Victor TALANOV

Здравомыслие / Sanity
Ставьте цели, прежде чем что-то делать./Set goals before doing anything.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@nokami_pub @RuslanLeviev Для этого тоже опыт нужен.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@alertpostmodern @RuslanLeviev Во сколько квадратных метров или километров вы оценили бы свою жизнь или жизнь вашего сына? Т.е. сейчас есть статистика 10 бойцов на 1 км2 (цифры от балды). Это ок для вас?

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@leonidvolkov Право силы было всегда и видимо этот период пока не закончился, несмотря на тренд гуманизиа.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@dw_russian Интересно, как 500 солдат смогут исправить ошибки управления страной?

[Brivael Le Pogam @brivael]

On my way to the office this morning, I passed a group of young people protesting, a Palestinian flag draped over their shoulders.

And I asked myself a question I can't shake: why does this generation always fall into the same trap? No matter the history. No matter the context. Even the ones from wealthy families, who went to the best schools, who were dealt every good card. Always the same trap.

I don't think it's stupidity. I think it's a mechanism. And a mechanism can be taken apart, piece by piece.

A. The observation: everything the state touches becomes unaffordable.

Look at economist Mark Perry's famous chart, the one people call "the chart of the century." It tracks US prices since 2000.

At the top, what explodes: hospital services, college tuition, textbooks, childcare, housing. Increases of +100%, +150%, up to +250%, far above general inflation.

At the bottom, what collapses: TVs, software, phones, toys, clothing. A TV today costs a fraction of what it did in 2000, for an infinitely better product.

Look at what separates the two groups. It isn't technology. It isn't complexity. It's one variable: how much the state is involved.

At the top, sectors that are subsidized, regulated, shielded from competition, where the state funds demand and blocks supply. At the bottom, sectors where companies fight every single morning to serve you better and cheaper.

B. The mechanism: why it's systematic.

When the state subsidizes demand without freeing supply, prices rise. Every time. Guaranteed student loans, and universities raise tuition. Housing aid plus blocked building permits, and rents skyrocket. Administered healthcare, and bureaucracy eats the budget before it ever reaches the patient.

In France it's even more vicious, because the price doesn't disappear: it hides. You never see the hospital bill, you pay it through payroll contributions. You never see the cost of school, you pay it through taxes. Public spending at 57% of GDP, one of the heaviest tax burdens in the world, more than €3.4 trillion in debt. And the result? Overflowing ERs, falling PISA scores, young people who can't afford to live in the city where they work.

The market didn't fail in these sectors. It was never allowed in.

C. Suffering demands a culprit.

A 22-year-old lives all of this in their bones. They can't find a place to live. Their degree either buries them in debt or opens no doors. The future feels blocked. That suffering is real, and I don't deny it for a second.

But human beings can't stand suffering without a culprit. They need a face. A scapegoat.

And this is where everything is decided: who taught them how to read the world?

D. Whoever tells the story picks the villain.

Schools are public. Universities are public. Culture runs on grants. Film goes through funding committees. Public broadcasting shapes the narratives. The people handing down the interpretive framework are, overwhelmingly, paid by the very system that creates the problem.

Do you really think that system is going to name itself as the culprit?

No. It names the capitalist. The boss. The landlord. "The rich." The multinational. The commercial West. Same role, same casting, every time.

E. One lens, a thousand causes.

And this brings me back to that flag. A generation taught to read every situation through a single lens, oppressor on one side, rich, Western, capitalist, oppressed on the other, will apply that lens everywhere. To housing. To climate. To conflicts on the other side of the world. The cause changes, the lens stays. That's why the trap is always the same: it's not the cause that draws them in, it's the way of thinking that was installed in them.

F. The perfect inversion.

Here's the irony. Capitalism is the force that drove down the price of almost everything it touched. The state is the force that blew up the price of almost everything it captured. And young people blame the first for the crimes of the second.

It's like blaming the firefighter for the fire because you saw him at the scene.

G. The ballot box confirms it.

In the US, a few weeks out from the midterms, a large share of urban young voters is getting ready to vote Democrat for more state, more spending, more regulation. New York elected a self-described socialist mayor, carried by young voters, on promises of rent freezes and city-run grocery stores. Rent freezes, the policy that has made housing scarcer everywhere it's been tried. The cure that worsens the disease.

In France, it's the same play in two acts. Part of the youth votes for the radical left, which promises more state. Another part votes for the center, which promises to "manage" the state well, and has dug the debt deeper than ever. Two different ballots, one shared assumption: the problem is the market, the solution is the state.

H. The way out.

These young people aren't stupid. They're right to be angry. They're just aiming at the wrong target.

The day they understand that their rent, their tuition and their hospital are expensive precisely because the state runs them, their anger will change direction. They'll stop protesting against those who create. They'll start protesting against those who capture.

That day, the greatest intellectual scam of our time will be over.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@the_ins_ru Было бы странно обратное. Они там живут бок о бок столетия было бы странно чтоб в какие-то периоды не метисирова��и слегонца :)

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@dw_russian @kvoneggert Просто наблюдение: Война или мир между странами зависит от политической элиты. Как и 200-400 лет назад поссорились феодалы, а умирают и живут в нужде холопы. Правильнее писать "Путин хамит Санаэ Такаити ради уважения Си". Японии и японцам пофиг, если не считать Уёку дантай >1%

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@dw_russian Очень слабый уровень оппонентов с обоих сторон :( общие фразы, отсутствие логичны�� аргументов, статистики и научных данных.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@the_ins_ru Надо было призывать голосовать за коммунистов или лдпр. Прикольно было-бы посмотреть как их снимают с выборов.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@leonidvolkov Давайте за коммунистов топить ради прикола. Вдруг наберут большинство. Будем наблюдать за тараканами в банке.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@dw_russian Неправильный народ (28%) досталя Германии. Или я неправ?

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@dw_russian Сравните налоговую и бюрократическую нагрузку в Германии и Китае. В��м станет понятно что шансов у про��ышленности Германии не очень много :(

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@crazymoose6 @dw_russian Но чтобы вложить эти деньги в рекультивцию ты будешь 5-10 лет согласовывать проект... Ну нафиг.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@k1nka @dw_russian Строительные нормы это обычный документ, как пдд. Если читать не умеешь, то конечно будут проблемы :)

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@k1nka @dw_russian Что мне мешает установить кондей по нормам? Производитель кондея уже всё предусмотрел. Он заинтересован в успехе больше чем Ваши соседи :)

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@the_ins_ru Дети с раннего возраста должны понимать бесполезность чиновников. Австралийские бюрократы делают для этого всё возможное.
Я детей с 7-8 лет начинаю приучать самостоятельно принимать решения. О всех опасностях и угрозах я предупреждаю многократно, но НЕ запрещаю ошибаться

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@k1nka @dw_russian Как связана установка техники и проблемы окружающим? Я самостоятельно могу обсудить с соседями что мне мешает или буду ли я мешать соседям. Мне для этого ��е нужен "сертифицированный чиновник", который не несёт ни какой ответсвенности, но тратит мои деньги и время.

[Victor TALANOV @TalanovVictor]

@k1nka @dw_russian Очень легко объяснить ограничение свобод заботой о вас и вашей безопасности. В итоге средней европеец это инфантильное создание о котором заботятся такие же инфантильные чиновники :). Продолжаю наблюдать из Чехии, которая пытается копировать "лучшие практики" Германии. :)