Sparsity

Data-first research for the trenches

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

https://t.co/7OZdP7haXY

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Sparsity is free from today, for everyone.

We've removed the paywall. Research pieces and coin pages are open in full, and the Telegram alerts only need a free account. If you started a free month, it's cancelled and you won't be charged.

https://t.co/OkXsPEPKtE

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Are whales buying your coin, or selling it to you?

Net flows is live. See who's buying and selling every coin in the index, by holder size: whales, sharks, dolphins and fish.

Free at the link below

https://t.co/Ndx1DL6wuK

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

New on Sparsity: The Heat Map.

Coins in our index, sized by market cap, coloured by their performance.
Switch from price to holder strength and see which ones are actually gaining holders.

Free, updated daily.

https://t.co/3slDuRArKA

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

The Sparsity Fear and Greed Index is live.

One reading for each chain, 0 to 100, built from launchpad activity, trading bot fees and whether holders are adding or leaving.

Today only Solana sits at a neutral score.
All other chains are in fear.

https://t.co/LbylaBDi1U

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

https://t.co/w6cNzUt37r

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

You can now pay for Sparsity Analyst in crypto.

Checkout takes USDC on Solana, Base, Ethereum or Polygon. Pay once for 1, 3 or 12 months, with no subscription to cancel.

Cards still work as before.

https://t.co/cnt7eZAI6Z

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Market cap alerts are live today for Sparsity Analyst users.

You can now enable alerts for certain price levels directly through Sparsity - our Telegram bot notifies you once it happens.

https://t.co/cnt7eZAI6Z

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Today we're launching Sparsity Analyst

Here's what you get:

Telegram alerts. Choose the coins you follow and the conditions that matter to you, such as bottom signs appearing or holder strength crossing a level, and our bot notifies you when they're met.

A full page on every coin in our index, with a short profile of the project, what moved and why, each metric day by day, holders over time, the bottom signs in full, past drawdowns and a comparison with its peers.

Our view on each coin, and the posts and articles worth reading.

Full access to our research.

We'll keep adding features for Analysts. The holder strength index and the bottoming map remain free for everyone.

We know the past month has been rough onchain, so the first 30 days are on us.

https://t.co/HOvmpO7g5U

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Most coins move together on a dip. Last week almost every coin in our index went down, and the median one lost 35%.

They didn't all fall the same way, though. Five went up, between 25% and 70%. Five more dropped only 3% to 13% while the median coin on their launchpad or chain dropped around 30%. Some lost more than half.

That spread is relative strength: how each coin holds up against the coins from its own launchpad or chain. It exists onchain like it does in any other market, and a dip is when it's easiest to see, because every coin is under the same pressure at once.

The map shows every coin we measure against its peers.

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

"it's bottomed" is the most expensive sentence in crypto.

We built a page that shows which coins actually have, and which are still getting there, read from what holders are doing on-chain, not from the chart.

https://t.co/KWfwzVaRYK

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Are you exit liquidity?

Our Holder Strength Index ranks trending coins by how strong their holders really are, so you know if you're buying into conviction or into a dump.

First beta is available now, and free, at https://t.co/CswazdLQd0

We'll be adding coins daily. Drop which ones you'd like to see in the comments.

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Most of last cycle's biggest memes looked boring right before they went parabolic.

Before their biggest move after launch, 7 of the 8 winners we studied spent weeks or months going sideways. The typical wait was about two months. It ranged from 25 days for SPX6900 to roughly 10 months for PEPE and BONK. FARTCOIN was the only one that trended straight to its top.

Look at POPCAT. It sat between $6M and $13M through February 2024 and bottomed at $6M on Feb 3. It broke out on Feb 29 and was at $358M by April 1.

The pattern repeats across the chart. The low came inside the range, weeks before the breakout. WIF and SPX6900 even dipped just under their ranges right before running. Once they went, the typical move took about a month from breakout to peak: BONK 113x the range top, SPX6900 53x, POPCAT 29x, MOG 17x.

The bottom row is today's consolidating leaders in the same view. AI, BONER, CASHCAT and PONS are 25 to 35 days into ranges of their own.

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Last cycle's biggest memes all looked dead at two months old.

By day 60, PEPE, WIF, BONK, FARTCOIN and the rest had each already come back from two or three drawdowns of 50% or more. Today's leaders on Robinhood Chain and Solana are on the same track.

Look at the blue box in the bottom left. The dashed orange icons are last cycle's winners at two months old, the blue ones are today's leaders. They sit right alongside each other.

What came next is the part most people seem to forget during these drawdowns. From day 60 to their top, the winners grew a median of 15.9x, and they had a median of 4 more drawdowns along the way. Every single one went through at least one more 50% drop before it topped and nobody got the 15.9x without sitting through the drops.

Worth mentioning: This only includes coins that went on to win, so it's what winning looked like, not how often it happens. We'll be tracking these leaders daily.

[Sparsity @sparsitydata]

Today's research firms cover crypto at the majors or protocol level, leaving onchain traders with little insight into the day to day rotations.

Introducing Sparsity

We track what they miss: daily wallet flows, holder strength, and attention metrics across the trenches.

All research is free, brought to you by @0xkioto and @ArtofConviction