steamerpro

Baseball player projections and other nonsense courtesy of Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@brianjenner @stevgiufre @PitcherList @DSzymborski Yep, Steamer accounts for that too.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@RosenJordanBlum @DSzymborski Thanks for doing the work and congrats on a great rookie year!

[Tanner Bell @smartfantasybb]

The latest edition of The Process is now available in electronic form. Paper editions in Amazon will be available later. A lot of important new research this year, along with the SGP and standings history you're used to.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@jimmytoddy What are you seeing? ROS projections might move based on the ballparks remaining for a player but if you're seeing weird stuff please let me know.

[Razzball @Razzball]

Pumped seeing the projections live up at @TheReal_NFC

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@esteerivera42

[Tangotiger 🍁 @tangotiger]

Terrific work from @RosenJordanBlum. Congrats to @steamerpro

Note for ZiPS/PECOTA their "component" based ERA is better than their "official" forecasted-ERA. Check the article.

Also note BABIP is almost useless to forecast, leading to overfits

https://t.co/myzpox1Rt3

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@RosenJordanBlum Thanks for doing this analysis!

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@srsBryzness Yes, it turned out that the previous run had been with one day left in the season and the Twins final game was at Colorado so their rest-of-season BABIPs were inflated. Should be fixed now. Thanks for alerting me!

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@srsBryzness Thanks, I'll re-run the code in post-season mode and see if this issue goes away. I think this is a result of projecting rest-of-season when there is no season left.

[Rudy Gamble @rudygamble]

Annual reminder/summary on why @Razzball/@Steamerpro projections should be a key ingredient in your fantasy projections breakfast:

1) It uses our (okay my) playing time estimates which have tested very well - especially pre-March (https://t.co/Dzt2m0hAbw)

2) QS/SV/HLD (cont)

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@reach_baseball I think the argument that it should be higher than 155 is that he's averaged 153 over his career when he's been 19-23 yrs old. He'll be 24 and we'd expect more improvement from age 19-23 performance to age 24 performance.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@DSzymborski @DarrenSechrist I'm going to have to abandon that New Year's resolution of no social media already which is sad.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@DSzymborski @DarrenSechrist Sorry, I've been (mostly) off Twitter for a while. An official Steamer should show up for him on FG tomorrow. We'll be in the same ballpark:

ZiPS: .305/.372/.489, 51 BB, 62 SO
Steamer: .298/.388/.479, 66 BB, 56 SO

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@smada_bb @chadyoung @EightyGrade roster and then free agents getting PA's projected as well so MLB as a whole has way too many PA's.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@smada_bb @chadyoung @EightyGrade Sorry folks, I haven't checked twitter in a few days! These projections are preliminary at this point and particularly the PA projections will move around quite a bit. I think the FG depth charts have each team getting a full season of PA based on players currently on the

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@smada_bb We’re planning to make adjustments for the shift changes (although I haven’t worked out how to do this yet). I hadn’t thought about adjusting for the pitch clock.

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@smada_bb Sorry, yes, I’ll remove

[Paul Swydan @Swydan]

OH MY GOOOOOOODDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD

This is incredible. Congrats to @seandolinar, @megrowler & @dkappelman, this is huge news.

Subscribe to FanGraphs!

[steamerpro @steamerpro]

@Mayne4J @twcunningham @fangraphs Thanks, I’ll fix it