@RoaringRagnar Exactly. I think stop-outs will keep happening as $STRC only tends to be at $100 near ex-date, leaving messier price action between cycles.
Yield is blamed for $STRC not holding par, but $SATA's edge is structural:
Daily divs = daily upside-vol control.
https://t.co/yMVg2xJ1Cm
@RoaringRagnar Thought about it a bit more.
TLDR;
Allowing price to rise by the full dividend amount, from $100.00 to $100.96, would likely keep it above $100 after ex-date, allowing continued issuance and continued upside volatility control. No control below $100.
https://t.co/J1pHaD7X7n
Most people track $BTC in dollars.
A small group tracks BTC vs S&P 500 ($SPX).
The benchmark is not the dollar. It is the ratio.
TanHef Ranks just flashed 2 green oversold markers on #BTC/#SPX.
Most people will watch price.
The ones who track ratios spot the oppotunities.
Most people see #Pinterest as a place to browse ideas.
Stock price is up +50% since February.
But $PINS is quietly becoming an AI ad engine.
AI-powered ads can improve targeting and give brands more value per dollar spent.
$PINS (Pintrist): TanHef Ranks printing ▲ on 4h.
(▲ = most extreme oversold rank to date)
Prior green ▲ (in 2024) was followed by a >+50% mean-reversion move. Oversold can stay oversold but the odds of mean-reversion are high.
This time price is up +15% already. NFA
Most people see $PANW (Palo Alto Networks) as a cybersecurity stock at risk of being disrupted by AI.
But AI creates a new security arms race.
AI creates 2 problems at once:
-attackers move faster.
-companies need defense systems that react faster than humans.
Palo Alto Networks, one of many cybersecurity companies, preventing the next wave of AI-driven threats.
The beginner lesson. AI is not only chatbots. Its for:
-It is fraud detection.
-Network monitoring.
-Threat response.
-Customer support.
-Code review.
-Security automation.
Every company adopting AI creates questions.
Who protects:
-Systems?
-Data?
-Agents running it?
The next 5 years will not reward only the obvious AI names. Investing rarely looks obvious in the moment. It only appears obvious after the move has already happened.
Most people will chase the obvious AI names / the ones who win will study the companies protecting the AI economy.
#TanHefRanks (1D): screamed a top during the peak last week though.
TanHef Ranks flagged Intel as extremely overbought (▼) on the daily at $100, then again on the weekly at $120.
One subscriber told me $INTC (Intel) continuing to rip was the reason they canceled.
I see this kind of indicator capitulation all the time.
Not price capitulation. Patience capitulation. Time capitulation. Psychology capitulation.
The signal looks early. Then it looks wrong. Then, right before the turn, people give up on it.
That’s what makes markets so fascinating.
The hardest signal to trust is the one that looks wrong right before it proves itself.
$VRRM (1D): Stock was doing 90 MPH in a 35, got flashed by the mean-reversion camera, and now it’s blowing through red lights at +48%.
A joke is always funnier when you have to explain it... Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) does automated traffic systemsand speed enforcement tech.
@BigpictureBTC I'm sure many will have polarizing reactions to the idea that the Bitcoin sold isn't measured against the average purchase price of the whole stack... but against the cost basis of the specific lots sold.