stoxsense

SEBI Registered RA (Reg: INH000015455, Sudhir Verma) | CMT | @IIT-Bombay Alumni | Options Trader ! Value Investor | Stock Market Expert | Educator

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

Somethign NEW and BiG is coming soon !!!

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

⚠️ A common mistake traders make in war-driven markets: "They try to buy value" ...
...but I think PANIC SELLING is yet to happen, if war drags on !

🔍 Stock scans today highlight oversold position, but monthly and quarterly supports are yet to play out. Best to avoid sectors with gulf exposure, such as

🏗️ Construction EPC names.
🛢️ Oilfield services.
⚙️ Engineering exporters.

📈 Price rebounds look attractive, but the professionals position tells a different story. Shorts are still high across most stocks !

🛡️ Risk management is boring : But REEMBER that boring keeps capital alive.

💭 “Market bottom ka excitement sabko hota hai…
par bottom usually boring phase mein banta hai.”

⚓ Unless war stopes, then sector breadth improves above 65% atleast, rallies remain in distribution phases and it seems like a SELL on RALLY market !

#stoxsense #nse #nifty #nifty50 #bse #learntradingwithsudhir #sebiregistered

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

NSE IPO : Patience wearing off for retail investors, leading to fall in stock prices - big guys loading up !

https://t.co/BnjQRApNvT

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

Implied volatility (IV) is a key factor for choosing an options strategy because it affects options prices the MOST, and helps traders determine if an option is relatively cheap or expensive to BUY or SELL.

A short summary below on correct strategy to deploy under different IV conditions.

#learntradingwithsudhir #SEBI #SEBIREGISTERED #ImpliedVolatility #Volatility #OptionsTrading #optionbuying #Optionselling

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

"There is no greater transparency in trading than sharing Verified Long-term P&L" - Abraham Lincoln.

Here's me being 100% transparent with my trading.

#Sensibull #VerifiedBySensibull #LongTermPnL #learntradingwithsudhir #SEBI #SEBIREGISTERED

https://t.co/tPMRBhyVxu

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

TCS: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Play? 🧐

🔻 Q1 Results Disappoint : Markets didn’t like what they saw. Weak performance = weak sentiment.

📉 Downside Watch:
💥 ₹3000 – ₹2900 is in sight.
This zone may act as strong support and a base for consolidation through the next quarter.

🔼 Upside Resistance:
📈 ₹3500 – ₹3700 is a tough wall to crack.
A breakout here will need a serious positive trigger — not happening without some fireworks.

🧮 Valuation Comfort?
✅ Current P/E: ~24
📊 5-Year Avg: 31
That’s a discount worth noting.

💬 Management Commentary?
Not great — but not terrible.
(Thanks to already low expectations.)

📦 Conclusion:
🚀 Long-term investors:
⏳ Consider accumulating on dips near ₹2900–₹3000.
📈 Patience will be key.

#TCS #StockMarket #Nifty50 #ITStocks #learntradingwithsudhir

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

A major bounce in the IndusInd stock was triggered after a top brokerage firm gave it a thumbs up with a higher price target. 📈

🔻 Downside:
700–680 zone is rock-solid support. Unless there’s a major shock, it’s unlikely to go below that.

Nearest support now sits at 750–760.

🔺 Upside Potential:
Strong resistance seen at 910–940, with a breakout possibly taking it to the 1000+ zone.

💡 Risk Factor:
The real risk here lies in future growth and profitability, after the stock already took a hit from one-time losses.

A fresh cash infusion by promoters could be a game-changer and boost investor confidence.

📊 Valuation Check:
Current valuations look very attractive. The 750–800 range might be a smart entry zone for long-term investors.

✅ Bottom Line:
This looks like a potential reversal story in the making. Keep an eye on 750–800 — it could be your golden zone for long-term gains! 🌟

#StockMarket #Investing #IndusindBank #ValueBuy #StockAnalysis #technicalanalysis #learntradingwithsudhir

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

🚨ONGC share prices on the Move: What’s Driving it ?

The recent surge in ONGC stock is fueled by a sharp spike in crude oil prices and rising geopolitical tensions. But how long can the rally last?

🔻 Support Alert: The ₹235–₹230 zone is acting as a rock-solid support. ONGC is also trading above all key moving averages on both daily and weekly charts—a bullish sign!

🔺 Resistance Zone: Watch the ₹270–₹275 range closely. It’s a major resistance, and any cooling off in crude prices could trigger downside pressure.

⚠️ The Real Risk? It’s not ONGC itself—it’s crude oil. With a potential global recession looming by late 2025, markets are already pricing in lower crude through mid-2026.

📉 What’s Next? Expect ONGC to remain rangebound over the next few quarters as it navigates this volatile energy cycle.

#ONGC #StockMarket #CrudeOil #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #NiftyEnergy #StockAlert #learntradingwithsudhir

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

🚀 Suzlon Energy Share prices jumped after solid Q results + bullish outlook from mgmt.

