Buying Bitcoin and holding it in cold storage with with a long term outlook is the absolute best way to have longevity in this space without headache, fear or stress.
Keep it simple.
🚨 $SPCX IS FOLLOWING MY PLAN PERFECTLY
Since its IPO, $SPCX is down over 50% and is following same path as biggest IPOs
Look at Palantir in 2020
Same IPO. Same retail FOMO. Same dump off top
Put charts side by side - they're almost identical
Here's how I see next moves:
$111 → $140 → $120
$120 → $97 → $60
$60 → $95 → $110
$110 → $250 → $365
It may look confusing, but 99% of major IPOs follow same pattern:
1st step - Massive hype → retail piles in → small post-IPO rally
2nd step - 50-100%+ rally ends → whales distribute → dump below IPO price
3rd step - Downtrend begins → 60-80% drop from IPO → cycle bottom forms
4th step - Bottom is in → whales accumulate → 3-6 months of chop → first 50%+ breakout
5th step - Major uptrend begins → retail FOMOs back in → 150-200% rally over next 6-12 months
Right now, $SPCX looks like one of the best investment opportunities of 2026
IMPORTANT: I've already called major $SPX crashes,
$BTC's $126K ATH and every major drop since $96K publicly
Those who were following me saw those calls first
Turn notifs on so you don't miss my next market calls...
stop ignoring yourself. fix your posture. get a fresh hair cut. take care of your skin. drink water. eat food that gives you energy. get fit. stop looking sloppy. when you look good. you feel good. when you feel good. you do good. put in the effort. invest in yourself. it's good for your energy.
People often ask me what they should read. I assembled 38 works on history, war, uncertainty, liberty, capital, energy, technology, and Bitcoin for leaders making consequential decisions. Read to remember. Read to reason. Read to build. Upgrade the world.
$BTC: Report of the Century:
Today I am making one of the biggest announcements since I sold the top in September 2025. I am taking profit on every single crypto short. The Bitcoin short built between $115,000 and $125,000 is closed now with a gigantic gain. The $80,500 short, built between $79,000 and $82,000, is closed with another massive profit. The 100+ altcoin shorts I opened over the last several months are also closed, locking in another enormous win on top. The time of drinking tea is over. Congratulations to everyone who ignored the noise, trusted the framework and followed me from September 2025 until today.
Buying Bitcoin Spot:
For the first time since September 2025, I am buying Bitcoin spot again. Today, I entered at $64,000 for the absolute long term. For the first time since 9 Months I am buying Bitcoin for the long term! It is the beginning of a structured accumulation strategy, and I will execute it with the same discipline that allowed me to sell the top.
The Accumulation Strategy
Everyone who followed my strategy at $115,000–$125,000 remembers exactly how it worked. Every day Bitcoin traded inside that zone, I sold 10% of my spot position and added shorts. I did not care whether BTC was at $116,000, $120,000 or $124,000. Now I am doing the exact same thing in reverse. Every day Bitcoin remains between $54,000 and $64,000, I will buy 5% of my allocated capital in spot Bitcoin. Not 10% this time, but 5%, because I want to spread the accumulation across a wider period! If Bitcoin stays at $62,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it drops to $56,000, I buy. If it wicks into $54,000, I become more aggressive. If it returns to $64,000, I still buy. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this zone of 54-64k I am buying every day with 5% of my entire capital limited to 20 days.
The Technical Zone and Sentiment Shift
The legendary weekly MA200 sits in this region and is now being tested from below. Bitcoin already reached the lower section of this area last week. The top of the 2024 consolidation box also aligns with it. More importantly, sentiment has completely flipped. And I need to say, there are more bears, much more bears than bulls outside, and I dislike being one of many. The same people who were screaming for $150,000 at the top are now desperately waiting for $40,000. X is flooded with targets of $50,000, $45,000, $42,000 and $38,000. Retail is once again standing on one side of the boat, convinced the market owes them the perfect entry.
Front-Running the Herd
Since I announced the 50-40k region as my deeper bear-market target, most of crypto X has copied the same narrative. They copied everything, The market is not blind. The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below $50,000. They know people are terrified to buy at $64,000 because they have convinced themselves they will receive Bitcoin at $40,000. I am not going to stand behind the herd and beg the market for the same price as everyone else. I am front-running them. And the next that is following is also going to increase the price and so on, and the chain will be continued and those who are waiting for lower can stay there waiting forever.
Just because the four-year cycle worked at the top does not mean it will work at the bottom. Right now, everyone is waiting for September or October as if the market has already programmed the bottom into the calendar. Do you understand how insane that is? Ask anyone when they plan to buy and they will tell you September or October. Ask them why and they will repeat the same answer: because of the four-year cycle. That is the 1+1 herd behavior. What if the real cycle is not exactly four years? What if it is three years and nine or ten months? What if the market bottoms before the date the entire crowd is waiting for? Bulls are waiting, bears are waiting, and everyone is using the same indicator to justify the same timing. That alone shold cause panic to all waiting for the 4 years cycle to happen. Markets do not reward the masses for memorizing a calendar. I am betting against the four-year-cycle bottom. It is not happening. The bottom comes earlier.
