Kike G.

[GapperLab @GapperLab]

¡Nos complace anunciar el lanzamiento de Gapperlab!

Durante meses hemos trabajado para crear la mejor herramienta de backtest enfocada a las necesidades del trader sistemático.

Backtest → Scanner → Ejecución.

Un solo motor, misma lógica de principio a fin.

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@XalmaYoel grande Yoel! eres una gran persona. Aquí seguiremos ayudando en lo que se pueda. Gracias por hacerme parte de la XVNT! gassss

[Goshawk Trades @GoshawkTrades]

https://t.co/X55hKugQan

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Have some time to kill at the airport and in a writing mood, so just some off the cuff thoughts on the state of the HTB shorting, why I think the game is continuing to get more competitive, and some reasons as to why I believe the alpha in pure systematic short selling edge is an ever-decreasing quantity from year to year and more discretion/adaptation will be needed to play this game in the long term.

1. Edge erosion – this sort of encompasses all of the points below, but in particular I’m referring to more and more short sellers using the same strategies. This leads to reduction in alpha for a given strategy. Crowding of a strategy leads to more market efficiency leading to liquidity hunts, more demand for borrows, noise in patterns, etc. It’s not hard to see countless examples of patterns with massive EV that have either died completely or now provide very small EV. Examples: Chinese liquidation, resistance short, Day 2, vanilla OPB, etc).

2. Market data services – services such as flashresearch, spikeet, etc have lowered the barrier of entry for accessing data essentially “dumbing down” the process for anyone willing to spend $50 on a monthly subscription. In the past accessing this data required coding knowledge and limited the alpha to a select few that were willing to put in the work to access it. I’m also of the opinion that posting these statistics to a widespread audience on twitter or large discord chats is a contributing factor to squeezes. Examples: Day 2 setup being posted on twitter, red close probability of a particular gapper, etc

3. Filing/dilution services – services such a dilution tracker and askedgar have “dumbed down” the filing process to the point where anyone can figure out the agenda of a small cap move. In the past, this edge was limited to those that would spend the time going over the dry filings. Full transparency: I use them myself as I rarely have the time to comb through filings. Examples: TNON pm squeeze when shorts expected an offering, squeezes over warrant levels, etc

4. “Smart money” longs – Since 2022, the long side in small caps has gotten significantly more intelligent. The days of buyers chasing HOD breakouts are long gone and the long game is populated with savvy dip buyers and hyperscalpers. Bagholding a small cap is now a pretty outdated concept and this explains why “resistance shorts” don’t work well anymore (no real sellers at previous levels) and are often just clearout levels. I’m of the belief that the alpha is shifting more and more to the long side of small caps as the short side becomes more and more crowded as the “standard side” of small caps.

5. Educational services – Discussion of topics such as cycles, broker max losses, etc has made the game a lot more competitive. The short side is now more cognizant of cycles and themes leading to more irregularity (hot/cold behavior oscillation) in behavior. Moreover, with folks using the concept of R and implementing broker max losses, post short seller “blow up days” have less resolution and there is slower bleed out of short sellers vs outright blowups which in the past would provide for long “clean price action” periods.

6. Ease of access to HTB shorting – Anyone can now open a HTB shorting account with ocean securities or TZ. In fact, a new trader can fund with as little as $2k and have $12k in leverage for shorting. In the past there was a barrier to entry to where you couldn’t have any trader short sell. Now short selling has become the “standard game” for small caps and anyone can borrow a low float stock. This crowds strats, injects more noise into price action, increases demand for locates, etc.

My pessimistic outlook is that the systematic/quant side of small caps will continue to get more competitive and the alpha will be a monotonically decreasing function with time. One doesn’t need to look very deep into the data to see that there is a lot of change year to year and reduction in EV for the most popular strats. There will be a gradual transfer of alpha from the standard short side to the long side, but I suspect discretionary shorting will retain a lot of its edge. Adapting will be key as this game gets more and more crowded on the short side. The only saving grace for systematic shorting is if there continues to be an abundance of opportunity to compensate for lower EV trades, but this too becomes challenging as the “outlier squeezes” become more normal and aggressive. One needs a lot of offsets to make up for ever increasing massive squeezers.

Just my two cents given that this prolonged cycle has been particularly brutal for pure system shorts. That being said, I believe the points above have affected small cap behavior since around 2022; however, the effects have been amplified as of late and I suspect they will continue to be more and more detrimental to the systematic short side. $CURR $XHG $SILO

[Quant Science @quantscience_]

12 Python libraries for free market data everyone should know:

[XVNTrading @XVNTrading]

TRADERS! A pesar de estar cerrando 2025 y con fiestas de por medio, hay algo que queremos presentar antes de acabar el año...

