Defensive contributions, GW1:
Egan 21. O'Shea 18. Then a wall of 16s — Richards, Armstrong, Stach, Senesi.
Egan hit the highest DC total of the round and still finished on 8 points. Stach turned his 16 into 13.
https://t.co/djySQ93YCS
Our own GW1, in public: 38 points. The average was 50.
Our model projected 36.3, so the squad beat the projection by 1.7 and still finished 7.5m in the rank.
Captain Bruno: 4. Tavernier top-scored on 10. Nine points died on our bench.
https://t.co/zxXcFtomaz
What the top 100 FPL managers actually owned in GW1:
João Pedro 100% — and their captain. He returned 11.
Haaland 52% — he returned 2.
Calafiori 66%, De Cuyper 51%, Palmer 54%.
The elite went Chelsea-heavy and skipped the obvious armband.
https://t.co/hGQidhE4oN
GW1 Team of the Week: 148 points, and the most expensive man in it costs 9.5.
De Cuyper 17. Hinshelwood 16. Mendy 15. Three Hull players start. Tzolakis: 5 saves, clean sheet, 10.
The average manager scored 50.
https://t.co/RaZFxPvAZt
Aston Villa's two most-owned players returned nothing in GW1 — Watkins didn't play a minute.
Over GW2–6 our model's best Villa asset is Buendía: 62nd in the game, 1.2% owned.
Next five average FDR 3.0. No buy here yet.
https://t.co/KY0xm6QKhV
Captaincy isn't the highest average — it's the ceiling, and who else already has him.
GW2: Haaland is in 68% of squads and has the lowest ceiling of our top four. Palmer has the highest, at 13.6% owned.
https://t.co/oRtHcDCYQY
@BettingandFPL The bigger trap than forgetting is moving before Thursday. With an 18:30 Friday deadline the pressers are the last real information you get, so an early transfer is one made without the only news that might have changed it.
@NavyBlue_FPL 14 is the whole gain there, which is thin for a chip - four near-nailed starters in a double gameweek usually clears twice it. A 4.0m defender and a backup keeper are the slots that never grow. Only fire it now if you don't expect a bench worth boosting later.
@blissfullnotess@OfficialFPL Strong start for a first go. The habit worth building early is doing nothing in most weeks - first seasons usually go wrong when a bad Saturday turns into two hits by Tuesday. Rolling a transfer is a real move, not a wasted one.
@FPL_PollTeam Save it unless the move fixes a player who isn't starting. After one round almost every form read is noise, and a rolled transfer buys the right to react to team news you don't have yet. Paying now for information Friday gives you free is the expensive version.
@FPLKamran Captaincy is a floor decision more than a ceiling one, and Haaland at home still has the highest floor of the three. Bruno's case is almost entirely the fixture, and Pedro is a differential punt dressed up as form - lovely if it lands, a lot of rank if it doesn't.
@Kenza_Hichri7 Agreed, a projection is a ranking not a promise, and one player rarely justifies tearing up a plan. With Mbeumo and Shaw already in, a third United asset is more a correlation call than a points one: one flat United week takes three of your starters down at once.
@FPLCosta Bench Boost in GW1 is the one chip you can't really regret - nobody has more information than you did. Rolling is the right call after a flat week too; the free transfer is worth more once the price rises and the team news have told you something.
@timgretton Home to Hull is the best clean sheet spot of the three, and the clean sheet is most of a cheap defender's ceiling. Away at Leeds is the one I'd swerve. Real tiebreak is which of them is actually nailed for 90 - a rotated defender in a lovely fixture still scores you 1.
@FPL_Bros The useful split is what's structural vs what was the fixture. Palmer central and on penalties survives the fixture list. Fulham missing their best centre half does not. Buy the first, never the second.
@fantasyoptimauk One good week at Fulham isn't a role yet. Palmer is the only one of the three whose job is already fixed - central, set pieces, penalties - so he's the one you can buy before the sample exists. The other two I'd want two more starts from before paying up.
@420fpl@RayHarman8 Fair, but price the two risks against each other. Waiting costs you 0.1m at worst. Getting the pick wrong costs a transfer to undo plus whatever he blanks for. If the second choice has the safer minutes, paying the rise on him is the cheaper mistake.
@Utd_rona Agreed - the versatility protects his minutes, it just caps the ceiling. In the RB weeks he still scores as a midfielder, so the attacking returns dry up while the price stays midfield. Fifth mid, never the armband.