Welcome to TechBroSports ๐
โข AI-powered edges
โข Transparent bet tracking
โขLearn to think in probabilities
I will never sell you picks or paywall content.
Want to turn sports betting from entertainment to profit? Follow along and letโs beat the market.
MLS card for today โฝ๏ธ
4 plays from the model:
๐ฏ Atlanta ML +230
Fair: +161
๐ฏ FC Cincinnati ML +240
Fair: +177
๐ฏ Colorado +0.5 +120
Fair: -131
๐ฏ Toronto +0.5 +105
Fair: -139
Continuing to attack plus-money edges and lower-variance dog spots. Letโs cash.
Note: Split 0.5 u for Dallas ML and Dallas +0.5. The raw edge is there for the mispriced number, but projected xG still is 1.67 - 1.57 in favor of Vancouver
Midweek MLS card is set ๐
Austin +0.5 +125 (fair -115)
Colorado +0.5 +105 (fair -133)
San Jose +0.5 -125 (fair -162)
FC Dallas ML +260 (fair +177)
FC Dallas +0.5 -125 (fair -146)
Model keeps finding side value. Letโs keep stacking profitable slates ๐ฐ
MLS recap: 3-2 โ Profitable again.
โ SD +0.5 +110
โ Austin +0.5 +115
โ NYCFC ML +145
โ Toronto ML +230
โ SJ ML +210
Every posted slate has finished green so far ๐
Lesson: +0.5 matters when draw risk is real.
MLS card for 5/9-5/10 โฝ๏ธ
Toronto FC ML +230, model fair +125
San Jose ML +210, model fair +151
San Diego +0.5 +110, model fair -117
Austin +0.5 +115, model fair -106
NYCFC ML +145, model fair +121
Model is still finding plus-money spots where the market is too low on xG ๐
Profitable 3-2 MLS weekend โ
If you flat bet $100 on every posted play so far:
33 unique plays
18-15 record
+$1,782 profit
+54% ROI
Not every play wins, but the process continues to show value.
Long season. Keep building. ๐โฝ
Working on the next slate now, stay tuned!
MLS model went 3-1 yesterday โ
โ Minnesota +0.5
โ FC Dallas ML +240
โ Colorado +0.5
โ Orlando +1.5
Todayโs card is simple: St. Louis ML +170 vs Austin.
Model keeps finding value on sides, so weโre staying disciplined and riding the edge. ๐ฐโฝ
3-2 for the weekend for MLS, model is dialed in and turning a positive result consistently now. Working on next week's games, let's keep the profit rolling! Follow along and make some money.
MLS card for this weekend โฝ๏ธ
CF Montrรฉal ML
Bet: +180 | Fair: +162
FC Dallas ML
Bet: +425 | Fair: +190
Austin FC ML
Bet: +150 | Fair: +136
Philadelphia ML
Bet: +300 | Fair: +206
LA Galaxy ML
Bet: +130 | Fair: +123
Model sees value across the board. Now we need results. ๐๐ฐ
Catching up from a busy week. We went 1-4 on the Wednesday slate, some of that was variance with xG on our side, but still some room to tighten the model. 5 more coming for MLS today!
Midweek MLS card is in โฝ๐
Charlotte ML +165
Cincinnati ML +320
LA Galaxy ML +360
New England ML +270
San Diego ML +250
Plenty of dog exposure, but the numbers say value. Letโs see if the board pays again. #MLS#SportsBetting
4/17
Sporting KC +2.5 +100 โ
4/18
Colorado ML +250 โ
Houston ML +150 โ
Nashville / Atlanta O 2.5 -110 โ
Minnesota / Portland O 2.5 -160 โ
4/19
San Jose ML +450 โ
Total (11-6). For $100 flat bettors, you'd be up $1472.34
Model results through 3 weeks:
4/4
Dallas +220โ
San Jose +130โ
Colorado +260โ
Nashville +210โ
Philly / Charlotte O 2.5 -125โ
4/11
San Jose -110 โ
LA Galaxy +160 โ
Nashville +190, +240 โ
Philly +160 โ
Orlando / Columbus U 3.5 -140 โ
Minnesota +320 โ
๐thread
@MLS Lot's of great games today! Very interested to see how Miami handles Mile High. I'm on Colorado ML +250, the model thinks this will be a tight game.
It's game-day for MLS! โฝ๏ธ
Starting this week 0-1, KC +2.5 came up short (U 4.5 was the correct play there).
Let's bounce back with some winners
Colorado +250
Houston +150
Nashville/Atlanta O2.5 (-110)
Minnesota/Portland O2.5 (-160)
San Jose +450
9-3 so far, let's add to it