$SPY $SPX The S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio is 21.68x to start 2025. Historically, higher valuations have led to lower long-term returns over time.
Are we likely heading for muted gains or another year of 20+% gains?
📊Here’s the historical context: 👇📷
#SP500 #Investing #Markets
🇮🇱 CNBC:
Despite nearly 3 years of war, Israel’s economy is outperforming every G7 nation.
Unemployment: 3.2%
Inflation: under 2%
Stock market: +20% in 2026
Shekel: +7% vs USD
Driven by tech, cybersecurity investment, defense exports, and a highly skilled workforce—Israel is outpacing the U.S., EU, and UK.
(@Osint613)
It's unfortunate that we live in a headline-driven news environment. The narrative around Michael Burry often misses the bigger picture. While it's true he's made some notable short bets, he's also been mostly long and has made plenty of solid calls over the years. Yes, we’re in an overpriced market, but most people will keep dancing until the music stops to keep their jobs
#Earnings, #ImpliedMoves & #ShortInterest next week (October 13, 2025) — covering companies with market caps above $2 billion.
The Earnings season is back, starting with the financial sector.
--> Add them to your phone https://t.co/SlBe1KWVP2
In 24 of the last 32 quarters, the S&P 500 breached JPMorgan’s Collar short call level at least once. It closed above that level at Qtr end in 17 of them.
For Q4 2025, the mark is >>>6955<<<
$MRVL insiders are buying alongside the company, following Marvell’s announcement of a new $5B stock buyback authorization — including a $1B accelerated repurchase. Strong vote of confidence.
https://t.co/7MQxxrkpj6
In 24 of the last 32 quarters, the S&P 500 breached JPMorgan’s Collar short call level at least once. It closed above that level at quarter end in 17 of them.
For Q3 2025, the mark is 6505.
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On August 3rd, we highlighted the intriguing possibility of a Federal Reserve packing, and it seems this scenario is becoming increasingly likely. This situation echoes the past attempts to pack the Supreme Court. As we look ahead, it’s likely that the next chair of the Federal Reserve will be either Bowman or Waller, potentially allowing the president to appoint another governor seat—unless there are further developments that see more governors pushed out or resigning. The coming weeks could certainly bring significant changes in this area.
Packing the Fed
The Fed’s next move—a cut—is no surprise. But Fed Governor Adriana Kugler’s early resignation gives President Trump a head start on reshaping the balance of the central bank committee. Whatever the long-term implications for rates, markets will likely treat this as a tailwind until the actual cut lands.
The setup we shared in July after exiting $SPY at 628.28 has been playing out well. We’re positioned to benefit whether markets rise or pull back. Today’s action shows the 'sell winners, buy losers' trade is still in motion.