is marginally better than HEG/Graftech’s 3% projection
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Shelf registration for $150M is roundabout 17M new shares issued at $9 and at 200K shares/day average volume, it would take them 85 trading days of constant selling assuming the share price stays constant.
Either mgmt is incompetent, or they see share and volume event.
1/
HEG Ltd closer look at annual report (I don’t own, the single factory concept makes it too fragile for me)
1. Still anticipate 150-200k of UHP demand coming between now and 2030.
2. Breakdown by year:
Last 12 months - 35k
2026-2028 - 105k
2029-2030 - 50k
@srawat85 On Friday Dept of Commerce postponed AD prelim rates against Chinese exporters @ request of Resonac and Tokai. Some traders probably bailing.
Price action of illiquid micro caps😵💫