StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪

I align key people, strategies, and great communities to progressive innovating projects. Let’s build 🏗 1WP Comm Manager 🌎 | Degen 🦍 gang | Bonafide Boule 🦉

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

Swim in the sea, go on road trips, count the stars, find true love be free.... do what makes you happy because too many moments are taken for granted

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

It appears that today serves as a prelude to a more substantial and transformative movement that is yet to unfold.

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

Definitely keep a close eye on volatility products heading into mid June 📝

[Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets]

#NQ_F is testing the gamma flip level today, tempting a cross into negative gamma.

In that regime, dealers tend to sell dips and buy rips, exacerbating volatility.

[Imran Lakha | Options Insight @options_insight]

Looking at the skew dashboard right now...

Bonds skew put biased. Gold skew put biased. Equities put skew cheap as chips. One of them is wrong.

Bond put skew is sitting around the 75-85th percentile. Gold put skew is 85th percentile. Investors are loading up on downside protection outside of stocks.

Equity put skew? Near bottom-of-range.

Three asset classes, three reads on the same macro. One of them is probably mispriced. I don't know which way it resolves, but it doesn't tend to sit like this forever.

For me, I kind of think it gets resolved by equity skew catching a bid rather than the other way around. Stocks ignoring what bonds and gold are pricing usually ends with the put skew waking up.

Doesn't mean short stocks. Could mean owning a few equity puts before the rest of the surface catches up makes sense.

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

Fed's Schmid: I think AI could lead to a rebirth in rural areas, since people can create businesses more easily from remote areas.

[Jonny Matthews | SuperMacro @super_macro]

JOLTS: more signal than noise

The JOLTS number yesterday may have been skewed by a dodgy estimate in professional and business services. The trend, though, is real. Corporate profits are surging - and where profits go, labour demand follows. Today's note has the chart going back 25 years.

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

📝

[SpotGamma @spotgamma]

I don't know if market cares about renewed Iran sit

But I do know that market is very long calls
and not long downside hedges (puts)

this makes the put call open interest ratios near their ~10 year lows

that transition could be violent

[CryptoOnchain @CryptoOnchain]

$ETH is quietly splitting into two markets.

Over 32.5% of Ethereum's supply is now staked (39.5M ETH), while exchange reserves and available liquidity continue to shrink.

Meanwhile, on-chain activity from smaller participants has collapsed, suggesting holders are moving into staking rather than actively trading.

If spot selling pressure fades without a derivatives unwind, the tightening liquid supply could set the stage for much stronger market dynamics.

#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #OnChain #Staking @cryptoquant_com

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

If we thought options and 0DTE was the tail that waged the dog… 🐕

[Robinhood @RobinhoodApp]

📅 Set your reminder. June 4: The PDT rule will be eliminated, and the $25,000 minimum account balance requirement will officially end.

What it means for you: We will be wiping all past PDT flags clean. Soon, customers will be able to trade on Robinhood without worrying about day trading limits again.

[Tier1 Alpha @t1alpha]

If you’re worried about the incoming $SPCX inclusion, wait until you see how much 401(k) flow $NVDA, $AAPL, and $MSFT are already receiving each month, irrespective of fundamentals, valuation, or even price.

For the passive bid, value is simply not a consideration.

[STEPH IS CRYPTO @Steph_iscrypto]

HUGE: 🇺🇸Coinbase CONFIRMED Washington is preparing to accelerate crypto rulemaking around the $30,000,000,000,000+ U.S. financial system IMMEDIATELY after the CLARITY Act passes.

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

What about the part where we make the end user the true winner and offer an honest yield on their hard-earned money instead of the meager 0.01% annually?

Let markets be markets and compete for innovation and deposits.

[Senator Tim Scott @SenatorTimScott]

The Clarity Act is the future of finance, laying the rules of the road and establishing America as the crypto capital of the world.

This bill says that the future of finance should be built in America, under American laws, and with American values.

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

@leadlagreport And becoming increasingly brittle with each uptick

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

@QTRResearch Im all here for that

[SpotGamma @spotgamma]

my view on inbound vol spasm aside

there remains a fair amount of positive gamma support between SPX and top single stocks, seen here.

dark blue = more positive gamma

this means it takes time to initially chew through downside

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

Definitely keep a close eye on volatility products heading into mid June 📝

[JTheretohelp1 @JTheretohelp1]

All Fear is gone

Goldman Sachs panic index closed Friday at a 1 handle (2y lows): It includes 2y pct rank of VVIX, VIX, skew, & ATM vol. It will open even lower this morning.

Prepare for June to throw market participants volatility to shake things up.

Have a lovely Monday😊

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

@SantiagoAuFund Very interesting read, definitely hadn’t thought about it that way

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

@FinanceLancelot Agreed
Mid June seems pretty action packed for something to make VIX go wild

SpaceX, the $25K rule for PDT goes 👋🏼, OpEx, FOMC 👀

[Rand Group @randgroup]

Ethereum is processing more transactions than ever in its history while costing almost nothing to use.

So... what's wrong now?

[StylΞs 🦇🔊🇻🇪 @Styles_eth]

Time to upgrade these financial systems to 2026 technology and innovations

[Senator Cynthia Lummis @SenLummis]

The Clarity Act is not just a crypto bill. It's a decision about whether America leads the next financial system or watches from the sidelines.