🔻 Support: 51–56 zone (just under weekly EMA) — strong base unless something seriously breaks.

🔺 Resistance: 81–86 — likely target before the next pause.

📊 P/E ~ sector avg (45), but P/BV is a steep 15.8 — priced for perfection.

📈 High-risk, high-conviction bet. Adding near support = smart play.

#investing #indianstockmarket #NSE #BSE #Suzlon #suzlonenergy #technicalanalysis #learntradingwithsudhir

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

Weekly Analysis of Nifty, Bank Nifty and Key Stock for the week to consider in your trades.

https://t.co/U6kLa4p78r

#nifty50 #banknifty #JSPL #jindalsteel #divislab

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

DLF Ltd – Strong Results, Stronger Momentum! 📈

✅ Earnings Update: DLF posted solid results yesterday with positive management commentary, boosting investor confidence.

📊 Technical View:

- Stock is bouncing from 200-week EMA, a key long-term support. Immediate support zone: ₹690–710
- Below that, ₹660–630 gap area could cushion deeper corrections

🚀 Bullish Signals: Broke above 200-day EMA today – confirms trend reversal

Key resistance zones ahead:
🔹 ₹800 as nearest major hurdle
🔹 Thereafter, ₹820–850 and then ₹860–900

💰 Valuation Check:
Currently trading at P/BV ~4.4 (vs 5-yr avg of ~2.7)
Valuation looks stretched, but improving fundamentals could sustain the premium

📌 Bottom Line: Adding on dips near support zones could be a smart long-term play.

#DLF #StockMarketIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #NiftyRealty #learntradingwithsudhir

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

Weekly Analysis of Nifty, Bank Nifty and Top Stocks for the week to consider in your trades.

https://t.co/ZUlBrnynoI

#NiftyBank #nifty50 #Nifty #Concor #canarabank

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

JSW Energy's latest results were decent and matched expectations.

🔻 Strong support at ₹430 (200W EMA)
🔺 Resistance at ₹530 (short term) & ₹550–575 (major breakout zone)

📉 JSW Energy is trading at P/BV ~3.1 (5-yr avg = 3.1), P/E ~44 (5-yr avg = 40.5).

⚠️ High debt due to capex is weighing on ROE.

🎯 Good Strategy: Owning near ₹430-450 support for long-term, OR Wait for breakout above ₹575 for momentum play.

#Stocks #Investing #Indianstockmarket #learntradingwithsudhir #jswenergy #Technicalanalysis

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

#UPL posted strong results, but weak future outlook is dragging the stock prices down.

📉 Support: ₹600–580 (likely bounce zone), then ₹560–540
📈 Resistance: ₹700, then ₹760 (long shot for now)

⚠️ Valuation: P/E ~48 vs 5Y avg ~18

👉 Still overpriced. Best to AVOID for now

#learntrading #rsi #technicalanalysis #StockMarketIndia #StockMarket #upl

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

@zaff1262 Logically, such low PEG of 0.31 will mean growth rate of > 50% at current P/E (not the case). Check out screener or tickertape- more reliable information.

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

Post good Q4 results, #Yesbank is Buzzing on Rumors of SMBC Japan eyeing majority stake 👀
Big foreign investment = 🔥 long-term sentiment booster

But Technically...

📉 Strong support: ₹15.5–16
⚠️ If that breaks, next support: ₹13

📈 Resistance ahead: ₹21–22
Clear that = rally to ₹25–26 possible

But here's the catch:
📊 P/B ~1.24 (above 5-yr avg ~1.2)
📈 PEG ~1.45 — higher than many peers
👉 Still looks expensive

⚠️ Despite the hype, might be wise to AVOID for now.
#StockMarket #YesBank #Investing #leartradingwithsudhir #nseindia #bse

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

#bseindia shares on 🔥!

Posted blockbuster earnings yesterday — outshining even NSE! 📈

Stock’s flying high with no resistance in sight,but wait..

💡 Fundamentally? Looks pricey vs NSE & global peers

⚡ Valuation driven by growth hype

🧱 Key support zones:
• ₹6000–6100 (short-term)
• ₹5450–5600 (next level)
• ₹4400–4600 (long-term)

📉 Already rallied big pre-results — upside may be capped

🔍 Smart move? WAIT for a dip before buying in!

#BSE #StockMarketIndia #Trading #Nifty #InvestingTips #StocksToWatch #learntradingwithsudhir

[stoxsense @stoxsense]

Adani Ports 🚢 Q4 was solid. Outlook = bullish.

Stock is above all key Moving Averages📈

🛡️ Support: 1100–1140 (strong), 980–1000 (last good)

🚀 Trigger: Break above 1300 = sharp rally toward 1600+

📊 P/E ~26 (5Y avg ~27)
⚖️ PEG ~1.1 = fair growth pricing
💸 P/B > 4, but profit expansion supports it

Might be a smart portfolio pick. 👀

#AdaniPorts #Stocks #Investing #Nifty50 #learntradingwithsudhir #AdaniGroup