Makerfield By-Election Update:
https://t.co/1qzdOOW1SO
Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Methodology Statement
Population Sampled: All residents aged 18+ living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency.
Total Sample Size: 518
Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026
Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18+. Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote.
Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election.
Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result.
Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze):
Candidate / Party / Vote share
Andy Burnham - Labour 49%
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39%
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8%
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2%
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1%
Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1%
Another party <1%
Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed
Data tables are available here: https://t.co/mAcxDeCGIQ
Makerfield By-Election Update:
https://t.co/1qzdOOW1SO
Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Methodology Statement
Population Sampled: All residents aged 18+ living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency.
Total Sample Size: 518
Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026
Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18+. Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote.
Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election.
Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result.
Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze):
Candidate / Party / Vote share
Andy Burnham - Labour 49%
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39%
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8%
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2%
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1%
Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1%
Another party <1%
Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed
Data tables are available here: https://t.co/mAcxDeCGIQ
BREAKING: Andy Burnham has announced he will challenge Keir Starmer for the Labour leadership if he wins the Makerfield by-election.
Labour figures already fuming. Could this backfire?
Labour MP texts: ‘There’s no way I’m going to Makerfield now, good luck to the whips!’
Labour source texts: ‘Andy Burnham ran for leader in 2010 and lost. He ran for leader in 2015 and lost. He has spent the last two years undermining this Labour government at every opportunity in pursuit of his goal of becoming Labour leader. To suggest he’s only running because of Wes is an insult to everyone with a modicum of intelligence.’
🚨 WATCH: An audience member tells Reform candidate Rob Kenyon that she'd "rather have a career politician than a plumber who's a sexist"
"I won't accept that label... I was brought up by women. I have nothing but respect for women"
#BBCQT
I’m not as happy as perhaps others are with saying we should leave them to it though. the self-appointed moral policing by men like this has the capacity to do extraordinary damage to people within their communities who do not agree with them. they need to be properly opposed
sure it’s possible for people to thread the needle of thinking we shouldn’t treat 5pillars with kid gloves (they’re clearly bad weirdos and we shouldn’t give an inch on some of the stuff they’re against) but also that jumping to “should be deported” as response is crazyyyy
Not completely incoherent but the truth is we massively incentivise drinking at home (fewer positive externalities) than drinking in a social environment (much nicer - and dare I say good for you!)
EXC: Labour MPs opposed to a leadership contest are refusing to campaign for Andy Burnham in the Makerfield by-election
One Labour MP who has decided not to campaign said it would be ‘an act of self harm’
https://t.co/piJiF1nR2M
bit at end where he claims he deliberately said cold rage meaning “not hot” to try & distance self from riots is a bit of an eye roll. he used to be far more sophisticated at the distancing he tries to do from the thug wing of radical right. think restore is causing real trouble
Exclusive from @carolewalkercw:
Nigel Farage says that last night's violent disorder in Southampton is 'just the beginning'
He tells @TimesRadio that 'the division will get far worse because 'large numbers of young white males think the police are prejudiced against them
'The division will get far worse. What you saw in Southampton last night is the beginning
'If we get large numbers of young white males who think the police are prejudiced against them, goodness knows where we go. This has to end'
And this is Farage on saying people should feel 'pure rage': 'I used that term very, very deliberately. Was I angry watching what had happened? Yeah, I bet you were too. Millions of us were
'In fact, it's hard to be a human being and not be angry watching it. But I suggested that rage was put in a cold way, not a hot way'
“Ex-Portsmouth police officer forced into safe house after falsely blamed over Henry Nowak murder arrest”
One of the officers named by Grok left the force a year before Henry Nowak’s death. Surely we need legal protections for this stuff? https://t.co/LOgDlpnRWs
Again, an awful lot of gaslighting re: "neoliberalism", denying the existence of a ~50yr policy/governance agenda on the basis of "the state spends a lot of money".
Public spending as %-of-GDP isn't high because we've had a period of Leftwing hegemony. (Outside of the arts, the academy & the social/cultural policy sphere, that's obvious nonsense). Rather, it's high because:
👉Demographic pressures have pushed up the 2 massive spending outlays, health & pensions – a problem common to the vast majority of Western democracies
👉UK growth/productivity has been stagnant for ~18yrs, since The City of London collapsed under the weight of its own poor investments, while spending pressures have continued to grow apace
👉We have a growing (& expensive) debt pile as a result of the taxpayer twice being forced to bail out the private sector to the tune of several hundred £BN – 1st during GFC, 2nd during Covid lockdown
👉We have huge revenue pressures from "sticking plaster" subsidies covering up the underlying issue of chronic low investment, e.g. housing benefits ballooning while municipal capex on housebuilding shrinks; or tax credits/UC top-ups disguising stagnant real wages; or increasing day-to-day NHS spending after years of squeezed capital budgets/social care sector collapse
Neoliberalism is defined by privatisation, the embrace of globalisation/free trade, monetarist central banking, the emasculation of the labour movement, & the transformation of the state from a prime actor in national production/investment into a post-hoc fiscal distributor. It has been consciously driven by market-liberal true believers (some even self-identifying as "neoliberals") – on the Right by Hayekian/Friedmanite think tanks, business groups & various Conservative ideologues, and on the Left by Third Way modernisers (see Blair) and their intellectual forebears in Marxism Today's revisionism, the Democratic Left etc. etc.
Pretending none of this happened (because 'muh the state still spends £££') is pure sophistry. They want us to believe they didn't sell off airlines, steelmakers, coal mines, energy generators, water companies, car manufacturers, banks, bus/train contracts & millions of council houses. That they didn't deregulate financial services to get their 'Big Bang'. That they didn't abolish rent controls, or capital/exchange controls, or wage boards, or price commissions. That they didn't outsource core services and state capacity to corporate providers. That they didn't impose some of the most draconian/restrictive trade union laws in the democratic West. That they didn't cede monetary policy to an independent central bank, or cede trade/migration policy to an unelected, supranational, continental bureaucracy. That they didn't squeeze public investment or prioritise tax cuts over infrastructure spending. That they didn't eschew industrial policy and take a lax approach to deindustrialisation because the future was services & the "knowledge economy".
This isn't simpy an accumulation of random policy titbits, but is the outcome of a coherent intellectual project that has consistently rebalanced the labour/capital relationship in the latter's favour. These people are conning you.
There’s a coyness about calling this a riot. Protest took place outside the police station where people held placards, but what then happened outside the homes of these residents was a fascist riot. It wasn’t protesting the police by holding placards, was it? A line was crossed.
story is really about bad policing but tbh on kirpan, i think starting point for any legislation should begin from a reasonable risk assessment of danger and be universal on that basis instead of religious carve outs. decide on acceptable size etc in terms of risk & go from there
@james_e_b_ yeah it is probably fair to say this is my view on a direction of travel and that there are minor things i would flex on too (but should definitely not be too many!)