@aaronggreen Nice picture explanation! My only minor complaint is that "forced" and "measure-dependent" aren't defined. The point is that possibility uses exactly the info in F, no more & no less; Bayes requires more, which creates opportunity for conflict, so further justification is needed
@UQprofessional This was to distinguish true \theta and generic values \vartheta. Recently, I've been writing \Theta for the true unknown/uncertain parameter and \theta for generic values. I generally like the latter convention better
@mic_caprio Thanks for the shout-out; our paper on CP-as-IP is linked below if interested. Lots of open problems remain, of course, and congrats to Michele et al for tackling the case where imprecision is induced by ambiguity in the labels
https://t.co/LRzbh1P2oY
Ryan Martin is discussing with SIPTA "Falsification, Fisher's underworld of probability, and balancing behavioral & statistical reliability". Intrigued? Then join us on October 18 at 15:00 CET for the next SIPTA seminar! https://t.co/HUHhRTuCxc @statsmartin
@SrijanSengupta7@NCSUStatistics Good to have a few in-house people give talks, young and old folks (wink wink). It's cheap and students should get the chance to see that their profs are as good as the outside speakers
Buckle up! The first episode of Season 2 of America's 37th favorite non-woke podcast on higher ed is here!
Season premiere? @statsmartin, Professor of Stats at NC State U, and co-founder of @researchersone!
Check it on RSS, YT, Spotify, Apple, or here:
https://t.co/uop5jAFp23
I've fallen behind on my ST790 course progress reports. The last few lectures have covered imprecise prob in statistical inference: Dempster-Shafer, generalized Bayes, and some new developments of mine. This week wraps up stat inference and moves to prediction & classification
I'm teaching a special topics course this fall semester (starts Aug 23) on Imprecise-Probabilistic Foundations of Statistics. Lecture videos, etc will be made available on my website, anyone interested is welcome to follow along/participate. @SIPTAtweets
https://t.co/CnoizwpsXb
(Late) ST790 Week 6 review:
(a) Lower previsions & characterizations of coherence
(b) Natural extension & generalized Bayes rule
Week 7 preview: Comparison of Dempster's and gen Bayes rules (from @RuobinGong & @XiaoLiMeng1 2021); intro to imprecise prob in stat inference
@NahanniFinanci1 Thanks, Sara, for the nice compliments.
There's nothing wrong with keeping a calendar, I was just saying that not all academics plan out their week hour by hour as the original thread suggested.
My memory is faulty too, so I only make as many plans as I can remember!
@SrijanSengupta7 Big changes like this are out of our hands. What we can control is the example we set. I do actually read people's papers to form an opinion and I do write honest evaluations -- I've written negative evaluations of cases with papers published in top journals
'Tis the season for tenure & promotion evaluations and I'm reminded of the backwards influence journals have. The quality of a journal is determined by the quality of the authors/papers it publishes, not vice versa.