March 15th NBA Picks Recap: Daily Record 3-0 🧹
Not only did we sweep our free picks going 3-0 but i also swept all my VIP discord picks going up 4.15 units and 13.05 units with a 29% ROI 🔥
Pick #1 - C. Cunningham u37.5 pts + ast ✅
Pick #2 - S. Alexander u7.5 ast ✅
Pick #3 - A. Sengun o25.5 pts + ast ✅
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Underdog & Chalkboard Fantasy April 4th Promo Alert 🚨
If you are not already signed up on both Underdog and Chalkboard fantasy, they are running a special today for the NBA when signing up through the link in my bio or using code SPENCER 🏆
Underdog Fantasy - Giannis Antetokounmpo o0.5 pts free square + deposit match up to $1000 in bonus credits ⭐️
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April 5th, NBA Pick #2 🧪 - Mike Conley Over 1.5 Rebounds:
Do not play the bump, pivot to o6.5 RA.
The 76ers allow the 6th most rebounds to guards, and in games against bottom 15 teams in this category while playing with Randle, Gobert, and Edwards, Conley is over in 90.9% of games.
Additionally, 11 of the last 15 guards have gone over their rebound lines vs. the 76ers, averaging 27% more rebounds than usual.
Conley grabbed 7 boards in his last matchup against Philly, but that was without Gobert.
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Credits to @propsmadness for the graph and stats📊
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April 5th, NBA Pick #1 🧪 - Tyler Herro o28.5 Points + Rebounds:
He faces the Bucks, who rank bottom 10 in both points and rebounds allowed to guards this season.
Over his last 5 games, he’s averaged 18.8 shot attempts, and in 3 games against the Bucks this season, he’s averaged 20 shots while going over his rebound line in 2 of those 3.
He should see at least 14 shot attempts and 8 rebound chances tonight, and in games with that volume, he’s cleared this line in 7 straight.
Also, 60% of the last 15 similar players have cleared their rebounding line against the Bucks, and 67% have cleared their points line.
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Credits to @propsmadness for the graph and stats📊
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April 4th NBA & MLB Picks Recap: Daily Record 3-2
NBA Pick #1 - T. Haliburton o9.5 ast ✅
NBA Pick #2 - Z. LaVine o18.5 pts ✅
NBA Pick #3 - S. Curry o5.5 ast ❌
NBA Pick #4 - S. Curry o11.5 PA ❌
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MLB Pick #1 - T. Edman o1.5 HRR ✅
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April 4th, NBA Pick #1 🧪 - Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists:
If bumped, take him for a double double. He’s cleared this line in his last 13 games when playing 30+ minutes and in his last 10 games with 15+ potential assists, averaging 12.4 assists in that span. The Jazz are a prime target, allowing the most assists overall and to guards this season. They also rank bottom 3 at defending assists from above the break and within the two-point arc, where Haliburton generates 50% of his assists. In his only game against them this season, he only had 6 assists, however that was on 19 potentials meaning his team mates just couldn't knock down shots.
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April 4th, NBA Pick #2 🧪 - Zach LaVine Over 18.5 Points:
In their last meeting, LaVine exploded for 42 points. Charlotte allows the 12th most points to guards and struggles to defend LaVine’s key scoring zones—above the break and the restricted area—where he generates 71% of his points.
He’s also over this line in 10 of 12 games when playing with Sabonis and DeRozan while facing teams outside the top 10 at defending points by guards.
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April 4th, MLB Pick #1 🧪 - Tommy Edman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI's:
He’s over this line in all 8 games this season, averaging 2.75 HRR per game.
As a switch hitter, Edman always gets the natural advantage at the plate and thrives hitting righty against left-handed pitching.
He had a .412 avg with a 249.6 wRC+ against lefties in 2024.
He faces Phillies lefty Jesús Luzardo tonight, who has struggled vs right-handed hitters in 2024, holding an 8.74 ERA, .267 BAA, 1.6 HR/9, and a .357 wOBA.
Edman has also had success against Luzardo previously, going 2-for-5 since 2018.
Batting third in a stacked Dodgers lineup, he’ll have plenty of opportunities to drive in or be driven in by elite hitters like Ohtani, Betts, and Teoscar.
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Credits to @OutlierDotBet for the graph and stats📊
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Underdog & Chalkboard Fantasy April 4th Promo Alert 🚨
If you are not already signed up on both Underdog and Chalkboard fantasy, they are running a special today when signing up through the link in my bio or using code SPENCER 🏆
Underdog Fantasy - Luka Doncic o0.5 pts free square + deposit match up to $1000 in bonus credits ⭐️
Chalkboard Fantasy - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o0.5 pts free square + deposit match up to $100 in bonus credits ⭐️
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April 4th, NBA Pick #4 🧪 - Seth Curry Over 11.5 Points + Assists:
LaMelo Ball out, resulting in Curry likely seeing 25+ minutes of action.
The Kings present a favorable matchup, ranking 28th in assists allowed from above the arc and the midrange—zones where Curry generates 46% of his assists.
They also struggle defensively against above-the-break scoring, where Curry gets 36% of his points.
In games where he sees 25+ minutes against below-average teams at defending above the arc, he’s over in 5/7 games, with the two misses landing right on the hook and averaging 16.7 PA.
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April 4th, NBA Pick #3 🧪 - Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Assists:
He’s cleared this line in both meetings with the Nuggets this season, averaging 9 assists on 13.5 potential assists per game.
Denver is a favorable opponent, allowing the 3rd most assists overall and the 2nd most to guards.
They also struggle to defend assists from the restricted area, mid-range, and above the arc—zones that account for 86% of Curry’s assists.
In games with Butler, 9+ potentials, and facing teams ranked 11th or worse at defending guard assists, Curry is over in 11/11, averaging 7.2 assists.
With this game expected to be close, Curry should see his usual or even elevated minutes despite it being the second leg of a back-to-back.
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@nbastats how is this not a rebound, Cade blocks then tips to harries, if he hadn't it would have been out of bounds thus no control for Cade. Once the ball was in Harris' hands, the ball was controlled.
@MattL0cks I'm on this too, I do not think the volume will be there for him tonight and the Clippers are a tough matchup for points in the restricted area