Spreadspoke

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[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Spreadspoke's NFL Week 3 power rankings by ELO rating:
#1 Seattle (1713 ELO)
#2 Bills (1658)
#3 (tie) 49ers & Patriots (1612)
#5 Vikings (1600)
Bottom 3: Titans (1291), Jets (1359), Falcons (1399)
Oddity: Las Vegas 2-0 & #29/32 ELO (1403)
ELO differential predicts spread #NFL 🏈

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Bills #1 in power ratings by the experts @SamHoppen

[Sam Hoppen @SamHoppen]

Week 3 NFL Composite Power Ratings!

Sources:
@ESPN (FPI)
@greerreNFL (nfelo)
@inpredict (Inpredictable)
@KevinCole___ (Unexpected Points)
@FTNFantasy/@ASchatzNFL (DVOA)
@PFF (PFF)

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

@Gino_BetOpenly nice rankings... vikings most controversial one on spreadspoke's ELO-based ratings...

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

2025 NFL Week 3 6-4 ATS for 0-2 teams
Dolphins (+12.0) ✅
Panthers (+4.5) ✅
Bears (+1.0) ✅
Browns (+7.5) ✅
Texans (+1.0) ❌
Chiefs (-6.0) ✅ v Giants (+6.0) ❌
Saints (+7.0) ❌
Jets (+6.5) ✅
Titans (+4.5) ❌
#nflpicks #nfltwitter #spreadspoke

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

@therewillbebets interesting... if you go by decade from my data the edge essentially vanishes 🤷‍♂️
1970s: 52%
1980s: 52%
1990s: 46%
2000s: 45%
2010s: 62%
2020s: 58%
Last 15 years (2011-2025): 60%

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

@PFF Spreadspoke ranks Seahawks #1 ... Bills #2 🏈.. biggest difference is Vikings

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Over the last decade (2016–2025), NFL underdogs in Week 2 are cashing at 56% ATS (86-67-6) #nflpicks #nflgames #spreadspoke

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

NFL 10-Year Bankroll Drainers (2016–2025): Cleveland 🟫 (63-97-5 ATS, 39.7%) and the ✈️ NY Jets (66-93-6 ATS, 41.8%) stand as the worst ATS teams over the last 10 seasons. 🏈#NFLpicks #Gambling𝕏

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

NFL Week 1 Scoring Breakdown (2016–2025):
🏈 Indoor/Domes: 48.98 Points Per Game (52.1% Overs)
🏈 Outdoor Stadiums: 42.80 PPG (60.7% Unders)
🏈 ALL games total points scored: 44.7 PPG
🏈 ALL games points line: 45.5 PPG
#nflgames #nflpicks #NFLFans #spreadspoke

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Decade-Long NFL Cover Machines (2016–2025)
🦁 Detroit Lions: 90–72–3 ATS (55.5%)
🎨 Pittsburgh Steelers: 89–71–5 ATS (55.5%)
🐅 Cincinnati Bengals: 87–71–6 ATS (54.9%)
🐐 New England Patriots: 88–73–4 ATS (54.5%)
The worst? Cleveland Browns 💩: 63–97–5 ATS (39.7%) #NFLPicks 🏈

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

NFL is back! 12 games at 3.5 or fewer. First double-digit Week 1 favorite since 2016. Historic data lines, scores, totals since 1966 at Spreadspoke. #NFL 🏈🐨 #Gambling𝕏

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

NFL season is almost here.
New year. New lines. Same mission.
We’re locked and loaded for every spread, total and upset.
Who’s ready?
#NFLPicks

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Who’s ready for some football? #NFLTwitter #NFLPicks 🏈

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Fascinating read on “the computer” and info advantages in sports betting. This hunch still holds “One day Kent had a hunch that longer-than-average journeys to away games might hurt a visiting football team’s chances.” #gamblingX #vegas https://t.co/sH9Enx1Mvq

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

🏈 Super Bowl LX total at 45.5 — one of the lowest in modern NFL history! Since 2000, only 4 Super Bowls have opened with a lower O/U line:
Super Bowl XXXV (2000 Season - Ravens v Giants): 33
Super Bowl XXXVIII (2003 - Patriots v Panthers): 37.5
Super Bowl 50 (2015 - Broncos v Panthers): 43
Super Bowl XXXVII (2002 - Raiders v Bucs): 44
#SuperBowlLX @Patriots @Seahawks

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

🏈Super Bowl O/U is razor-close
51% Over vs 49% Under across all 58 games #SuperBowlLX #Gambling𝕏

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

Over under at 45.5 for the big game #SuperBowlLX During the 2025 season the Pats 60% Over, Seahawks 61%.

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

🏈Super Bowl O/U History (58 games)
Total record: 29 Overs – 28 Unders – 1 Push
Over hits 51% of the time #SuperBowlLX #Gambling𝕏

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

@OddsShark 🧐 Spreadspoke model has Seahawks by a field goal (SEA -3)

[Spreadspoke @spreadspoke]

@MCbets__ Pats