The Structural Shift Around Bitcoin
The deeper reason for the change is not technical. It is structural. The environment around Bitcoin is shifting at a speed most people still do not understand. Regulatory clarity, tokenization infrastructure and institutional adoption are all moving forward at the same time, and the legal framework being built right now has the potential to unlock trillions of dollars of institutional capital that has been sitting on the sidelines or parked in the stock market waiting for certainty. Combine that with Coinbase's institutional buildout and BlackRock's fully operational ETF ecosystem, and we are no longer looking at the same Bitcoin market that existed six months ago. The CLARITY Act could go through on August 10 depending on the Senate, and that is not a small event. There is a reason the entire world is now racing to regulate crypto with full speed.
BlackRock, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange are already inside the DTCC live tokenization pilot. Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ and US Treasuries are being tested as tokenized securities right now, with the official launch planned for October. Stocks, ETFs and Treasuries are moving on-chain, and the largest institutions in the world are adopting blockchain rails while retail is still debating whether the bear market is over. On top of that, Citadel just invested $400 million directly into https://t.co/R0aEy9w9Rx at a $20 billion valuation. The biggest players are deploying capital now, at scale, before the crowd understands what is happening. The infrastructure is being built directly in front of everyone, and I move my capital when the biggest capital in the world starts moving, not after
In Regards of the Stock Market Crash:
I am keeping every single SP500 short open. Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are not at the same point in their cycle. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and continued for nine months while the stock market refused to fall. Bitcoin dropped 52% from 125k to 60k. In the same window the SP500 made new all-time highs. Crypto has already been repriced while stocks remain over valued. Therefore there is a very high probability that the Crypto Market will benefit from a Stock Market crash, as profits will move from over valued assets into under valued assets, and in times of Tokenization Hype, Stablecoin talk and the Clarity Act, these funds will very likely move into the Crypto Market.
One More Thing: I called 40-50k as the target and I was clear about it, I called 60k when Bitcoin was at 120k, and at 60k I said 40-50k is coming, But when the entire crowd on X starts waiting for the exact same level, the market almost never delivers it. Six months ago nobody was calling for sub-50k. Today every single account is. That is exactly when the target gets taken off the table. I now believe we will not see 40-50k at all this cycle. The setup that would have delivered that level is dissolving in front of the tokenization revolution, the CLARITY Act, and the biggest capital in the world moving in. Changing my view when the facts change is what a good trader should do. It is exactly why I made massive profits shorting from 120k, and it is why I am accumulating now while others are still waiting for a bottom that will not come the way they want it.
That is why I am buying now. The crowd has become aggressively bearish and the conditions required for a much deeper collapse are beginning to weaken in front of the regulatory and tokenization revolution. I would rather begin building a position before the crowd understands the shift than chase Bitcoin after confirmation at much higher prices. Buy earlier before the mass starts to understand.
Strategy just paid $292,000 per net Bitcoin.
There are no coincidences.
That’s probably the next cycle top, where price sweeps the high, prints a perfect SFP, and everyone calls @saylor a genius again.
I didn’t realise SWC had a cult following 😂
Let me be clear on a number of things:
1) I have no position yet, though I will notify when I take one as always
2) we could see as low as 5 before the lows are in - I am by no means calling a bottom here (though I am looking for one)
3) I post lots of ideas, some are right, some are wrong - I don’t care in either case, my job is to find asymmetric risk/reward opportunities and position in them with managed risk
4) this setup doesn’t even remotely have any credibility until we break above the blue box.
5) stay tuned if you want to watch me trade this in real time - I reserve the right not to trade it as always. But I do like the setup currently.
6) I am a technical trader - I know nothing of the fundamentals, I trade charts alone
7) as my followers know, the yellow squiggle is not designed to predict price nor time, it is my best guess based on the totality of my experience and knowledge. With that said, the yellow squiggle carries a lot of weight within our community (IYKYK).
8) Patience is mandatory here. The setup as it stands is not tradable. But I think it soon will be. Be professional, which means wait for a confirmed buy signal and manage risk around said signal.
9) I expect to be in position between Sept and Dec - stay tuned.
turns out, reading a lot, exercising, loving people without expecting anything back, protecting your alone time, focusing only on improving yourself, and sometimes staying out late with friends who make you laugh until it hurts is a pretty good way to live.
Let me say this before Gold and Silver Bulls come out the next few weeks.
Gold and Silver are about to bounce - hard!
Not ATHs! But strong B-wave rally - which will make the Bulls think that new ATHs are on the way 😉
explaining to people why taking on a 30 year mortgage for a 95% leveraged asset with a declining population and a median buyer age of 58 for a house is a bad idea
The upcoming (strong) BTC rally is going to be socially exhausting.
Get ready for:
Sudden Experts: Dinner party lectures on fiat collapse from people who can’t explain a blockchain.
Cringe Price levels: "Experts" taking victory laps and screaming ".
Laser-Eye Cults: Absolute tribalism where macroeconomic headwinds are just dismissed as FUD.
Protect your sanity!