T May

News & geopolitics junkie, likes strong ☕️, open to diverse views, curator of lists. Idealist, no illusions. @UCLA alum. Follow/RT=interesting, ≠endorsement.

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Volatility by the Numbers
Measuring election-over-election swings in Liberal vote share reveals a mean absolute shift of 10.2 percentage points per cycle — very high for a supposedly safe seat.

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Vancouver Centre is not a Liberal riding. It’s a @HedyFry riding. When she retires, it becomes one of the most competitive seats in Canada overnight. Here’s the data. #cdnpoli

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Two things jump out immediately. First, the Liberal vote is anything but stable. Second, the Conservative vote oscillates between 17% and 30% but never breaks through. The real action is on the left, where the NDP and Greens compete for the same progressive bloc of voters.

[T May @t__m_a_y]

The growing threat of fires has shaken the Napa valley wine industry, as fears of smoke-spoiled grapes and soaring insurance rates put vintners on edge: ‘a devastating situation’ | ⁦@guardian⁩ 🇬🇧 https://t.co/IXeOgGUjmB

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Behind Thai Prime Minister’s Dismissal, Unraveling of an Uneasy Alliance.

#Thaksin #Shinawatra had struck a grand bargain with #Thailand’s establishment, analysts say, that allowed his daughter, #Paetongtarn to ascend to the premiership | @nytimes https://t.co/GMaZYz9Ze1

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Antarctic ice loss could have 'catastrophic' impact | @dwnews 🇩🇪 https://t.co/OLUBsX7CC5

[T May @t__m_a_y]

#Thailand: Suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra’s possible resignation before Constitutional Court’s ruling on August 29: A question of survival or no escape? | @Thenationth 🇹🇭 https://t.co/Ihr37IFTmd

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Californians are bracing for the first major heatwave of the year, a multiday scorcher that could bring triple-digit temperatures, pose significant threats to public health and sharply heighten wildfire risks |⁦@guardian⁩ 🇬🇧 https://t.co/lfhSZSwpFI

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Hiroshima’s fading legacy: the race to secure survivors’ memories amid a new era of nuclear brinkmanship | The Guardian 🇬🇧 https://t.co/5pA5OoMSls

[T May @t__m_a_y]

A nuclear reactor on the moon? come again? | @BangkokPostNews 🇹🇭 https://t.co/ZUm57z2Ycd

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Thailand-Cambodia border dispute: 130,000 Thai civilians evacuated amid second day of clashes | ⁦@BangkokPostNews⁩ 🇹🇭 https://t.co/uWM7pYipxK

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Dozens of ambitious Democrats are looking at the 2028 presidential contest and thinking: why not me?

The next Democratic presidential primary is set to be the most wide-open field in a generation | @axios https://t.co/CprfKFqwWz

[T May @t__m_a_y]

US President Trump revokes funds for the high-speed rail project to connect Los Angeles and San Francisco, the two main cities in California | @dwnews 🇩🇪 https://t.co/xcvb0hv7wA

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Nine households control 15% ($683bn) of wealth in California’s Silicon Valley as inequality widens.
✅110,000 households reported nearly none or no assets.
✅Renters must earn $136,532 to afford an apartment – highest in the nation | ⁦@guardian⁩ 🇬🇧 https://t.co/S5zJB2F2wL

[T May @t__m_a_y]

How human eggs stay fresh for decades, much longer than most other cell types | @newscientist https://t.co/KTPHJ9DZSl

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Less scripted, more cursing, Trumpier insults.

Democrats—struggling to compete with Trump for attention and fix their record-low polling numbers—try a new tone.

Will it work?
@washingtonpost https://t.co/oqIZYXrvJ0

[T May @t__m_a_y]

German backpacker Carolina Wilga drank water from puddles and sheltered in a cave before escaping an 11-night ordeal in the Australian bush. | @RFI_En 🇫🇷 https://t.co/cDidl5D9Pt

[T May @t__m_a_y]

As US President Trump pushes deportations, many Latin American migrants are heading back to their home countries under duress. Their journeys and return trips expose them to new perils | @dwnews 🇩🇪 https://t.co/Ctr5Zw9jbE

[T May @t__m_a_y]

Texas faces hurricanes, heat, drought, rising seas and – as last week showed – deadly floods. But despite the clear need for preventive action, that is not the political mood | @guardian 🇬🇧 https://t.co/S2tB4Nyjpq

[T May @t__m_a_y]

#Thailand | Poll: 80% of Thais want PM Paetongtarn to quit or dissolve House | @BangkokPostNews 🇹🇭 https://t.co/yLDtz8gTAi