In the Incerto there's a scene/line where a trader hires a guy to solve differential equations.
AI is a huge threat to the guy, not the trader.
In the social history of nerds they've never been as well off and imp. as in the last 50y
Compare the lives of Reimann and Tao.
People don't get how brutally inefficient software development has been prior to AI. I don't mean how long it takes to write code, I mean the division of labor between coders and PMs.
The coder had almost no sense of what behavior would actually manifest in the product. They just did their little piece of isolated work, because code is logical and interesting, and then moved onto the next piece in the backlog.
Almost completely disconnected from the use of the product. Like a scribe copying manuscripts without understanding the war. Searle’s Chinese room translator in human form.
But now that AI can code (yes, literally all of it, despite what the insecure 10x engineers who are about to lose their bloated salaries wine about) there no longer needs to be a disconnect between the making and using.
Whoever makes the software (coders and PMs are meaningless names now...so pick a new title) just has to *use* the software. Keep using it, again and again, until it converges into what it needs to be. Until it becomes that which survives.
Use, tell AI, use, on and on, forever (since products are never "finished"). This is how evolution works. This is how things are supposed to be created. And humans were never meant to be writing code. That's no different than the demeaning soot-stained labor of the industrial revolution.
No more talking back and forth between "coders" and "product managers." This was the embodiment of inefficiency; and not the cool kind of intentional inefficiency, like savouring your cappuccino or moving slowly on your walk. Just dumb, disconnected, 1000-times-worse-than-how-nature-works kind of inefficiency.
Of course most of today's company's are still bloated with fear-mongering legacy coders and "designers", so will suffer the now brutal cost of division of labor.
Until they finally cut the fat, and realize the world is different.
He is criminally underfollowed here - such a fascinating original thinker. Anyone who's read Taleb @nntaleb and wondered who should I read next - Sean McClure @sean_a_mcclure is your guy and "Discovered, Not Designed" is the book you are looking for.
He is criminally underfollowed here - such a fascinating original thinker. Anyone who's read Taleb @nntaleb and wondered who should I read next - Sean McClure @sean_a_mcclure is your guy and "Discovered, Not Designed" is the book you are looking for.
Insane that one of the clearest thinkers today *only* has 10K followers. His great treatise, Discovered, Not Designed, was the book I gifted most in 2025. In the age of Social Media, with counterfeit talents flooding the exchange, his deep insights feel like alien gold. Congrats.
golden rule for printing on FB ads:
Turn off every single Facebook recommended setting and do the opposite of what they tell you.
Been workin well for me since 2018
I don't understand why ad agencies are trying to get AI to replace their creative people.
AI is desperate to please, makes things up on the fly and tells everyone what they want to hear. That seems a lot more like client service to me.
Nassim (@nntaleb) predicting AI way back in 2010...
"The twentieth century was the bankruptcy of the social utopia; the twenty first will be that of the technological one."