๐น๐ผ $TSM pushing ATH right as Q3 earnings season kicks off
Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM ) is trading at $472.78 (+64.1% YoY) and sits just -1% off its 52-week All-Time High, pushing its market cap to $2.5T.
๐ Q3 Earnings Calendar Highlights:
โข Oct 8: PepsiCo ( $PEP )
โข Oct 13: JPMorgan ( $JPM ), UnitedHealth ( $UNH )
โข Oct 14: ASML ( $ASML ), Fastenal ( $FAST )
โข Oct 15: TSMC ( $TSM )
โข Oct 20: Netflix ( $NFLX ), GE Aerospace ( $GE )
Semiconductor behemoths $ASML and$TSM report next week. Their guidance will set the tone for the entire tech market and AI infrastructure narrative into Q4.
๐ $NKE earnings: EPS beat, but guidance gets slashed
Nike ( $NKE ) just reported Q1 earnings. While gross margin and EPS came in above estimates, revenue missed expectations and forward guidance remains weak.
๐ Q1 Highlights:
โข Revenue: $11.21B vs $11.32B est (-4% YoY) ๐ด
โข EPS: $0.48 vs $0.43 est (-2% YoY) ๐ข
โข Gross Margin: 42.8% vs 42.2% est ๐ข
โข Net Income: $0.7B (-2% YoY)
๐จ Forward Guidance:
โข Adj. EPS: $1.15โ$1.35 vs $1.65 est ๐ด
โข Revenue: Expected to decline in high single digits ๐ด
Stock is down -52% YoY and -54% from 52-week ATH. Premium valuation without growth remains a tough sell for Wall Street.
๐ธ Why sell chips when you can finance your own biggest customer?
Broadcom ( $AVGO ) just pledged $42B to Anthropic to help them fund their $125.2B TPU compute bill.
The playbook:
Lend Anthropic $42B
Anthropic buys massive custom compute/ASIC infrastructure from Broadcom
Convert debt to Anthropic equity if they explode
Make Anthropic your #1 client by 2027
Infinite AI money loop or brilliant ecosystem lock-in? ๐๐ฟ
๐บ๐ธ US macro printing a textbook Goldilocks scenario
Inflation is cooling faster than expected while economic growth and labor market metrics continue to outperform expectations.
๐ The Print:
โข Core PCE (MoM): 0.2% vs 0.3% est (YoY at 3.0%)
โข GDP (QoQ Q2): 2.2% vs 1.5% est
โข ADP Employment: 90K vs 73K est
Inflation dropping like a stone without triggering a recession is the exact green light risk assets have been waiting for.
The Soft Landing thesis is playing out in real-time. ๐
๐ฅ $PEP pricing strategy comes full circle
PepsiCo is raising prices on chips, sodas, and dips following a slump in revenue and falling sales volumes.
The catch? Just last quarter, they slashed prices by 15% hoping to revive consumer demand. Safe to say, it didn't pay off.
๐ By the numbers:
โข Stock ( $PEP ): $129.10 (-10.77% monthly drop)
โข Market Cap: $176.20B
โข 52-Week Low: $127.98
Corporate logic at work: when discounts fail to drive volume, shift the burden back to remaining buyers.
Consumers have clearly hit an inflation ceiling, and quick repricing tricks won't easily fix structural demand issues.
$ORCL drops massive earnings beats driven by AI Cloud surge! ๐๐
Oracleโs Q1 results & guidance blew past expectations, sending shares soaring after-hours.
Q1 Results:
๐ต Revenue: $19.3B (+30% YoY) vs $19.14B exp.
๐ Adj. EPS: $1,92 (+30% YoY) vs $1.74 exp. (Beat by 10%)
๐ RPO (Remaining Performance Obligations): $664B (+$209B YoY)
Key Drivers & Outlook:
๐ค AI Cloud Deals: $30B+ in new AI Cloud contracts signed in Q1 alone.
โ๏ธ Cloud Revenue Growth: Expected +65โ71% in Q2.
๐ฏ FY2027 Target: Revenue expected at โฅ$90B with EPS at $8.10.
AI infrastructure demand is showing zero signs of slowing down. $ORCL is cementing its position as a major cloud player. ๐จ
Mistral AI raises โฌ3B at a โฌ21B+ ($24B) valuation! ๐ซ๐ท๐
The European open-source champion closes a massive funding round led by Samsung Electronics, doubling its valuation from last year.
