SpiteRock

Sharing investing strategies not found on Wall Street. fka @coveyinvest

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

@StocksOnSpaces https://t.co/bAldYR3HYT

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Nvidia $NVDA earnings call is HAPPENING RIGHT now on @perplexity_ai!

You can read live summaries and transcripts and check out Unusual Whales earnings data LIVE there as well.

Go to Perplexity to see more.

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

@StocksOnSpaces Why are we not reading live transcript and talking over it!!! https://t.co/e7xL75wymU

[Maverick Equity Research @Maverick_Equity]

2024 vs 2016 overlay as 'The Trump Trade': 12 ideas via one Maverick visual for 10,000 words and the U.S. post elections Chart of the Year ... enjoy 👇

How similar is the 2024 markets' reaction to 2016? Visual is after 3 trading days in and until year-end:

➡️ S&P 500 = UP, way stronger than 2016

➡️ US Equities vs International/RoW = UP, very similar like in 2016, outperforming the world

➡️ Small Cap vs Large Cap = UP, similar to 2016, outperforming large caps

➡️ Bond Yields = Mixed, initially up, then down

➡️ Real Yields = Mixed, initially up, then down and now lower than 2016

➡️ Breakeven Inflation = up, similar to 2016

➡️ US Yield Curve = Mixed, initially up, then down and now lower than 2016

➡️ USD (Real vs TWI) = UP, less strong than 2016

➡️ USD (vs CNY) = Chinese Yuan down, like in 2016

➡️ Gold = DOWN, similar to 2016

➡️ Chinese equities = DOWN, way less than 2016 (tariffs … back to US-China focus and show)

➡️ Bitcoin = Up and parabolic relative to 2016, priced in a lot already until the year-end

How closely will markets evolve forward relative to 2016? Which of the 12 ideas? Food for thought … to connect further our own dots … .

✍️ Maverick Food for Thought #2: U.S. Presidency - Does It Really & Deeply Matter? = work in progress, to be released today in a few hours, subscribe for straight to your inbox delivery ... enjoy!

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

@PodContrarian Those are recession stocks. Recession risk down

[Lin @Speculator_io]

A List of Trump Stocks:

Trump Affiliates
$DJT Trump Media & Technology

Banks
$GS Goldman Sachs
$WFC Wells Fargo
$JPM JPMorgan Chase
$MS Morgan Stanley
$BAC Bank of America
$C Citigroup

Energy and Oil
$XOM Exxon Mobil
$CVX Chevron
$COP ConocoPhillips
$KMI Kinder Morgan
$VLO Valero Energy
$BKR Baker Hughes

Defense
$RTX Raytheon Technologies
$LMT Lockheed Martin
$LHX L3Harris Technologies
$GD General Dynamics
$NOC Northrop Grumman
$PLTR Palantir

Crypto
$MSTR MicroStrategy
$COIN Coinbase Global
$HUT Hut 8
$BTBT Bit Digital
$MARA Marathon Digital
$RIOT Riot Platforms

Industrial and Manufacturing
$CAT Caterpillar
$MMM 3M Company
$DE Deere & Company
$HON Honeywell International
$GTLS Chart Industries

Prison Operators
$GEO Geo Group
$CXW CoreCivic

Supporters
$TSLA Tesla

Small-Cap Stocks
$IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
$IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF

#Trump #Harris

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

I’ll share robotics index this week post election, see how this is showing up in equities.

[Brett Adcock @adcock_brett]

Significant progress in AI and Robotics this week.

Big developments from Etched, Runway, Figure, NVIDIA, OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft, Boston Dynamics, ElevenLabs, Osmo, Physical Intelligence, Meta, and more.

Here's everything you need to know and how to make sense out of it:

[Lawrence McDonald @Convertbond]

Market Capitalization

Trump Media $DJT $10.5B
New York Times $NYT $9.2B

Bloomberg data.

