SportSimulate

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

TB 24 - Dal 16

83% of Money at one Sportsbook was on the OVER.

100% of all in game bets hit UNDER.

https://t.co/F1WHAaO7pT

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

Iowa St at BYU 10-9-26 SportSimulate Preview https://t.co/gVSuHHWYh2

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

If you bet games live, check out https://t.co/Pl3rN8xg9p it’s free. No credit card, no sign up. Check it out.

I built it around the data I want in front of me during a game:

• Pregame odds, models & public picks
• Live Spread, Total & Moneyline charts
• Open, High, Low & Current values
• See exactly how the market moves as the game unfolds

One screen. No digging around for the numbers.
https://t.co/Pl3rN8xg9p

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

@Covers In game Over 40.5 feeling very good.

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

TB up 24-10 and -6.5 in game spread.

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

@BFawkes22 One +8 on the board at betrivers

https://t.co/PyV7fr0xrh

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

In game total now 60.5

ATL 21 - 7 NO

https://t.co/U1jk1iLmqx

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

#MNF in game total movement.

Opened 47.5
High 54.5 after ATL 3 play TD
Low 45.5 before NO fumble
Now 51.5 as ATL goes up 14-0

https://t.co/U1jk1iLmqx

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

@smootherthnsilk @sundoglighting @JasonHarmonNFL When is the last time an 0-3 team, on the road, with 0 time outs, scored a TD, recovered an onside kick, and scored a 2nd touchdown vs a top 3 defense in under 2 minutes?

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

@DKBCSuperfan @sundoglighting @JasonHarmonNFL Vs the risk of injury to someone on the offense for 3 kneel downs? Both highly unlikely.

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

@bradclaymusic @sundoglighting @JasonHarmonNFL It did not "guarantee" win to any statistically significant degree more than scoring the TD would have "guaranteed" a win.

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

Its interesting math.

3 miniscule chances (bad snap returned for a TD) that would mean losing the game vs

Odds Miami scores, recovers onsides kick, and scores again with 0 time outs in under 2 minutes.

The straight odds likely favor the kneel down but for me I would take a two possession lead and force my opponent to get 3 consecutive rare things right vs 3 snaps very unlikely to go wrong but if 1 snap goes wrong likely to lose the game.

The actual math is something like ~0.03% chance Miami wins (3 snaps at ~0.01% odds of a bad snap AND 99 yard return) vs ~0.05% odds Miami scores, recovers onsides kick with new rules, then scores again. 6% score a TD less than 90 seconds AND 6% onside recovery AND 15% get 15-30 yards and make a FG in under 30 seconds with no time outs.

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

In game spread moves NYJ +10.5 to -6.5 with the INT.

[Action Network @ActionNetworkHQ]

THE STREAK IS OVER!!!!!!!!!!!

Minkah Fitzpatrick gets the Jets first interception in 637 days 🤯

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

Buffalo moved from -6.5 open to -2.5 after NE TD on their first drive.

https://t.co/PbO3Zw6FG6

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

Four Week 4 NFL Top OVER bets by share of money

Lions–Panthers: 97%
Texans–Cowboys: 92%
Bengals–Jaguars: 83%
Rams–Eagles: 82%

Bet with the public? Against it? Or wait for a better live TOTAL number in game?

https://t.co/uGqnl6gicv

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

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SportSimulate charts can be used by writers, publishers, newsletters, podcasts, and betting shows to illustrate how a game and the live market actually moved.

Use the images in articles or social posts, or embed the live/replay experience directly on your site.

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[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

Washington opened +4.5.

Then the live market started moving:

• Recovers a fumble → +2.5
• Settles for a FG → +1.5
• Drives 70 yards for another FG → -2.5, flipping to the favorite
• Back-to-back punts → +2.5
• Interception → -1.5
• Turnover on downs → +2.5

Same game. Same team. A 7-point swing in the live spread driven possession by possession.

This is exactly what SportSimulate is built to show.

https://t.co/Y297J0K8pe

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

8 Drives in the First Quarter

Colts = Fumble, 3 and out, 3 and out, 5 and out
Was = 8 yds FG, 70 yds FG, 5 and out

Spread moved between Was +4.5 to -2.5
Total moved from 49.5 to 38.5

Visualize all of this at https://t.co/Y297J0K8pe

Looking for publishers, bloggers, and show hosts who want to use this in their content.

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

@BettingPros The in game line changes from Was +4.5 to Wash +2.5 and is now +1.5

https://t.co/7rKlJ1KTie

[SportSimulate @SportSimulate]

Tonight’s games are up on SportSimulate.

Pregame market data, live odds movement, and postgame review are all available free.
NFL, NCAAF, MLB and more.

https://t.co/bx6OA14LZe