Michael Burry. opinion carries a lot of weight in the financial circle at the retail level. In this 2-part series we explore what he is missing and why the market does not agree with him as we don't either.
Part 1
https://t.co/1o9aLmd3qG
What he has is a strong, logical and well articulated opinion which is a reflection of himself and the lenses through which he sees the world of investment. A lens that is unique to him but that cannot be applied to everything.
Every investor needs to be aware of their own bias and recognize that those biases don't apply to every situation.
#gamestop #gme #ebay
Few understand this. People quoting sentiment figures use it to sooth the pain and make them believe it's ok to hold. The ultimate scapegoat for the inability to make decisions.
Bearish sentiment in a bull market creates resumption of the uptrend.
Bearish sentiment in a bear market accentuate the downtrend. It actually takes bullish sentiment to reverse this nightmare.
In 2022 sentiment stayed below 20 for 40 days while Bitcoin dropped another 50%
That in itself tells you are in a bear market. If you hang in to this for hope, then it's your second sign this is a bear market as prices fall on a slope of hope.
As long as you try figuring out where the bottom is, it will be lower.
True market capitalization comes when you can't hear a positive peep. Not when people are still trying to find the bottom and rationalize why it should.
It's not about prices, levels, numbers it is when you see that total anhilation of bullish arguments.
When one quote how oversold we are. That's a bull that as yet to give up. Not necessarily selling. But all these hope based arguments are gone off planet earth and cyberspace. Dead silence because those left trying to point that it might be over get ridiculed or dismissed.
THAT'S a bear bottom
11/
If you’re trading MSTR, focus less on the meme “$8B hole ETF”
and more on:
•debt maturities
•rate environment
•BTC drawdown scenarios
•and how easily the company can raise fresh capital.
That’s where liquidity risk actually shows up. 🧵✅
MSTR, index removals & the “$8B hole” – what really happens 🧵
1/
There’s a lot of wild takes around MicroStrategy (MSTR) right now:
“If they get kicked out of indices, a $8B hole appears and they’ll be forced to sell their Bitcoin.”
Sounds dramatic – but that’s not how it works. Let’s unpack it. 👇
10/
In short:
❌ Getting removed from indices does not create an immediate $8B hole.
❌ Funds dumping the stock does not automatically force BTC liquidation.
✅ The real risk lives in the medium-term combo of BTC cycle, debt structure and access to capital markets.