Key Highlights:
๐ฐ The Round: โฌ3B raised ($3.5B equivalent) led by Samsung Co.
๐ Valuation Jump: โฌ12B ($14B) last year (funded by$ASML) โ โฌ21B+ ($24B) today.
๐ Global Expansion: Capital allocated for industrial AI, compute infrastructure, and aggressive growth across the US, Asia, and Europe.
๐ก๏ธ European Sovereignty: Solidifying its position as Europe's premier open-weights alternative to OpenAI/Anthropic.
Big tech hardware giants (ASML, Samsung) are heavily backing open-source AI models. ๐ง Dynamic moves for the AI landscape!
@JensenHuang officially confirmed the massive deal to fully integrate the open-source AI hub into NVIDIA's ecosystem.
Key Takeaways:
๐ค Open-Source Power: Hugging Face serves 18M+ developers, startups, and researchers globally.
๐ก๏ธ AI Sovereignty & Infrastructure: Deep integration with NVIDIA hardware will accelerate custom AI model deployments worldwide.
๐ฐ M&A Supercycle: Powered by record cash flows, $NVDA continues buying up core infrastructure layers to secure its AI monopoly.
This isn't just about hardware anymore โ NVIDIA is solidifying its grip on the entire AI software & developer ecosystem. ๐ $NVDA
$AVGO Broadcom Q3 Earnings: Insane AI Growth Engine! ๐
Broadcom crushed Q3 estimates with YoY revenue & EPS up +86% and +96%! Despite a minor dip due to conservative Q4 guidance, the multi-year AI trajectory is unbelievable:
๐ Q3 AI Revenue: $16.7B (+221% YoY)
๐ฎ FY26 AI Revenue Target: ~$58B (+186% YoY)
๐ FY27 Target: ~$115B (2x growth, supply fully secured)
โก FY28 Target: ~$230B (Another 2x, 4x in 2 years!)
๐ฐ FY28 EPS Target: $30+
Demand for custom AI silicon and networking is far outstripping supply. Short-term dip or massive long-term loading zone? ๐ $AVGO
Tech Earnings Season is in full swing! ๐๐
Despite mixed market reactions, tech giants continue to deliver strong fundamental growth with beats across both revenue and EPS:
๐ป $DELL โ Solid revenue & profit growth, surged +10.12% in overnight trading!
๐ฆ $GTLB โ Strong beats on earnings & revenue, jumping +17.3% post-market.
๐ก๏ธ $PANW โ Beat estimates on both top and bottom lines.
๐ $MDB โ Outperformed Q2 revenue & EPS expectations despite post-earnings volatility.
Fundamentals remain strong across AI infrastructure, cybersecurity, and cloud tech. ๐๐ป $DELL$PANW $MDB$GTLB
According to EMARKETER forecasts, $META is projected to officially overtake $GOOG ( $GOOGL ) in worldwide net ad revenue in 2026 โ $243.46B vs $239.54B.
Projected 2026โ2028 Breakdown:
๐ฆ $META : $243.4B (2026) โ $286.0B (2027) โ $316.4B (2028)
๐ฉ $GOOG : $239.5B (2026) โ $267.7B (2027) โ $298.5B (2028)
๐ง $AMZN : $82.1B (2026) โ $97.1B (2027) โ $111.6B (2028)
Driven by AI-powered Advantage+ ad automation and Reels monetization, Meta is growing at 24% YoY vs Googleโs 12%.
By 2028, these 3 giants will control over $726B in global digital ad spend. ๐๐ป
The AI Money Printer is real. ๐คฏ๐
This comparison is absolutely insane. $NVDA generated $59.7 BILLION in net income in just one quarter.
