In a recent post, I claimed prompt caches get evicted long before their advertised lifetime, so idle agents resume at full price as a proof of the impending AI plateau.
I ran 120 trials to check. I was wrong.
https://t.co/yrtjfhEd4o
And the VC subsidy is ending. Unit prices falling ~10x a year, enterprise bills still exploding past $30M because agents multiplied tokens per task 5–1,000x.
The AI plateau isn't pessimism. Under brute-force scaling it's arithmetic.
https://t.co/zVfOApeR7Y
In Q1 2026, US communities blocked or delayed over $130B in planned data center construction. Water, grid strain, noise.
Compute can't scale exponentially if data centers can't get permits.
Why AI adoption is about to plateau 🧵
"But look what it did to coding". Software engineering is an anomaly with peer-reviewed training data and a compiler to catch hallucinations.
Hallucinate a legal argument and no error log appears. The win doesn't travel.
https://t.co/f15HZ5y3O1
At @CMUEngineering, Ph.D. student Mansi Sood recently published work in @PNASNews demystifying how viral mutations & network structure impact epidemics. Her findings shed light on mitigation strategies as well as social contagions like misinformation.
https://t.co/B5aqXuH9Xr
After a harrowing 30 hr flight from Delhi, finally reached Ann Arbor. Went to @blankslatecream, the best ice cream place in the world, to forget the pain.
But, they're closed till Mar 1. ,,
New position for an RA opening in Delhi/Sonepat for a fieldwork based project. Work with a cross-country team of researchers @SoniaBhalotra@OlleFolke@johannarickne . Application deadline: September 12, 2022.
Email resume at: [email protected]
We just updated our persistence of social norms paper. New things added:
- full research design;
- robustness of results; and
- implications for the literature.
https://t.co/k955g0j3s2
@Econ_4_Everyone@pauljferraro