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[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

Front row: nine teams refreshing their phones for the new AP Poll.
Back row: the rest of the SEC, resting peacefully. 💀
#SEC #CFB #APPoll
https://t.co/z7IBgg9u0x

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

Refresh. Refresh. Refresh. 💀
SEC fans, the new AP Poll is almost here. Title odds update as soon as it lands.
#SEC #CFB #APPoll
https://t.co/1s3HY9fROX

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@LandonW52078022 @NWODESTR0YERS You're right, and it's a big swing. If LSU wins out (Alabama, Texas, at Tennessee, at Arkansas), our sims send the Tigers to Atlanta about 3 in 4 times with a Texas win tonight, closer to 3 in 5 if Ole Miss pulls it off. Right now LSU sits near 6%. https://t.co/qKkX2PGhKt

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@cordes_tax Not that early anymore. Kentucky vs Georgia already shows up in close to 1 in 5 of our simulated seasons. A UK win over Vandy plus a Texas win over Ole Miss tonight pushes Kentucky near even odds to reach Atlanta and that matchup to about 1 in 4. https://t.co/4BgFi4TT4J

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@blakebooming Georgia vs Kentucky is very live. It's a bit under 1 in 5 in our sims right now, and if UK closes out Vandy and Texas finishes off Ole Miss tonight, it climbs to about 1 in 4, the most likely title game by a wide margin. https://t.co/c0SUDp3GRj

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@AllCarolinaBaby Chaos is right. If Vandy wins in Lexington and Texas beats Ole Miss, Kentucky drops from close to 4 in 10 to about 1 in 7 to reach Atlanta, Ole Miss slides from about half to 4 in 10, Alabama climbs near 1 in 4 and Tennessee near 1 in 5. https://t.co/pNk79XU94O

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@JMKIII58 @BigOrangeMack Texas winning tonight does help. If the Vols then win out (Kentucky and LSU at home, at A&M and Vandy), our sims send them to Atlanta about 5 in 6 times. An Ole Miss win makes that same run closer to 3 in 5. Today they sit around 1 in 7. https://t.co/AAYsKklnMD

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@Team132Hypeman Sooners fans can relax about Austin. If OU wins out (South Carolina, at Florida, Ole Miss, A&M, at Mizzou), our sims put them in Atlanta about 2 in 3 times, and that barely moves whether Texas or Ole Miss wins tonight. Right now it's about 1 in 80. https://t.co/ulc4mtgKcU

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@kentuckyhusky Nah.

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

SEC title race after the afternoon 🏈
South Carolina 27, Tennessee 24: Vols' Atlanta odds drop 35.6% to 14.2%.
Tonight's big swing: Ole Miss at Texas. Win: 63.6%. Loss: 30.7%.
@OleMissFB @TexasFootball @UKFootball @VandyFootball
#CollegeGameday #SEC #CFB
https://t.co/a3S1jMczmS

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@TheJerodBowden Kentucky vs Ole Miss shows up in about 1 in 8 of our simulated seasons right now. It mostly needs UK to handle Vandy tonight and Ole Miss to win in Austin. With both, Kentucky climbs near 4 in 10 to reach Atlanta and Ole Miss near 6 in 10. https://t.co/yUnBoqAUO9

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@TheJim_34 If the Vols win out (Kentucky and LSU at home, then at A&M and Vandy), our sims put them in Atlanta about 7 in 10 times, and past 8 in 10 if Texas beats Ole Miss tonight. Winning out and still missing the title game is the less likely branch. https://t.co/CaRO4useuR

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

SEC title race after the afternoon 🏈
South Carolina 27, Tennessee 24: Vols' Atlanta odds drop 35.6% to 14.2%.
Tonight's big swing: Ole Miss at Texas. Win: 63.6%. Loss: 30.7%.
@OleMissFB @TexasFootball @UKFootball @VandyFootball
#CollegeGameday #SEC #CFB
https://t.co/a3S1jMczmS

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@YaboiHoxen @twosuh It opens up, mostly for everyone else. A Texas win tonight drops Ole Miss from near a coin flip to under 3 in 10 in our sims, Georgia climbs past 55% and Tennessee near 4 in 10. Texas itself only gets to about 6%, up from around 2%. https://t.co/ietfjxg6bO

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@Boho_Sam_ A Texas win helps, but Ole Miss losing isn't a must. If LSU wins out (Bama, Texas, at Tennessee, at Arkansas), it reaches Atlanta about 4 in 5 times in our sims with a Horns win tonight, and still about 2 in 3 if Ole Miss wins in Austin. https://t.co/0HHtPG3ij3

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@geauxtigers2025 Playoff math aside, the SEC path is clear too. Win out (Bama, Texas, at Tennessee, at Arkansas) and LSU reaches Atlanta about 7 in 10 times in our sims. Drop only the Tennessee game and that falls to around 6%, with the Vols near a coin flip. https://t.co/s2gW8swkZK

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@malikkb2x There is, but LSU has to run the table: Bama and Texas at home, then at Tennessee and Arkansas. Do that and an Ole Miss vs LSU rematch shows up in over 1 in 4 sims, up from about 1 in 40 now, and past a third if Ole Miss also wins in Austin tonight. https://t.co/paHLXWFwNo

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@TheRealClaytonH @SportsHistorySL Must-win is right, though even a win leaves Texas a long shot, around 1 in 18 in our sims. The bigger swing is Ole Miss: about 6 in 10 for Atlanta if it wins in Austin, under 3 in 10 if it loses, and Georgia climbs past half. https://t.co/iTy0byOIis

[Stow Foundry @stowfoundry]

@iamtamel Big one, but not full control yet. With LSU pulling away at Auburn, our sims have Tennessee a bit over a third for Atlanta. A win at South Carolina bumps that to roughly 44%; a loss drops the Vols near 15% and pushes Georgia to about 6 in 10. https://t.co/ciUSOAN26S