Oil is on the verge of a breakout.
- Hormuz still closed
- The SPR is being depleted
- Bab el-Mandeb is disrupted.
- The Black Sea is disrupted.
The risk for oil prices is increasingly skewed to the upside.
BILLIONAIRE RAY DALIO JUST SAID:
"SELL BONDS, BUY GOLD AND BITCOIN AS A DEBT CRISIS LOOMS."
HE ALSO HOLDS OVER $150 MILLION WORTH OF BTC RIGHT NOW
WE SHOULD WATCH HIS POSITIONS NOW!!
🚨 BREAKING: ABSOLUTE BLOODBATH!!
🇯🇵 OVER ¥20,000,000,000,000.00 HAS BEEN WIPED OUT OF THE JAPANESE STOCK MARKET IN 15 MINUTES.
JAPAN IS NOW AGGRESSIVELY DUMPING ALL U.S. TREASURIES IN A DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO STOP THE COLLAPSE.
THIS IS NOT LOOKING GOOD FOR GLOBAL MARKETS...
Anxiety is the fear before the event
Stress is the fear during the event
Regret is the pain after the event.
Your brain is constantly trying to protect you from what it perceives to be threats
Education, experience and checklists make this easier.
Over $1 trillion has been wiped off the US stock market today
Here’s what’s happened:
S&P 500 -1.3%
Nasdaq -3%
TSLA is the biggest loser out of the Mag 7 with a -5.72% drop
Nvidia is also down big at -3.85%
AMZN & MSFT are the only two out of the Mag 7 in the positive
SPCX has bounced back with a +3% gain
🚨 THE BIGGEST MARKET CRASH IN HISTORY HAS JUST BEGUN!
Most people still think the easy money is ahead.
That's exactly what they believed during the Dot-Com Bubble.
$SPCX is now following the same pattern.
$160 → $185 → $130 → $105
Bookmark this and compare later.
Believing in altcoins is like believing in fairy tales.
99.9% will go to zero.
Most protocols generate no real revenue.
No revenue means no buybacks.
No buybacks means constant sell pressure.
And without hype, there’s no demand.
Bookmark this: stick to $BTC, $ETH, and a few strong narratives like $HYPE and $ZEC.
I just sold all of my bitcoin.
My insider and Washington told me things that will change everything.
First they will end the war with Iran.
Then, they will end the russsia/ukraine war.
After this, they’ll form a new world order led by the US, China, and Russia.
Europe is cooked.
But this will send crypto, and risk assets so parabolic there is no point in holding bitcoin.
Buy altcoins
Buy memecoins
Buy NFTs
Buy the craziest shit you can find because Valhalla is coming.
And it’ll come fast.
Be ready.
You don’t need to be smart in crypto to get rich.
In fact, you probably need to be dumb.
Dumb enough to keep holding and keep buying when the whole world is saying “crypto is dead.”
The “smart” ones always quit too early.
So be as retarded as you need to be to retire your bloodline.
Japan🇯🇵 dropped 70 billion on yen buying interventions this and last month... and the yen has basically undone it all.
Classic textbook move: sharp drop on the intervention, then straight back higher.
USD/JPY sitting near 159 again, testing that channel breakout.
Useless without real policy changes (rate hikes, etc.). Just expensive noise.
Won't be long.
THIS IS MORE DANGEROUS THAN THE OIL CRISIS 🚨
Every major government bond market in the world is selling off simultaneously.
US 10Y at 4.65%,
US 30Y at 5.17%,
UK 30Y at 5.79%,
Japan 40Y at 4.39%
Nobody is buying government debt anymore.
🔴 Japanese government bond yields are BREAKING RECORDS across the curve:
The 40-year Japanese government bond yield has risen to 4.39%, the highest since this maturity was introduced in 2007.
The 30-year yield has surged to 4.15%, the highest since its debut in 1999 while the 10-year yield has risen to 2.79%, the highest level since the 1990s.
This comes as Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi reversed course on Monday, calling for a supplementary budget to fund energy subsidies in response to surging oil prices from the Middle East conflict, after weeks of denying any need for additional spending.
The planned extra budget is expected to require fresh debt issuance on top of Japan's already record 122 trillion yen budget for the current fiscal year, deepening concerns over the country's fiscal trajectory.
Super-long bond yields are continuing the surge as investors are pricing in the prospect of significantly higher bond supply.
Meanwhile, Japan's wholesale inflation surged to a 3-year high of 4.9% in April, bolstering the case for the Bank of Japan to raise rates at its June meeting, with markets currently pricing in a ~70% probability of a hike.
Nothing stops this train.
While Bitcoin gets a lot of attention, it hasn’t played the safe-haven role many expected. In my view, there are a few reasons why.
First, Bitcoin lacks privacy. Transactions can be monitored and potentially controlled, which is why central banks aren’t looking to hold it.
Second, it also has a high correlation with tech stocks. When investors get squeezed in other areas of their portfolio, they sell their Bitcoin to cover it.
Third, it’s a relatively small and controllable market, whereas gold stands alone. There is only one gold.
Ultimately, gold is more widely held, deeply established, and still plays a central role in the global system.
The AI revolution is driving historic market momentum:
The S&P 500 excluding AI names is up +16% over the last 2 years and is trading below its February all-time high.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 as a whole is up +42% and has posted 15 all-time highs year-to-date.
The S&P 500 has now surged for 6 consecutive weeks, its longest winning streak since October 2024.
Over this period, the index is up +16%, while the S&P 500 equal-weighted index is up +8%.
This comes as 10 stocks have driven 69% of the S&P 500's gains during this time, with the remaining 490 representing just 31%.
Alphabet, $GOOGL, NVIDIA, $NVDA, and Amazon, $AMZN, alone accounted for 15%, 10%, and 8%, respectively.
The AI race is accelerating.