Alexander

Independent equity research focused on fundamentals, valuation and long-term capital allocation.20+ years of market experience.
Think clearly. Invest patiently

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Big reversal. South Korean stocks turned from AI outperformer to Q3’s worst market, as memory bubble burst. Still up 60% YTD, but sharp rallies always carry heavy pullback risk, and rates are turning against it.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇰🇷 South Korea's stock market went from AI wunderkind to the world's worst performer, with the Kospi crashing 18.8% in Q3

Most of the damage came in July, when the AI memory chip trade blew up and dragged Samsung and SK Hynix down with it

China's CSI 300 came second worst, down 12.5%, while the S&P 500 gained 2.3%

The Kospi is still up 60% this year, but rising bond yields and Bank of Korea rate hikes could end the party

Anything that goes up 185% in under 2 years is bound to need a breather

Source: FT / Writer: Julie

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Consensus stands at 3.7% YoY for August PCE. This analyst expects a reading above 4%. As Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, a miss will shift Treasury pricing and rate-cut expectations.

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

The moment of truth has arrived.
Consensus is showing 3.7%, which is comical.
Anything below a 4% print is fake news.
Truth be told, PCE should come in north of 4%.
Eyes on bonds 🧐

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Gold steadied near $4,195/oz. Rising Treasury yields weigh on prices, offset by falling oil. Demand remains robust. Watch rate expectations for short-term trades.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

Gold demand remains strong despite the recent pullback:

Gold prices steadied around $4,195 an ounce after rising +1.6% on Tuesday, as lower oil prices offset pressure from rising Treasury yields.

Oil prices declined as Middle East supply recovered toward pre-war levels, with Saudi Arabia restoring flows through its East-West pipeline, easing some concerns over energy-driven inflation.

This follows the 30-year US Treasury yield rising for a 6th consecutive day on Tuesday to its highest level since 2002.

At the same time, dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams that there is no urgency to raise rates again pushed markets to cut the probability of an October rate hike to ~50% from 70%, even as he said one further hike later this year may be appropriate.

Meanwhile, gold-backed ETFs added +63 tonnes so far this month, while long-term investors and central-bank purchases are helping offset some of the bearish macroeconomic pressure.

Time to exploit the pullback and add more gold again?

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Pension funds poised to offload $33bn stocks into bonds. This sell size is historically large. Key distinction: passive rebalancing, not a coordinated bearish exodus. Don’t treat it as a crash signal.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

US pension funds are set to sell a massive amount of equities:

Heading into month-end and quarter-end, US pension funds are modeled to sell $33 billion of US equities as part of their rebalancing, while buying an equivalent amount of bonds.

This amount was exceeded by only around 3% of all monthly buy and sell projections over the past 3 years.

Going back to January 2000, only ~2% of all monthly buy and sell projections have been larger than the current figure in absolute Dollar terms.

This is also way above a historical average of -$1.7 billion.

US pension rebalancing is pointing to one of the largest monthly equity outflows in decades.

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

AVGO Broadcom｜Pullbacks = buying opportunities ✅ Bullish trend re-emerging. Current dip is normal consolidation. AI chip demand remains hot. Wall Street upgrades targets. AI semiconductor story stays strong. Bullish bias holds.

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Euro is pressured by energy crisis and European political chaos, nearing its yearly low. Soaring gas prices and regional political uncertainty weigh heavily. Fundamentals remain bearish short-term, watch out for sharp rebound from policy intervention.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇪🇺🇺🇸 The euro is getting HAMMERED by Europe's energy crisis and political chaos, and it's now sliding toward its lowest level of the year against the dollar.

In August it was racing toward $1.20. Now it's just under $1.14, after the Iran war sent European gas prices rocketing past €80 per megawatt hour, the highest since late 2022.

And the politics are only making it worse, with Merz reeling from the AfD's big wins in German state elections and France drowning in debt and gridlock ahead of 2027.

The euro surged 13% against the dollar last year, Trump's first year back in office, but it looks like winter is coming fast for Europe's currency.

Source: Reuters / Writer: Julie

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Yen warning triggers bounce. Verbal intervention has limits. USD/JPY volatility up, manage position size.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

Japan is sending a fresh warning over Yen weakness:

The Japanese Yen briefly strengthened +0.4% to 156.5 per US Dollar after Japan’s top currency official warned that Japanese and US officials are increasingly concerned about the Yen weakening further and could take action to support the currency.

The move later faded, with the Yen trading at 157.4, while the currency is still up about +1.5% this month.

The warnings are increasing intervention risk after Japan and the US conducted their first joint FX intervention in 15 years in July, while Japan alone spent a record $96 billion on market operations during July-August.

Meanwhile, 1-year Dollar-Yen risk reversals, the cost of options protecting investors against further Yen weakness, have fallen to their lowest level since late January, sharply reversing from July, when such protection was at its most expensive since 2022.

Meanwhile, leveraged traders cut bullish yen positions by almost 80% in the week ending September 22, to just $355 million, even as the Yen fell -1.5% and underperformed every G10 currency.

The threat of further Japanese FX intervention is gradually rising.

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Crude above $92 triggers Asia-wide selloff, $600B market cap gone in one session. Oil rekindles inflation fears. Risk assets under pressure, avoid bottom fishing.

