daniel 🧶🦓

daniel, professor of stripeology (unaccredited)

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@GnosticProphet0 @dddavidmM cringe

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@ShadowMoby47 @Zcash @madscientists_x id lean leverage getting flushed ngl. way too many people were long the same thing and the ad just landed on the same day

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@CryptoCT01 saw that wick under 900 live and just froze lol. didnt add didnt sell, sitting on my hands is basically my whole strategy rn

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@WatcherGuru thailand lets tourists turn crypto into baht to pay for stuff and my bank in europe still wants a reason every time i send a few hundred euro to my own exchange lol

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@WatcherGuru 88% of a company wanting their boss to stay is wild. never liked any boss that much in my life and hes still gone lol

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@WatcherGuru good for them i guess. still not leaving more than gas money on any exchange after this week

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@Epsy_eth zec at 1007 is the one id be adding too. didnt sell a single one on the sub 1k day and not about to start now

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@mert bro my bags found a way to lose on both sides of the ai trade. kinda impressive honestly

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@WatcherGuru been sitting this out since sunday and ngl today is the first day it doesnt feel dumb

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

respect for posting the L but "it does get boring being right all the time" in the same post is crazy work lol. im only saving the take profit line

[Killa @KillaXBT]

The end of an era.

It does, in fact, seem like my 1.5 year streak is coming to an end. It was a good run, but just like anyone else, eventually I will be wrong.

Over the past 500 days, I managed to capture every single major swing movement, playing the bear market perfectly and managing to capture the local bottom at 62K as well.

However, I think it’s important to acknowledge mistakes and reflect on things. It was definitely foolish not to realize any gains from the profits made on the way up. In doing so, the market erased nearly all of them.

Of course, I am in a much better position than most. I didn’t lose any money on the drop, but I did give back uPNL, which in my eyes is basically the same as having lost it, despite not actually losing anything like many others most likely have.

The market does have a funny way of humbling everyone, and given the context, let me be a prime example of that. When you’re at the top of your game, winning consistently and predicting every major movement, the devil comes for you.

The only lesson learned here is to always make sure to take profits off the table. That was indeed my mistake. I was right in capturing the movement upwards, but wrong in derisking and wrong to remain fixated on one particular price region. As a swing trader and investor, the biggest mistakes I have usually made have been taking profits too soon. Hence, I didn’t want to make that mistake this time around. But again, sometimes taking profits too soon might be the sensible thing to do.

I am still, of course, bullish on the HTF. Anyone who understands how markets operate will understand why it’s foolish to be bearish on an asset that has proven itself for 20 years. I am still in my swing positions and spot positions. I just thought it was necessary to create this post.

If BTC happens to test 62.6K in the coming weeks, my current 75–76K continuation long gets stopped out. That will be the true invalidation of "I was wrong" with my first major swing being stopped.

Now, the important distinction here is that if we test 62.6K, I will still be holding my initial swing long entry, the one I have been holding for months. The invalidation on this is 31K, as I’m utilizing cross margin.

I will still be holding all of my spot as well.

So, the key takeaway regarding my positioning:

Long from 75–76K > Inval. 62K
Long from 62.6K > Inval. 31K
Spot from 65.9K > Inval. none

BTC has now retraced more than half of the move upwards. Only time will tell if we are able to start forming a base soon.

A humbling experience, which is exactly what I have been after for a while now. It does get boring being right all the time. There is no challenge when that is the case. It might be painful to round trip nice gains, but it was necessary in the context of humbling my mindset. It’s time to get back to the drawing board.

Always be humble, because what God gives, He can also take. And most importantly, take profits. Nobody goes broke doing so.

One thing I can promise you is that I never ask people to judge me on my winners, I ask them to judge me on my losers because I have so few.

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

nvidia is about a third off the october high in five weeks. jensen resigned this morning and nvidia made it official. they still call crypto too volatile

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

nah tether teaming up with chainalysis to freeze usdt before anyone even reports a crime is wild to me. catch the scammers, fine. just dont love that some dashboard can flag my wallet before i did anything. not keeping more than i need in usdt anymore

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@CryptoPsalm once they have the address they can see every payment you ever made, not just the one you sent them. ppl dont get that till its their wallet

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@blknoiz06 ngl separate devices is the only thing that lets me sleep. trading wallet is basically a burner, i click way too many links on it

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@AshCrypto really thought we werent seeing sub 2k eth again after august lol. i keep getting humbled on this stuff

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@KobeissiLetter market spent all morning pricing in jensen getting fired and now its bouncing back on vibes lol. feels like nobody actually knows anything today

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@BTCTurtle 15 gb is nothing lol. a wallet that runs its own node in two clicks is how it shouldve been from day one

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@SleazyMinks id bet 951 wicks under, grabs the stops and comes right back. everyones got that line marked, im not shorting this one

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@jussy_world @blknoiz06 the 465 who made zero never make the highlight reel lol. these callout stats look way better from the top

[daniel 🧶🦓 @stripefather]

@AshCrypto watched this whole eth round trip live and its still painful seeing 2021 and 2026 sitting side by side lmao