A funny consequence of this, for example, is the fact that short-term, every day we get closer to the US mid-term elections is a net loss of negotiating power to Iran, since the cost of the mid-term on Trump becomes less "potential" and more "realized"
@GhalebHabian@APHClarkson Trust, by definition, has no effect on negotiation; peace deals happen when the terms are equal to the consequences of continuing the war minus the cost of war itself. Disagreement on what that means is why wars keep going.
The main legacy of the AKP is actually the Americanization of Turkish politics. It became very campist and incoherent. There are no more ideological battle ground it's entirely a red vs blue.
The "liberal Muslim" wave that brought in Erdogan no longer exists
I will never understand Turkiye. A non-Hijabi member of Erdogan's AKP was forced to resign after she condemned Kemalists for usury, homosexuality, running nightclubs, and other perversions.
A party made up of (ex)Islamists where a non-Hijabi is more Islamist than the leadership!
@Miyhnea or literal return of the Caliphate... As if not every single one of them picked and chose random aspects they felt helped their legitmacy and political power in a very non ideological self-serving ways!
@Miyhnea There is this weird fictional polarization where we all pretend that past middle eastern rulers were somehow either the founder of reddit atheism and secularism strongest defender,
🤣 Albanian PM Edi Rama on when Albania will join the EU:
“There are three things you can't predict: God, sex and the EU.”
Probably the most accurate description of EU enlargement ever.
كلنا حسان عقاد، ليس لأجله ولا لأجل الحملة بعينها، لأجل الحرية التي كفلتها التضحيات، إذا سمحنا لهم بإسكاته اليوم، سيسكتون أي احد ليس على مزاجهم غداً.
الحرية حق لكل فرد ولكل مجتمع، وأي سلطة لها الحق في ضبطها، وليس لأي أحد حق منعها.
لقد اسقطنا الدكتاتورية ولن نسمح بقيامها من جديد.
They mainly cared about their own risk management and feared casualties, but in exchange, this meant objective control was effectively nonexistent, resulting in them just flattening everything to cover up the fact that they were going to give up any ground they've taken anyway.
Because it wasn't, it looked a lot more like raids, bombing target locations, then moving in to quickly take it before actually leaving at the end of the day and going back to their base.
Israel's casualties do not paint a picture of intense urban fighting. USA suffered over 2,000 soldiers dead in the first 3 years of the Iraq war for reference.
Officially, they paid 29million per month for 3 months. There were talks of renewing it for 3 more months, which might have happened, maybe even theoretically a third round.
However, there is 0 announcements, evidence, or even insider information on anything beyond the first.
@meneiamen She attacks the French and the west for their anti Islam stance just as much as she attacks Iran, but you wouldn't know that because the only value that exists nowadays is campist grievance politics.
@meneiamen Given that she's would've been literally dying those last few years, this is an absurd level of scrutiny not demanded of literally anyone else, it's just blood sport of who everyone agreed to burn at the stake this weekend.
@meneiamen From what I can find, the only public stance she had on Gaza seems to be rejecting France's attempt to Honor here claiming they're being hypocrites pretending to care about human rights selectively.
مصادر مطلعة و مقربة من قصر الإليزيه :
ماكرون يعتزم زيارة سوريا مطلع الشهر القادم للإشراف على الترتيبات النهائية لاتفاق استلام وتسليم السلطة في دمشق للجنرال مناف طلاس، وفق ما تتداوله مجلة كُكورِتش التركية العالمية
@DrSalehSeyidli They outright sent troops to help him it, a little more than just sympathy. However the STG doesn't really care about much apart from having good relations with anyone even if they have to pretend to forget old issues.