New here? Welcome to TD Footy Tips 👋
We’re building a community around +EV football betting — not pretending every bet wins.
Every selection is tracked, and the long-term test is whether we beat the Pinnacle closing line.
Here’s what we’re about 🧵
Everything is free to follow.
Join the Telegram here 👇
https://t.co/4uA96TfD0J
Follow the journey and judge the results for yourself.
Thanks to everyone already involved — we’re only getting started 📈
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New here? Welcome to TD Footy Tips 👋
We’re building a community around +EV football betting — not pretending every bet wins.
Every selection is tracked, and the long-term test is whether we beat the Pinnacle closing line.
Here’s what we’re about 🧵
A winning bet can still be a bad bet if the price was poor.
A losing bet can still be a good decision if it beat the market.
The goal is to keep making strong decisions over a large sample and let the results follow.
Not every bet moves our way.
FC Santa Claus taken at 3 earlier today.
Pinnacle’s de-vigged closing price was 3.755, giving us roughly -20% CLV
It could still win, but the closing market suggests this was a poor entry from us. We have beat the closing line on 90% of bets this month (started recording that in my spreadsheet) however I want to highlight an example of not every bet going in our favour 🤝
Nice one in the free Telegram today ✅
🇳🇴 Over 4.5 goals @ 2.2 ✅
🇦🇷 Over 3.5 goals @ 2.2 ✅
Double landed @ 4.84 ✅✅
Good start to August so far.
Join the free Telegram via the bottom of the tweet or the link in bio 👇
https://t.co/4uA96TfD0J
Another day another 🐶in the free telegram 🤝
🇩🇰✅Bronshoj @ 3.85✅🇩🇰
Taken an hour before kick off and closed @ 3.028📉
Another one thanks to @oddsnotifier 🔥