[Alexander @AlexfromBabylon]

$RKLB If you want to invest in a deep tech hardware company like Rocket Lab the first rule for me is that the CEO needs to be an engineer, especially in the space industry. If you want to turn your investment in 50x, which is by definition outrageous. You are also going to need a CEO who is a one in a billion engineer 😉

Why?

Every deep tech hardware company is going to have to make very important irreversible hardware decisions that can determine the faith of the company. In addition getting key projects accross the line are crucial for the companies future and process power.

Sir Peter Beck by his own admission spends about 50% of his time being the Chief Engineer and 50% of his time on regular CEO duties. What is extremely rare is that he spends about 30% of his time still directly working on rockets and satellites with tools in his hand. 🤯

Read that last sentence again, that is very rare. Palantir investors would call Sir Peter Beck a forward deployed engineer. He literally is Rocket Lab's MVP.

Imagine the CEO of Boeing hopping on a plane to the production facility to directly work with tools in his hands on the Boeing 737 production problems, solving quality control issues and inspecting planes himself🤣That would be unprecidented. but that is exactly what a company like Boeing needs right now. They need a Sir Peter Beck figure.

Instead the CEO of Boeing and most legacy space companies are MBA's who like to receive production summaries / memo's on their desk and then make a decisions in the board room far away from the production halls that middle management somehow has to figure out and execute. The MBA's don't understand the engineering reality and middle management doesn't understand the strategic considerations. A perfect mismatch. To put the cherry on the cake, the MBA's will visit the production hall once and take along the media team for some staged photo's to convince probably just themselves they are on top of the issue.

How would Sir Peter Beck handle a challenging engineer project?

The recent Archimedes engine hot fire campaign is a great example. It is a crucial milestone in order to get Neutron to the pad in 2025 and it would be a major vote of confidence for investors and future customers if it would be succesfull. If it failed it would really look bad for the company and as such failure was not an option.

How does Sir Peter Beck tackle a problem like that?

Well he is extremely hands-on, he is not going to sit in the board room and wait till the Archimedes engine team is going to send him memo's. He hops on a flight to the Stennis facility and spends weeks with the team to make sure the hot fire is going right. He is not doing that just as a manager shouting commands, no he is working on the engine himself as well with tools in his hand. That's what a true engineering CEO should do. Lead the team through difficult challenges from the front! Imagine how much quality information SPB is getting directly from the team on the ground, versus important logic that is lost in memo's! Finally he doesn't care about how he looks like to the media, never a photo is published where you see SPB working on rockets and satellites. This guy is the real deal.

The most hilarious thing ever was that in that period there was significant FUD spread that the Archimedes engine test was not succesfull. Imagine how hilarious that must be for SPB, who literally spend weeks working with the engine team on the hot fire on the grounds at Stennis. Finally he roasted them with a carefully timed F-bomb. That was a good laugh 🤣

I sleep very comfortable at night, knowing whatever future key engineering challenge for Rocket Lab is going to occur in the future. SPB will be there on the ground with the team, making sure it will be a success!

SPB is also the reason Rocket Lab is going to be a 100 billion plus company someday.

Here is the exact quote:

https://t.co/FcdbeGAbHr

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

One week left to election, we need to revisit the $trump trade. $Trump stocks are moving with prediction markets and going up into the election. Tho winners right now are in the meme bucket.

