Tony Martin-Vegue

Not visiting here anymore.
→ Essays at (2x/month)
→ Newsletter: LinkedIn: tonymartinvegue

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Not really on Twitter anymore.
But you can find me here:
📘 Essays: https://t.co/bMTszWNq8X
📨 Newsletter: https://t.co/eed8uf5Bcl
💼 LinkedIn: https://t.co/WM9SBE9cfN

If you're into cyber risk, decision science, or quantifying uncertainty — come say hi.

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

@caseyjohnellis for years it Jillian’s, now it’s table top tap house.

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

This is a great Friday laugh. “We never wore seatbelts as a kid and, look, my generation turned out fine” is the ultimate example of survivorship bias. https://t.co/ZASOCoWIA8

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

New blog post! Many InfoSec pros struggle with measuring the effectiveness of security awareness training. Here are some tips on how to measure if user behavior is tangibly changed. https://t.co/PQoiIpVvK4

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Love this! https://t.co/87rgNch0dk

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

New blog post! How a 14th-century monk can improve your decision making

I use the principles of Ockham's Razor every day, from vetting my risk register to concluding how my dog got out of the house. #management #technology #decisionmaking #riskmanagement https://t.co/s9s0Zi6FzX

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Finally, Bono and I have something in common. https://t.co/k0R0YwPmD4

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

March 2021 looked a lot like February 1637 to me, and I'm afraid we're in for a rocky ride. Some of my thoughts are in this blog post I wrote when Coinbase IPO'd and Bitcoin's value seemed limitless. https://t.co/irgJLbYBHa

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

I've always been bearish on cryptocurrency in general. In some cases, it feels like a Ponzi scheme. Other coins are, without a doubt, simple pump-and-dump scams.

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Wow, this is a really provocative post! I love it.

David Brown makes some really good points. I do believe the solution to the problem he describes is to bring the field of cyber security forecasting and analysis into the 21st cen…https://t.co/MJ1dQlCq99 https://t.co/XFT5IIZUh8

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

@PaulM Agree. I think it’s inevitable

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

In case you missed it - check out my 2022 cyber predictions. I do things a bit differently than most annual prediction lists. https://t.co/NYTaduycOS

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

@coffeetocode Thanks! I may get one of those oddball ones right… never know

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Check out my latest article:
A Beginner's Guide to Cyber War, Cyber Terrorism and Cyber Espionage https://t.co/pnpkoBeQzw via @LinkedIn

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Every cybersecurity professional needs to be closely following the current cyber attacks between Russia and Ukraine. It's a preview of what's to come on a wider scale.

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

Unfortunately, this is nothing new - I first started seeing this in 2015 and wrote up an analysis on Russian/Ukraine cyberattacks and the meaning of cyberwar. I just hope the cyberattacks don't escalate to the kinetic. https://t.co/OBcZWpUtjP

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

We seem to be inching closer to war between Russia and Ukraine. Early this morning, Ukrainian government websites were hit with a series of cyberattacks.

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

- I offer a quantitative way to measure whether or not I'm right

- At the end of 2022, I'll donate money to the @eff based on my % correct (last round, I donated $400)

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

I'm back, with another round of 2022 annual predictions - with my unique twist.

Most annual prediction lists we see this time of year are written so broadly that the writer can hardly ever be wrong. They also don't go back at the…https://t.co/nvEH4qGJ4M https://t.co/6VHcDsZIRr

[Tony Martin-Vegue @tdmv]

I was very lucky to get a sneak peek at @RichardSeiersen's new book, The Metrics Manifesto. It's witty, unique, and - most of all - comes at a pivotal time in our field. This book does for security metrics what Julia Childs did for provincial French cooki…https://t.co/3jW7ksytxR