Tie (T. Song)

Econ dude. Interests: macroeconomics, financial economics, empirical finance, Fintech | Bon courage

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

https://t.co/M5gCWz8mFT

[St. Louis Fed @stlouisfed]

The FRED Blog helps you to be super accurate when talking about the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio https://t.co/wTNWePFpoQ

[St. Louis Fed @stlouisfed]

The unemployment gap between young men with and without college degrees has narrowed to historically low levels. What does generative AI have to do with this trend? An economist’s discussion of that and other questions on employment are on our blog: https://t.co/im7R28N3fu

[Robin Brooks @robin_j_brooks]

I wrote up my predictions for markets in 2026 in a post on Jan 1. They are: (i) the Dollar will resume its fall; (ii) an acceleration of the global debt crisis that's radiating out from high-debt countries like Japan; (ii) the debasement trade on fire...
https://t.co/i0rt50ap5o

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

2025 Duolingo Language Report https://t.co/nL7wu1PUCA

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

Fed's Logan: If the recent rise in repo rates turns out not to be temporary, the Fed would need to begin buying assets.

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

@adam_tooze 中秋快乐，excellent pinyin notation

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

🌗 Rise of the Half Moon 🌓
🔹🔹🔹🔹
🌟🌟🌟
Level: 3
Score: 67
#GoogleDoodle

https://t.co/3EXxaRrA8u

[猫总 @catmangox]

既然彭博社都报了，那么肯定就有了。

[Joseph Wang @josephwang]

Several QT hawks on the FOMC.

[Peterson Institute @PIIE]

Looking at Trump's proposed mass deportations, tariffs, & Fed independence erosion, by 2028, US consumer prices would generally be 20-28% higher & inflation rate would settle 2 percentage points above baseline, to be almost 4%, from 2034 through 2040. #VPDebate2024

[Lohith_Rebel @Rebelism_18]

@PicturesFoIder Perfect loop exists

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

https://t.co/bA7P1UqXH5

[外汇交易员 @fxtrader]

科罗拉多州最高法院取消了特朗普在该州参加2024年大选的权利，裁定基于第14修正案的“叛乱禁令”，认定特朗普不是一名合格的总统候选人。

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

Subscribe to Friday Speedrun, by @donnelly_brent https://t.co/PeAlHixzgW

[St. Louis Fed @stlouisfed]

In the week ended Aug. 31, the average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages dipped, to 7.18%, while the average for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages held steady at 6.55% https://t.co/ISI5vvlmxo

[Peter Berezin @PeterBerezinBCA]

Falling inflation can sow seeds of its own demise. Because wages are more sticky than prices, falling inflation will tend to lift real wages, leading to more spending. Real wages in the US are still 4% below their pre-pandemic trend, so they have plenty of upside. Larry was right to flag the risk of a second wave.

[Tie (T. Song) @stzfe]

RT @PriapusIQ: 🤮 𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗟𝗬 𝗗𝗜𝗥𝗘 𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗔 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔

🇨🇳 Exports (YoY) (Jul)
Actual: -14.5% 🔴
Expected: -9.8%
Previous: -12.4%

🇨🇳 Imports (YoY)…

[PiQ @PiQMarkets]

🇨🇳 China Trade Balance (USD) (Jul) $CNY

Actual: 80.60B 🟢
Expected: 67.80B
Previous: 70.62B