[The Macro Paper @macropaperr]

🚨 $600 billion has been wiped out from Asian stocks today as oil climbs back above $92.

South Korea (KOSPI, -2.70%): ₩164.7 trillion wiped out

Japan (Nikkei 225, -0.73%): ¥9.45 trillion wiped out

China (SSE Composite, -1.65%): ¥2.48 trillion wiped out

India (Nifty 50, -1.35%): ₹5.56 trillion wiped out

War esclation fears are back.

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

$SUNFLAG hits fresh all-time high with strong momentum. Chasing has poor risk-reward. Better to wait for breakout retest confirmation before entry. Strict stop loss is critical at all-time highs.

[Stock idea @Stocks_ideas]

🔥 #SUNFLAG — FRESH ALL-TIME HIGH!

CMP: ₹442 🚀

The stock has shown strong momentum, but in this market condition, how would you trade this setup?

👇 Your approach?

1️⃣ Chase the breakout
2️⃣ Wait for breakout + retest

What’s your plan for #SUNFLAG?

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures are under heavy selling pressure. Watch if the spillover hits equities. Rising short-term volatility, keep position sizes in check.

[Barchart @Barchart]

Stock Futures getting dumped 📉 📉

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

#BELRISE, auto ancillary stock, building a consolidation box after IPO. Dips near 220 offer a potential accumulation zone, with key resistance at 265. Pure technical breakout play; fundamentals must be validated.

[SHORT TERM STOCK🚀 @shortterm_stock]

🥂Belrise

✅️An auto ancillary company What A Strong Move Since IPO

🔥SLOWLY SLOWLY MAKING new highs without any noise

Box Breakout soon

🤝Any dip till 220 good chance to accumulate more

‼️Last Resistance:-265

🎯 Above that blue sky zone till 300 - 350++

#BELRISE

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

US 10-year Treasury yields hit multi-year highs. History shows high yields pressure equity valuations, but market outcomes vary. Watch Fed policy and inflation trajectory closely.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

The last times the 10yr yield was this high...

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

$MCD has broken below its 200-week moving average to the worst extent since the dot-com bust. This long-term trend breakdown warrants caution, don’t catch the falling knife yet.

[Barchart @Barchart]

McDonald's $MCD is now trading below its 200-week moving average by the largest margin since the aftermath of the Dot Com Bubble 📉 📉

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

The big NSE IPO finally lists on India’s stock market. Investors who didn’t get shares are weighing their next move: jump in at listing price, wait for price correction, or pick other plays. Newly listed IPO stocks can be very volatile. NFA.

[ETMarkets @ETMarkets]

As the much-awaited National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) made its D-Street debut on Thursday, investors who missed out on the ₹22,562-crore initial public offering (IPO), either by not applying or failing to secure an allotment, now face a different question: should they buy the shares after listing, wait for a possible correction or look at rival BSE instead?
#ETMarkets

Read more here
https://t.co/bKr6P74Vcv

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

BankNifty falls 1.71% with most large bank stocks bleeding. Rising US treasury yields, NIM headwinds from low-yield corporate lending and aggressive FII outflows into US bonds weigh on the banking sector. Watch yield moves closely. NFA.

[Pravin Khetan | Stock Market Analyst @PravinKhetan]

Most top banking stock bleeding today.. #banknifty down 1.71%.
- US Treasury bonds jumped 10-15 Bps in 5-10 years yield. (That's a sign of risk)
- NIM pressure on banks real due to low yield corporate loans.
- FII selling heavy and moving to US Treasury.

[Alexander @stockAlexander3]

Tom Lee says the stock market has all the ingredients for a powerful rally. The post calls to buy $MU $SNDK $NVDA $AMD. This is a bullish market opinion, not investment advice. Always do your own research before entering positions. NFA. #USStocks #Semiconductors

[Marcos Milla @MarcosMillaYT]

Tom Lee Claims that the current stock market has all the right ingredients for a face ripper...

BUY STOCKS NOW $MU $SNDK $NVDA $AMD

[Kharis @kharis_micheal]

Maturing as a man is realizing that going back and forth with a woman is pointless.

[LockedOnBuffs @LockedOnBuffs]

Dude is heading into his 5th NFL season and has 14.5 career sacks and is making over $1.1 million this year. Coach Prime saw the vision 👀

[RUBBABANDGRANT @RubbBandGrant]

Niggas must understand that Consistency & tunnel vision will pull you out of any bind, everyday day you ain’t gotta be 100% just be persistent

[🦂THEE Auntie with no kids♏️ @prmade313raised]

I know many of us didn’t agree with all of their policies, but one thing I can say is that they understood the responsibility that came with the office. They treated people like human beings, communicated with a level of respect, and didn’t feel the need to constantly demean others to make themselves look better.

They also understood how to speak to the public. Whether you agreed with them or not, they could give a speech, stay on topic, articulate their message clearly, and conduct themselves in a manner that reflected the seriousness of the presidency.

Leadership isn’t about insults, personal attacks, or turning every disagreement into a spectacle. It’s about respect, discipline, and the ability to communicate effectively with the people you’re supposed to serve.
You don’t have to agree with someone’s politics to recognize the difference between leadership and chaos.