[Brett Erickson @BrettErickson28]

Trump now finds himself in an entirely new situation with the War in Iran.

He doesn't hold the cards. He has no notable leverage. And he can't simply declare bankruptcy for the seventh time and move on.

And it shows.

Donald Trump is not a statesman. He is not a diplomat. And I think, in many ways, this is what endeared him initially to many of his voters. He was businessman that accumulated billions of dollars of personal wealth through casino's, real estate, television, golf courses, and a multitude of endeavors.

You can say what you will, but at the end of the day, you don't accrue a net worth well beyond a billion, or even hundreds of millions of dollars, without being "successful", so let's put that partisan argument to the side for now.

But all throughout Trump's life, he's held the upper hand. He grew up wealthy. He received significant financial assistance from his father. And he had an effectively unlimited financial safety net in the event of failure. These are not points meant to be political hits, nor are they able to be refuted. They are simply the facts. Reality.

As a result, Donald Trump always had the leverage. He was a trust fund baby. Again, this is simply the truth. It is reported that Fred Trump left his children around a billion dollars when he passed away in 1999. Trust me, if you know beyond a shadow of a doubt you are set for life regardless, you live life differently.

What this means is that Donald Trump, throughout his business career which WAS hyper-successful, never HAD to succeed. He could also walk away if a deal was not in his favor. He, by definition, always held the cards. Generational wealth.

And don't get me wrong, President Trump was savvy in his exploitation of this reality. You'd be a fool to enter a deal you didn't think was highly beneficial to you if you didn't have to make a gamble. That'd be stupid.

In every transaction, every business dealing, it was either in his favor, or he walked.

Because. He. Could.

And when business endeavors failed to pan out? Bankruptcy could be declared. Again, save me the partisan takes, Donald Trump declared bankruptcies on his businesses six times. And he was RIGHT to do so. That's the correct financial decision... but it's an off-ramp. A quick fix.

These same realities - holding all the cards, being able to walk away, having a legal escape valve - do not exist in the quagmire he finds himself in with the Iran War.

The reality facing Donald Trump is one that he has never had to navigate before. Iran does not care that he is wealthy. It's irrelevant. Trump can't simply walk away because Iran would retain control of the Strait of Hormuz and it would destroy Trump's legacy. There is no emergency "bankruptcy-equivalent" escape valve here.

Now, Donald Trump has to sit on the other side of the table at a time when the stakes are the highest they have ever been in his entire life. No training wheels. No safety net. Trump's been thrown right into the deep end with perhaps the most savvy negotiators in the world.

President Trump holds effectively zero leverage with Iran.

There is not a modicum of domestic American support for this war. It was never sold to the American people. Many see this as Israel's war that is not "putting America first". The goals and objectives have changed by the day. For this reason, alongside the unlikely chance of success in the first place, a large-scale ground invasion is not a serious suggestion being put for by anyone with an above room temperature IQ.

Iran holds insurmountable "escalation dominance". If the United States targets Iran's energy infrastructure? Iran will retaliate massively across the Gulf. GCC countries have already made it abundantly clear to Trump that they fear Iran. That they don't trust the US-bought military equipment to protect their infrastructure or civilians. Iran can cut undersea cables. Iran could close the Bab al-Mandeb Strait and further cripple maritime shipping. Anything the US can do to hurt Iran, Iran can do tenfold to hurt the global economy.

Reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force? We tried that under Operation Freedom, and it was so ridiculous and stupid that it was canceled within 48 hours. Some are suggesting we try again, but seem to entirely misunderstand reality (as they have throughout the entire conflict). What? Is the United States supposed to effectively occupy the Strait of Hormuz until the end of time? How many vessels per day would be able to navigate the Strait of Hormuz with US naval escorts? What would the costs of this be? Can we adequately protect our sailors? Why wouldn't Iran, again, utilize their escalation dominance and shut down the Bab al-Mandeb or strike Gulf infrastructure? It. Doesn't Work.

The unfortunate reality is that President Trump holds no cards. He has no meaningful leverage. His ONLY option is making concessions at the negotiating table...

Is this something Trump is even capable of navigating in the first place though? A President, one who has made perhaps the gravest mistake in the history of American foreign policy, one who has never experienced these constraints before, one who has a litany of allies ready to turn their backs on him the second he capitulates... A man who's entire legacy will not be, "Trump the Businessman", nor will it be "Trump the President". It will eternally become, "Trump the Failure".

But it's his only choice. The Iran Hawks and Israeli Lobby that surrounds him, and they do, are prepared to claw him to shreds on Fox News and Newsmax. We saw this exact situation play out just this past weekend when initial terms of a potential Memorandum of Understanding was leaked. His so called "allies" in the United States turned their back on him immediately, leaving him with almost nobody remaining. Not after the Epstein Files. Not after this Iran War debacle.

Donald Trump now finds himself in an entirely unfamiliar situation. He doesn't hold the cards. He has no escape valve. And there is no realistic scenario where he can credibly claim victory... The only path forward is the one that will permanently destroy his legacy.

But it's the only way to end this war.