Anth0__4

Peace ✌️

[Anth0__4 @spartaco_93]

@atulit_gaur 🤨

[Menthor Q @MenthorQpro]

Volatility Smile Checklist and Current Observations.

Bookmark it.

[Nonzee @0xNonceSense]

0% taxes is not a dream...

if you live in crypto havens.

How to cash out crypto tax-free in 2025👇🧵

[Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes]

I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k.

Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter cause “transitory inflation”. JAYPOW told me so.

I’ll expound on that in my next essay, that’s the TLDR for your TikTok peanut brain.

[Bourbon Capital @BourbonCap]

Stanley Druckenmiller is a name every investor should know. He ran Duquesne Capital for 30 years, averaging 30% annual returns with zero down years.

Let’s dive into his stock-buying criteria, recent performance, and tips!

[huss 🌊 🟦 @Husslin_]

I believe the market wants to squeeze up

I shorted the news yesterday as the market was buying into an obvious event (the only surprise would’ve been announcing BTC purchases without congressional approval). The down move cleared a bunch of OI

Now let’s look at the medium-term picture. We’re one of the largest perp MMs and we have been seeing a weird dynamic leaving us pretty net long over the last 2 wks:
- price goes up -> people short
- price goes down -> people short

(An easy heuristic to track this is to follow perp permium vs spot, MMs will usually be long if premium is neg for a sufficient time. Oversimplification bc OI/spot context also matter, but u get the idea)

Hyperliquid can also give some insight into positioning: global bias among largest traders has been overwhelmingly short over the last 2 wks (https://t.co/ZY5Sh97aFO)

Finally, I expect price to follow narrative, adding further reflexivity. If price goes up, Trump’s actions are now bullish, and more buyers pile in.

[ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ @hamptonism]

Black Scholes, Volatility & Gamma:

[dittochu_ @dittochu_]

https://t.co/iAUfbUt0IQ

[Stacy Muur @stacy_muur]

Inflation eats away at your yields.

This bull run has made that painfully clear.

Take $SOL, for example, as highlighted by @duonine:
• Market cap: $122B.
• Price: $258.For contrast, in 2021, the market cap was $75B—and the price was the same.

Now, $TIA:
• ATH market cap in January: $3.3B.
• Current market cap: $2.6B.
• Price in January: $20.
• Price now: $6.

Need more examples?

$SEI:
• ATH market cap: $2.8B.
• Current market cap: $2.25B.
• Price then: $1.03.
• Price now: $0.53.

$ARB:
• ATH market cap in March: $4.6B.
• Today: $3.8B.
• Price in March: $2.1.
• Price today: $0.8.

$TAO:
• Already surpassed its ATH market cap of $4.6B.
• Did the price hit a new ATH? Close, but not quite.

$ENA:
• Very close to its ATH market cap: $2.12B vs. $1.84B now.
• Price then: $1.49.
• Price now: $0.64.

The message is clear: start paying attention to inflation.

Altseason is already here, but most of the assets you’re holding are inflating at a crazy speed.

[Capital Flows @Globalflows]

Christmas Gift 🎅🎄

Macro Rate Matrix Dashboard Launch (100% FREE)

- Spreadsheet providing you tools for the macro regime
- Drivers of compound returns
- All of the educational material you will ever need on growth, inflation, liquidity, and interest rates

Merry Christmas frens

[ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ @hamptonism]

Insightful Bloomberg Terminal introduction series!

[HangukQuant @HangukQuant]

🚨🚨🚨alright it's hangukquant's birthday, so I am going to do a GIVEAWAY. super long since i done one - about 20k worth of quant content to give out.

here are the prizes with (# winners) I will allocate. last time I did this I got 500 signups, good luck!
https://t.co/8X6XMDVz3T

all you gotta do is rt and like this, maybe comment and tell me happy birthday or that you hate me or whatever lol🤣.

cheers! love you guys (some, at least) the form is here

[Conks @conksresearch]

As financial markets have experienced widely unforeseen turmoil, dollar funding markets have remained surprisingly subdued. That is except for one key benchmark turning haywire. The latest repo market dislocation has emerged... 1/

[Capital Flows @Globalflows]

Bitcoin Breakdown Thread: Macro Liquidity, Bitcoin Positioning, and Current Risk Reward

[Carl ₿ MENGER ⚡️🇸🇻 @CarlBMenger]

Normie: „#Bitcoin is too complicated.“

Fiat: Hold my beer

[Philip Swift @PositiveCrypto]

Short-term Holder Realized Price acting as support for #bitcoin AGAIN this cycle. Let's see if it holds.

[Cred @CryptoCred]

To new followers:

I have one of the most comprehensive trading resources that I’ve refined and updated over 7+ years.

Technical trading, risk management, leverage trading, and more.

All for free with no sales funnel or anything.

A good place to learn 🫡

[Conks @conksresearch]

Concoda's Mega 🧵 of Macro Megathreads:

[Stacy Muur @stacy_muur]

Incentives drive inflation in token economies.
But with proper growth rate, protocols can thrive despite inflation.

Discover how to analyze fundamentals vs. tokenomics for winning strategies ↓

[GravitySucks @Gravity5ucks]

Ooops we did it again.

In this thread the explanation of why gamma exposure from dealers are influencing the @DeribitExchange liquidity on the orderbook of swaps contracts.

1/