$trump trade = $RUM $UNP $LNG $CAT $FOX $IBIT $HAL $XOM $ETN $DJT $NUE

[Lin @Speculator_io]

A List of AI Data Center Stocks:

Cloud Service Providers
$AMZN Amazon AWS
$MSFT Microsoft Azure
$GOOGL Google Cloud
$ORCL Oracle Cloud
$BABA Alibaba Cloud
$IBM IBM Cloud

Semiconductors
$NVDA Nvidia
$AMD Advanced Micro Devices
$INTC Intel
$AVGO Broadcom

Server Solutions
$SMCI Super Micro Computer
$VRT Vertiv Holdings
$DELL Dell Technologies
$HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Networking Equipment
$CSCO Cisco Systems
$ANET Arista Networks
$JNPR Juniper Networks
$EXTR Extreme Networks
$FFIV F5 Networks
$MRVL Marvell Technology
$INFN Infinera
$CIEN Ciena

Data Center Operators
$GDS GDS Holdings
$VNET VNET Group
$AMT American Tower

Specialized Cloud
$NTNX Nutanix
$DOCN DigitalOcean

Data Management and Analytics
$PLTR Palantir Technologies
$SNOW Snowflake
$MDB MongoDB
$ESTC Elastic
$GTLB GitLab
$DDOG Datadog
$CFLT Confluent
$NOW ServiceNow

Foundational Models
$META Meta Platforms (Llama)
$MSFT Microsoft (OpenAI)
$AMZN Amazon (Anthropic)
$GOOGL Google (Gemini)

Dedicated Data Center REITs
EQIX Equinix
DLR Digital Realty Trust

Energy Providers
$VST Vistra Corp
$CEG Constellation Energy Group
ETR Entergy
SO Southern Company
PNW Pinnacle West Capital
WEC WEC Energy Group
NEE NextEra Energy
D Dominion Energy
SRE Sempra Energy
DUK Duke Energy

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

Here's my nuclear energy cheat sheet 🧐

Small Modular & Advanced Reactor Developers

$SMR, $OKLO, and $NNE are at the forefront of next-gen nuclear technology with small modular reactors (SMRs) and advanced reactors. SMRs are designed for safer, more flexible, and cost-effective nuclear power generation, adaptable for remote areas or grid support. Advanced reactors from companies like $OKLO and $NNE focus on alternative coolants, longer fuel cycles, and higher operating temperatures to enhance safety and efficiency, positioning these developers to meet rising energy demands.

Nuclear Services & Energy Infrastructure

$BWXT supports both civilian and military nuclear systems, offering critical services and components that ensure reactor development and maintenance. $CEG, $PEG, and $TLN lead in nuclear power production and infrastructure, focusing on modernization to increase capacity and maintain zero-emission power. These companies are pivotal as the U.S. aims to achieve clean energy goals by expanding nuclear power's role in the energy mix.

Established Uranium Producers

$CCJ, $UEC, $LEU, and $UUUU are established leaders in uranium production, crucial for fueling traditional and next-gen reactors. $CCJ’s vertically integrated model spans mining to refining, while $LEU advances high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) production, which is vital for new reactor designs. These firms are expanding capacity to meet the rising global demand for nuclear energy.

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

Almost all of the $Drone stocks are beating $SPY this past month.
$RKLB $PLTR $KTOS $ACHR $LIT $AVAV $EVTL

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

More attention needs to be paid to $Drone related stocks, they are having a big outperformance this past month. Many potential drivers: China lift, defense related, AI peers, spaceX success, election pop...

$RKLB $PLTR $KTOS $ACHR $LIT $AVAV $EVTL

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

Compared to a year of underperformance vs. $SPY

[WALL ST JESUS @WallStJesus]

Companies at risk to Tariffs (via GS)

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

Nuclear stocks are surging as the market recognizes the massive amount of nuclear energy required for AI to reach its full potential -- just look at this week’s performance from the top nuclear names 👇

• $OKLO +112%
• $LEU +65%
• $SMR +36%
• $UEC +22%
• $NNE +19%

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

Betting on which stocks or sectors will outperform under a democrat vs. republican presidency has been a fool's game to play.

Video discussion: https://t.co/TT9F6TwcRi

[Joe Kunkle @OptionsHawk]

Solid Nuclear Theme List

[SpiteRock @spiterock]

@horacekpetr22 @CCM_Brett Would it have been better for $MO if Juul was an incredible success or failure?