🤖Tenemos nuevo bot de alertas!🤖

Lo que oyes, en la Xavineta con ayuda de @stockioptions hemos implementado un sistema de alertas para los tickers que entran en nuestra watchlist, el cual muestra la siguiente información:

INFORMACIÓN GENERAL

- Volumen movido
- Sesión (si ha saltado en Premarket o Market)
- Sector
- Country
- Market Cap
- Float
- Institutional Ownership
- Insider %

CATALIZADOR

- Cuál es el motivo por el que está saltando el stock.

OVERHEAD RESISTANCE

- Si tiene una zona de resistencia validada por encima del precio, a qué precio y cuántos millones de volumen.

INFORMACIÓN DE LOS GAPS HISTÓRICOS

- Número de gaps que ha tenido por encima del 20%.
- % de gap medio.
- % de veces que cierra roja en los días que gapea.
- % de Fade y Spike medios desde la apertura.

NOTICIAS

- Contamos con las 2/3 ultimas noticias relevantes que ha tenido el stock, incluidas la del mismo día, si es que hay.

Y POR SI FUERA POCO...

- Una snapshot de detalles de dilución y un gráfico con el patrón intradía promedio de los dos últimos años.

- Además de enlaces directos a TradingView y Dilution Tracker.

Estos datos son los que nosotros consideramos indispensables para que un stock entre dentro de nuestra watchlist.

Pronto ampliaremos la información con un vídeo explicativo!

[Cointelegraph @Cointelegraph]

🔥 BIG: Tokenized stocks market cap hits all-time high of $1.2 billion, per Token Terminal.

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@CharlieDLVega @wallstwolverine el fondo buitre de Paco y Charo, que compraron 2 viviendas en los 90 y heredaron otra más.

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@SyntagmaTrader Esta gente me recuerdan a Llados y compañía, se hacen ricos enseñándote a ser rico sin serlo. Paradójicamente la gente les paga y se terminan ganando la vida con eso, no creo que lleguen a ser ricos

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@SyntagmaTrader Lo del tartaria sin comentarios. Jordi al menos ha tenido la decencia de decir que no tiene track récord y que él vive de la formación.
Tampoco tiene mucho sentido formarse con alguien que solo gana de como enseñarte a "interpretar gráficos". A ser rentable, te enseñas tú😂

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@CharlieDLVega @Bojack_trades deseando estamos de escuchar tu sabiduría :)

[🔱Charlie De La Vega🔱 @CharlieDLVega]

💊 Mega - Píldora Educativa 💊 - 🇪🇸

De mis Setups Favoritos , #ElBabyShelfLong

🟢 La píldora de la semana va sobre el proceso de trading personal de creación de una Tesis 🔖. En este caso la de $GWH 😇

Guárdate este post, estúdialo, porque , es Oro🪙.

Dadle amor al post si os ha gustado❤️

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@Picab77 @CharlieDLVega y eso sumado a que la empresa necesita cash:
The company has -1.7 months of cash left based on quarterly cash burn of -$15.3M and estimated current cash of $-8.9M.

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@Picab77 @CharlieDLVega Que me corrija Charlie si no es asi, pero creo que viene de aquí. Si el precio cierra hoy (que ya lo ha hecho) en 6.36$, salen de la restricción de baby shelf y pueden diluir muchísimo más que esos 9.3M$ actuales, hasta 300M$

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@CharlieDLVega Qué parámetros tiene que tener para ser un A+ para ti, Charlie?

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@JordiTrading @Tonypsicotrader y no crees que lo mejor es que sea algo denso para poder vender mentorías, cursos, crear comunidades, atraer visitas y mantener a gente pagando subscripciones más que realmente funcione?

¿Qué traders están auditados usando estas estrategias?

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@ORamosBets @wallstwolverine ya manejan toda la industria global, como mucho puede servir para llegar a un acuerdo más favorable para USA, pero algún día tiene que haber un fin de tu me subes, yo te subo. Si los chinos se cansan porque no pueden negociar, venderán deuda de US y los joderán vivos

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@ORamosBets @wallstwolverine está bien mostrarte poderoso ante el que intentas negociar, pero es que estás vacilando a quien maneja el cotarro, que es China. Ahí o tragas o te joden vivo.

Lo mismo que le pasa a Europa contra USA, no tiene posición de poder y por eso traga con lo que sea.

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@inversormodest1 el suelo está cerca

[Kike G. @stockioptions]

@ContraInvest @threadreaderapp unroll