Stockpecker

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[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@Bugle_Boy_Farm @Barchart You are right, current fears are related to real geopolitical and economic risks, it doesn't mean that stock market has to drop, but current situation is unpredictable.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@StockMKTNewz AI was supposed to be deflationary and now it's the inflation risk. Data centers eating all the power and chips might do that.

Interesting that they say it he same day Trump says rates are too high. Fed and White House couldn't be further apart.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@zerohedge First Q4 day is wild oil, bonds and US stocks up.
Europe bleeding makes sense as Europe imports most of its oil so $100+ brent hits them way harder than the US.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@TedPillows It is just first trading day of Q4: fresh allocations hit everything at once. Give it 2–3 sessions and you will see the real image.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@Barchart Strong dollar and $100 oil is a double tax on EM and on non-US earners in the S&P. Watch the megacaps with the biggest international revenue share. Nasdaq-100 looks more save than DJIA now.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@zerohedge Oil surged over 100$ again and these news are the reason why it doesn't look like the top. But geopolitical events aren't easy to predict, especially with unpredictable politicians on every side of the conflict.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@unusual_whales Oil is >$100 today and the White House is leaning on the Fed. Warsh now has to look independent and not tighten into an energy shock.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

@KobeissiLetter Brent back above $100 while bonds catch a bid on the same day. Oil and the long end are usually on opposite sides of an inflation scare, so it seems that one of them might be mispriced.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

US CLOSE · Wed 30 Sep

$META decline is the Dots effect: StoneX argued the personal assistant push may cost more than it's worth, and the stock gave back 1.84% even as the monthly number stood. Worth watching whether that's the start of a re-rate or just quarter-end profit taking on a 29% move.

After the close, $GOOG launched Gemini 4 Argon, its most advanced model, shipped with guardrails after months of delay, though Bloomberg reported internal scepticism about its performance.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

US CLOSE · Tue 29 Sep

$AAPL -2.66% on Bloomberg's report that new CEO John Ternus is overhauling the company weeks into the job: moving away from the traditional spring/fall release cadence and cutting middle management layers to close the gap between engineers and executives.

$META recovered most of Monday's drop, +3.24%, launching Muse for Small Business with Shopify, QuickBooks, Stripe, Slack and Canva integrations.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

Monday 28 September:

Oil jumped more than 3% after Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire conditions, and yields stayed elevated.

$NVDA +1.68% on 142.3m shares, the heaviest volume of the month, after authorising an additional $150bn buyback taking the remaining authorisation to $235bn through FY2028 and launching an Open Agent Safety Platform to fence in rogue AI agents.

$META is the mirror image, -4.79% and roughly -$92bn. Down about 8% over two sessions after peaking at $779.82 on Thursday.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

WEEKLY SUMMARY

$META added $190B in five sessions. +12.9%, the biggest week any of these ten has had.
Muse at No. 1, Connect, and a Cambridge Analytica liability verdict in the same week.
$MSFT +4.5% to a ten-month high. SpaceX was the laggard at -2.6%, now 34% off its high.

What do you expect from the following week?

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

US CLOSE · Fri 25 Sep

$MSFT +3.66% to $516.17, its highest close in more than ten months. It rebuilt Copilot as a single work focused app with coding, always-on agents and full Word/Excel/PowerPoint, aimed squarely at Claude and OpenAI

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

US CLOSE · Thu 24 Sep

$META +4.50% to $777.59, a fresh 52-week high, market cap $1.98T knocking on $2trn. That's the Connect reaction: Muse Charm, $1,299 VR Glasses, camera-free Ray-Bans, and Horizon Create/Studio game tools that knocked AppLovin and Unity lower on the read-across.

$GOOG recovered part of Wednesday's Muse-driven drop, helped by a five-year Gemini deal with BNP Paribas.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

US CLOSE · Mon 22 Sep

Alphabet −3.80% on 35.1m shares, its biggest one day drop since 11 August, on Muse competition fears. Gemini 3.8 voice models and new YouTube creator tools didn't help. Two sessions ago Meta's Muse surge was a $194bn gain, now it's costing Alphabet $163bn.

For today: $NVDA, $AVGO and $MRVL are all lower pre-market on a renewed Treasury selloff, with no company specific news. SpaceX's 328.4m-share unlock also hits today.

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

VALUATION WATCH · TOP 20 P/E

Nvidia's forward P/E just fell below 17x - a decade low (Bloomberg data).

On trailing GAAP it's 28.8x. That gap = the Street pricing in ~70% EPS growth.

So we mapped trailing P/E for the world's 20 largest stocks👇

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

US CLOSE · Mon 21 Sep

$AAPL nearly got to $5trn. It printed an all-time intraday high of $345.34 before closing at $339.75, a $4.96T cap. New Macs started shipping with the pitch that they're cheaper than renting data centre capacity.

$META gave back 0.63% after Monday's +11.43%

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

Monday 21 September:

$META is the whole card. +11.43% on 48.7m shares, Muse overtook ChatGPT as the No. 1 free iOS app with 730,000 downloads in five days

[Stockpecker @stockpecker_app]

Summary of the week:

Megacaps added $288B in the week the Fed hiked. First close above $30T.
$GOOGL +3.3%, even after admitting Gemini broke out and hacked three companies.
$AVGO was the worst at -1.2% - all of it Monday, then four green days.