NEXT 72 HOURS COULD DECIDE WHERE MARKETS GO FOR THE REST OF THE QUARTER.
Here's what's happening:
1. Tuesday, Consumer Confidence
A weak print signals households are pulling back on spending, a bad sign for the whole economy.
2. Wednesday, FOMC Rate Decision
Markets are pricing roughly a 25% chance of a hike. Any surprise here moves every asset class at once.
3. Wednesday, Microsoft & Meta Earnings
Meta is expected to post EPS near $7.18-7.24 on $60.2B revenue. A miss, or a bigger AI capex number, could hit the entire "Magnificent Seven" the way Alphabet's capex hike already has.
4. Thursday, PCE Inflation
The Fed's preferred gauge. A hot print here raises the odds of a hike even further.
5. Thursday, Apple & Amazon Earnings
Apple's EPS is expected around $1.88, Amazon's around $1.81-1.85. Amazon's AWS growth is the real swing factor for the stock.
6. Thursday, Q2 GDP
Consensus sits near 2.1-2.2%. A weak number alongside hot inflation is the Fed's worst-case combination.
7. Friday, Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Tracks how households expect inflation to move, which feeds directly into the Fed's next decision.
US institutional capital is around $70 Trillion.
Only 0.2% of that is currently in crypto.
Clarity Act will unlock that TRILLIONS in institutional capital sitting on the sidelines.
YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH.
Crypto will destroy your mental peace, wealth, Dreams and hopes.
The bear market will test your patience every single day, and shakeouts will push you to give up.
But if you survive a few more months, market will bottom and new bull market will start.
You will make life changing money, your portfolio will hit new highs and you will finally retire your family.
Ethereum has followed the same pattern for years.
Every time it reclaims the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band as support, it has gone on to rally toward—or even above—its Realized Price.
That pattern has repeated consistently over the past six years.
After briefly trading below the 0.8 MVRV band, $ETH has now reclaimed it as support.
If history rhymes once again, the next key level to watch is the Realized Price at $2,245.
$ETH can surprise everyone in 2026.
Every time the Russell 2000 hits a new all-time high, ETH has followed with a parabolic move in the next 12–18 months.
We are seeing the same setup now. If history repeats, ETH could be gearing up for one of its biggest runs yet.
🔥 BULLISH: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says excessive leverage in Bitcoin and crypto has been washed out, bringing greater stability at current levels.
He added that he is “very bullish” on markets over the next 12 months.
🚨 BREAKING: South Korea just hiked interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.75%, the first rate hike since January 2023.
Inflation has surged to 3.2%, a 30-month high, while chip exports have pushed the economy to overheat.
$BTC Key levels are already marked on the chart.
If you break through a box, the target becomes the next box.
If you fall below a box, look at the one below it.
Profitable trading is often much simpler than most people would like to believe.
The longer the market remains in a phase of depression, fear and apathy, the greater the energy tends to be that builds up for the next cycle.
This is how markets work: they do not move in a straight line. They alternate between expansion and contraction, euphoria and despair.
Most people buy when everyone is optimistic and sell when everyone has lost hope. Those who understand the cycles, however, know that it is precisely the most difficult phases that create the most interesting opportunities.
That’s the market for you. It has always been this way. The important thing is to have patience, capital and a strategy when everyone else has lost confidence.
$BTC is back above the 200-week moving average, one of its most important support levels during a bear market.
It has only lost this level once during the 2022 crypto crash.
Despite macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, BTC is holding strong over $60k after a bounce from the $57,000 cycle low.
Let’s see if we hold and get the historical summer pump in July-August.
There’s not much to say – the down move was perfect, almost hitting my take-profit level on a long position
Nothing of interest here in between $BTC 👌🏻