StudyE

Trying to jump in on the mother of all rotations at the right time. Eth first, memes last.

[StudyE @studyE45]

$ETH and $BTC charts to track further.

[StudyE @studyE45]

@CryptosBatman Historically since 2022

[StudyE @studyE45]

One green daily candle and people already call the bottom

Noice

[StudyE @studyE45]

Update 3: https://t.co/sapDAhadD6

[StudyE @studyE45]

Time to update this quarterly chart for $ETH and bitcoin:native

$ETH below the March low and even February low.
bitcoin:native below the March low and holding February low.

This Q2 drop was by the same playbook as Q4 2025 and Q1 and basically it was like this:

The highs and lows of the months prior the quarter change served as liquidity zones. (September, December, March highs and lows).

The first move into a high or low of the month prior the quarter change was manipulation:
- If the first move took out the High of the month prior, then that was bearish. ( Q4 took out the September high, Q1 took out the December high, Q2 took out the March high).
-If the first move takes out the low instead, then that is inherently a bullish manipulation. (We did not saw this yet).

So what is next?...

June is the month prior Q3, just like September, December and March.

So...

We need to see the June highs and lows establish the June range.
We need to see what will be taken out first in July, August.
- If the highs will be taken out first=bearish manipulation.
- If the lows will be taken out first=bullish manipualtion.

June is a waiting month, so we will wait.

[StudyE @studyE45]

$ETH and $BTC charts to track further.

[StudyE @studyE45]

Update 2: https://t.co/DlFrWOgYoo

[StudyE @studyE45]

Yesterday $BTC lost the March High and $ETH lost the Q2 open at the same time.

We could have a bounce into a lower low, yes but ultimately $BTC is going to revisit the Q2 open while $ETH will go to March low.

[StudyE @studyE45]

Time to update this quarterly chart for $ETH and bitcoin:native

$ETH below the March low and even February low.
bitcoin:native below the March low and holding February low.

This Q2 drop was by the same playbook as Q4 2025 and Q1 and basically it was like this:

The highs and lows of the months prior the quarter change served as liquidity zones. (September, December, March highs and lows).

The first move into a high or low of the month prior the quarter change was manipulation:
- If the first move took out the High of the month prior, then that was bearish. ( Q4 took out the September high, Q1 took out the December high, Q2 took out the March high).
-If the first move takes out the low instead, then that is inherently a bullish manipulation. (We did not saw this yet).

So what is next?...

June is the month prior Q3, just like September, December and March.

So...

We need to see the June highs and lows establish the June range.
We need to see what will be taken out first in July, August.
- If the highs will be taken out first=bearish manipulation.
- If the lows will be taken out first=bullish manipualtion.

June is a waiting month, so we will wait.

[StudyE @studyE45]

$ETH and $BTC charts to track further.

[StudyE @studyE45]

$BTC was suspicious even since then when you look retrospectively..

[StudyE @studyE45]

$BTC might be manipulating above the monthly open.

[StudyE @studyE45]

One thing that is a must to watch is the compression between the 200D MA and the 200W MA which will result in a cross sometime in September.

Last time $BTC did that was in 2022 November which resulted in a quick capitulation and 2 weeks later, the bottom was in.

[StudyE @studyE45]

This was a good call.

Target reached for $BTC, although I can see it taking out the low this week to have the June low in place.

[StudyE @studyE45]

June will be a red month for $BTC

Seasonality is there for it to happen.
Technicals show that the correction is not over yet.

In fact, each correction has been unwound into a timespan of two months, where the first month is setting the tone and the second month is all about acceleration and bottoming.

[StudyE @studyE45]

@kingcobratrader Nice vid

[StudyE @studyE45]

@cryptoknight890 Very possible

[StudyE @studyE45]

@Trader_XO I like drawing lines

[StudyE @studyE45]

Already see something like this on 3d for $Eth if the june low is already in.

June and July, maybe?!

[StudyE @studyE45]

@hearheed It’a crazy cause you would thought fomo is felt only when in an uptrend not the other way around

[StudyE @studyE45]

@hearheed I’m feeing a lot of fomo rn tbh.

[StudyE @studyE45]

@hearheed Jesus

[StudyE @studyE45]

@Tradermayne Maybe it’s by design? Saylor did that too and I doubt they are dummer than you or me..

[StudyE @studyE45]

@Osemka8 You don’t think we are in a bearmarket?

[StudyE @studyE45]

@JakAnthrax Look https://t.co/cPxXUZsIs6

[StudyE @studyE45]

This really blew my mind when I saw it.

One time every 4 year, June was incredibly pivotal for $BTC each cycle.

In 2014, June marked the high and when it was breached to the upside, it meant the bearmarket was over.

In 2018, 2022 we had a June low instead of a June high so when the low was breached to the downside, it meant that $BTC was in the final capitulation that set the bottom.

Now, in 2026 we seem to be having a June low again, much like 2018 and 2022.

What this means is all we have to do is wait and see where the June low ends up to be and then start buying incrementally once the low is breached.

It could be that instead of a July fake move up, we get a July fake move below the June low and continues into August, while the October or Q4 low would be a higher low. I have this in mind as a second scenario.

Bottom line is, let us see where June low ends up to be.

[StudyE @studyE45]

Pretty high levels of volume reached on to this move by $Btc

Similar to February low..

Hmm

[StudyE @studyE45]

@JakAnthrax I do not think that this is the bottom of the cycle but locally it could very well be. June low or high in each cycle was very pivotal.