Guys, Timothy Ronald baru ngomong sesuatu yang dia sendiri mengaku lumayan takut buat ngomongnya.
Dan setelah gue dengerin gue ngerti kenapa.
Permainan di pasar modal Indonesia itu tidak adil untuk retail.
Bukan clickbait.
Itu kata-katanya langsung.
Dan dia kasih konteks yang bikin gue diem lama.
Siapa sebenernya Bandar itu?
Ini yang paling mengejutkan dari semua yang dia ceritain.
Bandar terbesar dari suatu saham di Indonesia bukan hedge fund asing.
Bukan institusi gede.
Bukan siapapun yang lo kira.
Bandar terbesar itu adalah owner emitennya sendiri.
Logikanya simpel.
Siapa yang paling tahu kapan corporate action bakal terjadi?
Kapan ada right issue?
Kapan ada berita bagus yang belum keluar ke publik?
Ya ownernya sendiri.
Dan di Indonesia karena regulasi insider trading praktis hampir nggak pernah ditegakkan seperti di Amerika mereka bisa manfaatin itu.
Beli saham pakai nama orang lain, KTP orang lain, akun sekuritas orang lain.
Nomini setahun paling Rp1 juta.
Murah banget buat main miliaran.
Cara kerja Bandar ini yang harus lo pahami.
Timothy breakdown dua tipe bandar.
Tipe pertama Bandar Ngampok.
Naikin harga setinggi-tingginya, buang semua barang ke retail di puncak, selesai.
Sahamnya tinggal puing.
Tipe kedua Bandar Pintar.
Ini yang lebih berbahaya karena keliatan normal.
Cara mainnya begini dia beli di harga 700, naikin ke 2.600, jual semua.
Profit gede.
Saham turun ke 1.000.
Tapi dia nggak pergi.
Dia masuk lagi di 1.000 pakai profit yang tadi.
Terus dia pupuk pelan-pelan beli sedikit di 1.000, retail ikut masuk, dia beli lagi di 1.300, retail ikut lagi, di 1.400 dia beli lagi.
Dia nggak perlu modal gede buat naikin dari 1.000 ke 3.000. Retail yang ikut-ikutan itu yang jadi bahan bakarnya.
Dan siklus ini berulang terus akumulasi, distribusi, akumulasi, distribusi.
Selama emitennya mau maintain, permainan ini bisa jalan bertahun-tahun.
Soal pompom lo selama ini salah kaprah.
Banyak yang kira pompom artinya influencer suruh beli, harga naik, dia ikut untung.
Salah.
Pompom yang sesungguhnya adalah bandar udah beli dulu di harga bawah, udah naikin harganya sendiri, baru suruh retail beli di harga yang udah tinggi itu.
Retail jadi exit liquidity tempat bandar buang barangnya.
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