That is more than 12 of the world's most iconic and dominant corporations COMBINED ($57.9B):
๐ $AAPL โ $29.8B
๐ $WMT โ $6.4B
๐ฅค $KO โ $4.4B
๐ช $PG โ $3.1B
๐ฅค $PEP โ $3.0B
โจ $DIS โ $2.6B
๐ $MCD โ $2.4B
๐ $COST โ $2.2B
๐ $GM โ $1.3B
๐ $NKE โ $1.1B
โ๏ธ $SBUX โ $1.0B
๐ฆ $UPS โ $0.6B
$NVDA isn't just leading the AI race โ it's rewriting corporate finance history. ๐๐๐ป
NVIDIA ( $NVDA ) Q2 Earnings: ANOTHER MASSIVE BEAT! ๐จ๐ข
The AI juggernaut does it again with 100%+ YoY growth across both revenue and earnings:
๐ EPS: $2.22 (Exp. $2.09) โ +111% YoY / +19% QoQ
๐ Revenue: $96.22B (Exp. $92.16B) โ +106% YoY / +18% QoQ
Beat metrics:
EPS Beat by +6%
Revenue Beat by +4%
AI demand isnโt just holding โ it's accelerating. Expect big moves across tech equities and RWA markets tomorrow! ๐๐ป
Post-earnings volatility hits tech stocks hard (in a good way). โก๏ธ
Both $CRWD and $CRM released Q2 earnings today, driving instant after-hours price spikes:
๐ข $CRWD (CrowdStrike): +8.96% (surging to $206.13)
๐ข $CRM (Salesforce): +11.52% (jumping to $229.73)
Big earnings beats are bringing heavy volume and wider ranges to tech equities. Perfect setup for automated liquidity management as momentum builds into tomorrowโs open! ๐๐ป
Michael Saylor is literally hunting bears in full suit & tie mode now. ๐๐ป
When @saylor drops the "Send more Bears" clip created by @LaDoger, you already know another massive $BTC buy announcement is loading for Monday morning.
Strategy's treasury engine doesn't stop. Orange pill execution at its finest. ๐๐
Meta to pay up to $18 BILLION fine over teen safety and overhaul its platforms. โ๏ธ๐ฑ
@Meta reaches a historic settlement regarding youth mental health and product safety:
Key Product Changes for Minors:
๐ Usage Limits: 2h/day cap + night lockout (00:00โ06:00). Parental approval required to bypass.
๐ Feed Restrictions: Option for non-personalized feeds; hidden like counters and reactions.
๐ Compliance oversight: Independent auditor monitoring for 5 years + 10-year safety review commitment.
Financial Settlement Terms:
๐ $12.7B guaranteed payout to US states.
๐ $5.3B conditional payout (if TikTok/YouTube adopt identical terms).
๐ $10B legal charge reflecting in Q3 2026 financial reporting.
Massive regulatory shift for Big Tech social algorithms. ๐๐จ๐
Anthropic is preparing for the largest public debut in market history. ๐ง ๐
Dario Amodeiโs @AnthropicAI is filing its S-1 form to target a $2 TRILLION valuation, raising $100B+ in fresh capital:
๐ Valuation Jump: Doubling its valuation from $950B ($95B raised) back in May 2026.
๐ Record Breaker: Set to surpass SpaceXโs record-breaking $1.77 Trillion debut ($86B raised) from last month.
๐ Timeline: Official S-1 filing coming in the next few weeks, with public trading scheduled within months.
The public market appetite for frontier AI models is completely breaking history books.
Are you bidding the $2T Anthropic IPO? ๐๐ค๐
How Ken Griffinโs Citadel executed the cleanest tech arbitrage of 2026. ๐ง ๐
Here is the timeline of how Citadel acquired and flipped Leopold Aschenbrennerโs $20B+ AI thesis portfolio for massive gains:
๐ June 30: @leopoldaschโs fund Situational Awareness holds a heavily leveraged $20.2B equity/options portfolio stacked on AI infrastructure ( $SNDK, $MU, $BE, $NEBUS, $TSM).
๐ July 1: Citadel (@Citadel) completes a multi-billion dollar buyout of the portfolio in less than 24 hours of due diligence after Aschenbrenner reached leverage limits.
๐ August: Citadel Founder Ken Griffin quietly dumps 80% of the acquired positions straight into the market.
The Result: Most of the underlying tech and semiconductor holdings surged +30% to +60% since the July 1 buyout, allowing Citadel to lock in billions in fast profit while derisking.
Pure market execution by Wall Streetโs sharpest liquidity provider. ๐๐ธ๐
S&P 500 Earnings Momentum just hit its HIGHEST level since at least 2011. ๐จ๐
Corporate guidance is smashing Wall Street expectations at a record pace:
๐ Q2 Beats: 69% of reported S&P 500 companies beat revenue estimates.
๐ Q3 Guidance: 64% of companies raised Q3 outlook above consensus (highest since COVID recovery).
๐ 2026 Outlook: Adjusted earnings projected to grow ~27%โone of the strongest fundamental forecasts in 50 years.
Despite macro fears, corporate earnings fundamentals remain extremely strong.
S&P 500 target 8,400 loading? ๐๐