Utangaçlığın doğuştan gelen temelleri vardır:
4 aylıkken uyaranlara çok hareketli tepki verip çabuk ağlayan bebeklerin neredeyse hiçbiri, 14 aylıkken cesur/girişken olmaz.
Izin menjelaskan risiko hamil di usia sekolah ya!
Tubuh remaja belum sepenuhnya matang secara fisik, mental, dan sosial untuk menghadapi kehamilan dan pengasuhan anak. Banyak yang mengira hamil, melahirkan, dan mengurus anak itu “lebih enak” atau “lebih ringan” daripada sekolah, padahal kenyataannya justru sebaliknya.
1. 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗸𝗼 𝗞𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘁𝗮𝗻 𝗙𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗸 𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗸 𝗜𝗯𝘂 𝗥𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗷𝗮
Terdapat beberapa risiko kehamilan dan persalinan pada ibu remaja antara lain
-Komplikasi tekanan darah tinggi dan perdarahan lebih tinggi
-Risiko persalinan macet lebih tinggi
-Risiko kematian lebih tinggi (2-5 kali lipat lebih tinggi dibandingkan ibu hamil usia 20-39 tahun)
2. 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗸𝗼 𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗸 𝗝𝗮𝗻𝗶𝗻
-Risiko kelahiran prematur lebih tinggi
-Risiko gangguan pertumbuhan janin lebih tinggi, apalagi bila gizi ibu kurang
3. 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗸𝗼 𝗣𝘀𝗶𝗸𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗴𝗶𝘀 𝗱𝗮𝗻 𝗠𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗹
-Depresi pasca melahirkan lebih tinggi, apalagi bila lingkungannya tidak mendukung
-Risiko putus sekolah, sehingga peluang kerja dan penghasilan kedepannya menurun drastis
Jadi masih mikir mendingan hamil aja dibandingkan sekolah?!
Bir kişiye bağlıyken beynimiz çekici alternatiflere otomatik olarak daha az dikkat ediyor.
Bu ilişkiyi korumaya yardımcı olan otomatik bir dikkat mekanizması olabilir.
Jonathan Gruber, MIT economics professor:
"Jane Street can quote billions a day and still get picked off by one trader who knows more than they do. That risk has a name, adverse selection, and it's lecture 24 of a free MIT course."
this free MIT lecture holds the most important half of the "avellaneda-stoikov market making" framework the thread sells you. gruber explains adverse selection: when one side of a trade knows more than the other, the uninformed side systematically loses, and good markets can collapse entirely. that's not a finance trick, it's foundational economics, taught for free.
it's also the exact risk the thread's whole spread exists to survive. the post lists two market-making risks, inventory and adverse selection, and adverse selection is the one that actually kills you. the reservation price and the optimal spread are clever, but they assume every trader hitting you is uninformed. this lecture is about what happens when they're not.
so the math was never the moat. the avellaneda-stoikov equations have been public since 2008, and the deeper idea underneath them, that information asymmetry sets the real price of liquidity, has been textbook economics for fifty years.
and here's the honest part. you can implement the model perfectly and still bleed, because the base version assumes informed flow doesn't exist. it does. the edge was never quoting the optimal spread. it's sensing when the person lifting your offer knows something you don't, and widening before they take your whole inventory. the lecture is free. reading that, live, is the job.
Kendimizi anlaşılmamış hissettiğimizde yokuşları daha dik algılıyor, acıya daha az katlanıyoruz; çünkü anlaşılmamak dünyayı daha tehdit edici hale getiriyor.