SV

Interests include: investing, speculation, and trading

[SV @stocksvest]

Mastery of the Market
Is Mastery of Oneself

[SV @stocksvest]

$ONDS closed today at $7.27, closing the week in the red. This marks the sixth consecutive week of seller dominance and the last time the stock saw six consecutive weeks in the red was back in March ‘25, when the price closed below $1. The weekly POC level of $7.34 finally broke where sellers have been knocking at the door of this level for the last three weeks. From here, a retrace to the last top is still possible, however it could take many weeks to see that happen. A more likely scenario is a test of more pain, with the $3.09 level on the table, now that the POC has been broken. A short squeeze is also a consideration, if the sellers lose control, due to the 32% short interest active on this stock. The technicals and bears are in very sharp contrast to the analysts who are still very bullish with a 1 year price target currently at $19.81, and the company itself which has been on a buying spree this year, a very bullish sign. The next earnings report will be very interesting to see what happens in August, but we could see a lot more short-term pain for $ONDS if the current trend holds. Of course nobody knows where the price will go, but macro headwinds and short-sellers have certainly placed the stock price at a crossroads.

[SV @stocksvest]

$ONDS looked at its ‘26YTD gains and said, “no thanks”.

[SV @stocksvest]

Neo, wake up Neo.

[Financial Post @financialpost]

Canadians support Mark Carney’s approach to the economy, even though he’s presided over the worst first year of growth since 1963. Read on https://t.co/lvpCFVjsd5

[SV @stocksvest]

No CUSMA, no Canada.

[SV @stocksvest]

2026 Crypto Update

Last year I said that I would re-enter crypto in 2026 and I have.
This time around I am being much more strategic.
I will be concentrated on a very few coins and I am taking a scalping approach instead of holding.
I am also limiting my exposure this year and playing a more reserved game.
My strategy will be changing next year back to more of a hold approach, but with the volatility this year, it just makes more sense to scalp until direction is ultimately confirmed.
$ZEC is my main asset driver so far this year.
I’ll be providing an update in a few months.

[SV @stocksvest]

Huge
$HUMA
4hr

[SV @stocksvest]

Whomever melted the market this week owes me an apple watch.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

U.S. inflation expectations are collapsing

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

BREAKING: The U.S. Dollar pushes to 1-year high

[SV @stocksvest]

I am now 99% out of my Canadian positions. I have my reasons, you should too. Next update will be at 100%.

[SV @stocksvest]

Buy the eoy $9 call and sleep like a baby.

[Jason Luongo @JasonL_Capital]

You could buy 100 shares of $ONDS right now for ~$900.

Or you could buy the $10 call LEAP expiring January 2028 for ~$420. Same directional exposure. ~53% less capital. Over 582 days of runway.

The trade:
Strike: $10
Expiration: January 21, 2028
Premium: ~$4.20 per contract
Breakeven: $14.20

If $ONDS hits $20, this LEAP returns ~138%
If $ONDS hits $30, this LEAP returns ~376%
If $ONDS hits $40, this LEAP returns ~614%

100 shares at $40 returns ~343%.

Why I like the setup:

- Q1 2026 revenue $50.1M - more than 10x YoY. Reached EBITDA profitability two quarters ahead of plan
- FY2026 guidance raised to $390M+. $457M backlog
- Deploying counter-drone systems across the majority of FIFA World Cup 2026 host cities
- Sentrycs Cyber-over-RF technology can detect, identify, track, and take control of hostile drones without jamming
- The FBI just stopped an alleged explosive drone attack at the White House. Counter-drone is becoming critical infrastructure
- 582 days gives you runway through multiple catalysts and earnings cycles

The max you can lose on a LEAP is the entire premium you paid. In this case, that's $420 per contract. LEAPs are leveraged and can lose value quickly if the stock drops or stays flat. Only size this so you're comfortable losing all of it.

Note: LEAPs are one tool inside a broader portfolio. Owning shares is always the primary use of capital. This is a selective add-on for high-conviction moments when conditions align.

NFA DYOR

[SV @stocksvest]

DOLLARS. WITH REAL DOLLARS.

[Josh Ryan 🍁 @joshryanjames]

Condescending Liberal troll, masquerading as a Liberal Cabinet Minister, argues with a farmer about what his expenses are.

[SV @stocksvest]

Hit the 200% milestone this week with the account up over $1000 in profit. In this leg I made some mistakes, however I managed to recover quickly with minimal losses. The highlight this time is that the time to this milestone was a month, significantly collapsing the timeline from the first $500 milestone that took about 6 months to achieve. Looking ahead, the next milestone to hit is 300%. I’ll be following up when this milestone is completed.

[SV @stocksvest]

Options Trading

I’ve been working on a project to grow a small account from $500, with options longs and shorts.
Today marks the first milestone, with the account surpassing $1000.
With the 100% gain achieved, the next milestone is 200%.
This has been a rich learning experience and probably one of the toughest skills to learn. Options are not easy.
Effectively bootstrapping an account adds more difficulty.
Behind this idea is a blown account, where I lost about $1000, and that really was the catalyst to start this project.
Starting from $500, my risk on average has been between 10% and 20% per trade. I have found that this is a good level of control for maintaining a level of risk and growth acceleration, starting from a micro capital investment.
This has been a part-time project and has really helped shaped my mindset around wealth, trading, and money over the past year.
I really started to get active over the last half of the year.
Everything I learn from this experience will make me a much better trader.
It already has.
The goal at the moment is pure growth and I’ll revisit that goal when I have achieved substantive growth with this account.
I will provide an update on the next milestone.
As always, I appreciate your time, happy trading!

[SV @stocksvest]

Turn off the noise and make money

[SV @stocksvest]

@KobeissiLetter I’d like to see listed company declines against listed ETFs

[SV @stocksvest]

I have 99.9% divested out of crypto. I won some, I lost some, I had fun.
See you in 2026.

[SV @stocksvest]

While we wait for bold text and italics functionality to return to mobile posts, read this:

Keys to Trading Success

Information
Everything is information, from chart analysis to news, to events, to market signals, it all counts. Take it all in at face value because what you see is what you get. Filter and use your discernment to avoid analysis paralysis.

Action
Get in the game, staying on the sidelines as an observer will not win you any trades.

Be Mentally Prepared
Learn how to control your emotions and get comfortable with winning and losing. Keep your energy up and be confident.

Focus
Stay focused on your process and your trades. It’s a zero sum game. Get focused.

Time
Devote your time and energy to trading. How much time you devote has a direct correlation on your success as a trader. Also know when to take breaks.

Consistency
Stay consistent on developing yourself as a trader. Be consistent in trading and learning.

Right-Size Your Risk
Know how much you are willing to risk and enter with size, price, and cost upfront. Your risk should always be a percentage of your capital. 1 to 5, 1 to 10, 1 to 20, etc. Know your risk profile and always stay within these parameters.

Plan Your Exit and Take Your Profit
Know what your exit level is, whether it’s price, total return, or a percentage. Take your profit to realize your gain, instead of watching your profits pass you by, because I repeat, it’s a zero sum game.

Repetition
Keep what works and learn from your mistakes. Fine tune your process and build on your foundation of trading experience.

Stay Passionate
Trading isn’t for everyone and it’s a hard skill to learn. Enjoy the journey and it can become a life long skill that you can always return to if you need to take time away.

That’s all for now, these are most of the main points, I may expand on this in a long form post in the future.
Thanks for reading, I appreciate your time!

[SV @stocksvest]

My portfolio says that Alt season happened late 2024 into early 2025. Not the season we wanted but the season we got.