$BTC General thoughts still
Sweep of $75,500/75,000 could provide sufficient liquidity for relatively sizeable upside move, perhaps to 81k
We ought then see chop from there, with a week or two of further alt performance
Or, the move first into 81k is the one that takes us to the 75 region etc
bitcoin:native Can see logically on the TPO where value ought to best be built
Dont want to be spending much more time in the 77k area, and weakness there could easily lead to 75k cascade
Any further moves into 77k ought be snappy ones for bulls
Receipts for 08/09/2026
$ORCL $PLTR bitcoin:native A chaotic opening from a personal perspective
Hurried home from my dads birthday lunch
Market open.
ORCL, scammy PA, tapped 200D SMA for first time in a while, and couldnt stay bid above - Triggered my scalp
- Lots of the time I play scalp on general instinct, speed etc
PLTR, was short from Friday ish, closed today since my position was small size, and I want to get into a larger more aggressive position
- Could've compounded position yes, but I just want to effectively capture the chunk of a trend move here with size; I want to see slightly more of a breakdown, before sizing up and in
- Waiting to see how it interacts with 170, if not bid well there, will play aggro to 165, but hoping for at least 160 in reality
BTC
Was managing ORCL position simultaneously with 10's of alerts kicking off
The tape was very off, quite slow in fact, and the PA very algo and low liquidity like so I definitely was thrown off and didn't have conviction it was the daily local bottom
- Would've been more seamless if I followed the initial plan rather than engaging in doubt, which promotes delay, hesitancy and therefore inefficiency
bitcoin:native Some general thoughts.
I dont see why they'd create a new high before tuesday, and statistically thursday is highest probability for the high of the week anyway
Monday as always will likely ruin both sides
If we get a move into the 80 region I will start looking to be short, given the tape supports it
Not going to blindly short strength, I dont want spot strongly supporting the moves, where there is steady grind ups
I want to be shorting rapid, erratic moves, which people dont even get the chance to short
Monday likely will bait shorts in first thing, so whatever it presents would be a likely scalp
But perhaps tuesday being more of a trend day could present something better
bitcoin:native First target hit, nice bounce
Hit NPOC on TPO
on candle chart, hit 2D demand, OP, and HL gap
nearly 50% wick filled the 3D candle
And, internally, the demand was and is clearly there for a bounce
Now, could be too obvious but we ought take these stacked highs that were formed from low liquidity algo 'jobbin' (shout out MM Rev for that phrase)
$BTC I expect 61-60 in the next few days
Was an inefficient move up from the get go, and so value needs to develop through the thinner profiles, and seek equilibrium
Popped a short earlier today, will run through execution, reasoning etc tomorrow
Still ill so not with it mentally but if you actually spend time at the moment, this market is easy to trade