Tennis Data App

Best Tennis Stats. Dig deep into stats and understand the numbers. Use our tools to improve your predictions.

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At some point it was very close, but the match went into the other direction

✅ Karolina Muchova Under 2.5 Double Faults (1.45)
❌ Karolina Muchova (ML) vs Linda Noskova (1.75)
❌ Karolina Muchova Over 2.5 Breaks (1.62)

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🎾 WTA Wimbledon Final

These props are based purely on statistics.

👉 Karolina Muchova (ML) vs Linda Noskova (1.75)
👉 Karolina Muchova Over 2.5 Breaks (1.62)
👉 Karolina Muchova Under 2.5 Double Faults (1.45)

What do you think?

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🎾 WTA Wimbledon Final

These props are based purely on statistics.

👉 Karolina Muchova (ML) vs Linda Noskova (1.75)
👉 Karolina Muchova Over 2.5 Breaks (1.62)
👉 Karolina Muchova Under 2.5 Double Faults (1.45)

What do you think?

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[Tennis Data App @tennisdataapp]

WTF was that performance from Kostyuk? She literally played only a couple of games at a decent level, yet somehow managed to return almost all of Noskova’s serves.

❌

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🎾 WTA Wimbledon - Player Props

These props are based purely on statistics.

👉 Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

• Noskova Over 3.5 aces (medium-high) (2.07)

Noskova WTA grass ace average: 6.8
WTA grass sample: 11 matches
Over 3.5 aces on WTA grass: 82%
Overall current-season over 3.5 aces: 84%
Over 4.5 aces also stays decent: 64% on grass, so 3.5 is not sitting right at the edge.

For Noskova over 3.5 aces, H2H is actually a small negative because she landed on 3, not 4. But I wouldn’t weigh it heavily.

The main risk is matchup-based: Kostyuk is a stronger returner than average, and if Kostyuk controls the match quickly, Noskova may lose service-game volume. But Noskova’s serve profile is strong enough that 4 aces is still a reasonable target even in a loss.

• Kostyuk Over 3.5 breaks (1.85)

Kostyuk averages 4.6 breaks on WTA grass and cleared 3.5 breaks in 100% of her 5 grass matches. Overall, she averages 4.7 breaks and cleared 3.5 in 85% of 33 matches.

This fits the matchup too. Kostyuk wins 48% of return points on grass, breaks in 43% of return games, and creates 10.6 break chances per match. Noskova is a strong server, so the line is not risk-free, but Kostyuk’s return profile gives this real support.

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✅ Muchova Under 2.5 Double Faults (medium-low) (1.57)
❌ Gauff Over 3.5 Aces (medium-high confidence) (1.82) (so close!)
❌ Gauff Over 3.5 Breaks (low confidence) (2.07) -> based purely on H2H confidence.

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🎾 WTA Wimbledon - Player Props

These props are based purely on statistics.

👉 Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff

• Gauff Over 3.5 Aces (medium-high confidence) (1.82)

Average of 6.2 on grass, 67% over rate, massive first‑serve speed boost makes this the cleanest prop edge.

• Muchova Under 2.5 Double Faults (medium-low) (1.57)

Average 1.9, 73% under rate; her serving mechanics and low pressure‑point exposure make this a medium-low confidence play.

• Gauff Over 3.5 Breaks (low confidence) (2.07) -> based purely on H2H confidence.

Average 4.3, over hit 67%; she generates plentiful break opportunities, and the match script likely gives her enough chances to clear the line. The H2H supports Gauff strongly: overall, Gauff has averaged 4.6 breaks per match against Muchova, while Muchova has faced 9.9 break points per match in their direct matchup sample.

What do you think?

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[Tennis Data App @tennisdataapp]

@KivKash good luck! it's statistically a coin flip at 50% (both over and under). But with Gauff and likely a longer match, the over looks more attractive, but 6.5 is kind of high.

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🎾 WTA Wimbledon - Player Props

These props are based purely on statistics.

👉 Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff

• Gauff Over 3.5 Aces (medium-high confidence) (1.82)

Average of 6.2 on grass, 67% over rate, massive first‑serve speed boost makes this the cleanest prop edge.

• Muchova Under 2.5 Double Faults (medium-low) (1.57)

Average 1.9, 73% under rate; her serving mechanics and low pressure‑point exposure make this a medium-low confidence play.

• Gauff Over 3.5 Breaks (low confidence) (2.07) -> based purely on H2H confidence.

Average 4.3, over hit 67%; she generates plentiful break opportunities, and the match script likely gives her enough chances to clear the line. The H2H supports Gauff strongly: overall, Gauff has averaged 4.6 breaks per match against Muchova, while Muchova has faced 9.9 break points per match in their direct matchup sample.

What do you think?

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🎾 WTA Wimbledon - Player Props

These props are based purely on statistics.

👉 Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

• Noskova Over 3.5 aces (medium-high) (2.07)

Noskova WTA grass ace average: 6.8
WTA grass sample: 11 matches
Over 3.5 aces on WTA grass: 82%
Overall current-season over 3.5 aces: 84%
Over 4.5 aces also stays decent: 64% on grass, so 3.5 is not sitting right at the edge.

For Noskova over 3.5 aces, H2H is actually a small negative because she landed on 3, not 4. But I wouldn’t weigh it heavily.

The main risk is matchup-based: Kostyuk is a stronger returner than average, and if Kostyuk controls the match quickly, Noskova may lose service-game volume. But Noskova’s serve profile is strong enough that 4 aces is still a reasonable target even in a loss.

• Kostyuk Over 3.5 breaks (1.85)

Kostyuk averages 4.6 breaks on WTA grass and cleared 3.5 breaks in 100% of her 5 grass matches. Overall, she averages 4.7 breaks and cleared 3.5 in 85% of 33 matches.

This fits the matchup too. Kostyuk wins 48% of return points on grass, breaks in 43% of return games, and creates 10.6 break chances per match. Noskova is a strong server, so the line is not risk-free, but Kostyuk’s return profile gives this real support.

What do you think?

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❌ Fritz Aces Over 19.5 (1.80) (close, but the match went in a slightly unexpected direction).
✅ Zverev Break Over 1.5 (1.75)

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

This is a very tempting spot for the aces over. The analysis for both players did not show strong confidence, but I still lean toward Fritz going over the 19.5 line.

- Fritz Aces Over 19.5 (1.80)

Zverev’s bo5 grass break data and matchup-specific bo5 grass H2H both support at least two breaks, especially if the match reaches 4+ sets.

- Zverev Break Over 1.5 (1.75)

What do you think?

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[Tennis Data App @tennisdataapp]

@KivKash this looks like a solid parlay

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

This is a very tempting spot for the aces over. The analysis for both players did not show strong confidence, but I still lean toward Fritz going over the 19.5 line.

- Fritz Aces Over 19.5 (1.80)

Zverev’s bo5 grass break data and matchup-specific bo5 grass H2H both support at least two breaks, especially if the match reaches 4+ sets.

- Zverev Break Over 1.5 (1.75)

What do you think?

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[Tennis Data App @tennisdataapp]

I know it's a longshot, but very tempting. There isn't statistical support for it, though.

With 4 or 5 sets this line should be cleared. I'm pretty confident there will be a fourth set, not sure about a fifth.

Fritz cleared over 20 aces in 3 sets, against Shelton and Bublik lately.

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Got lucky with this, tbh.
✅ Lehecka Aces Over 12.5 (moderate) (1.70)

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev

Lehecka Aces Over 12.5 (moderate) (1.70)

Lehecka’s grass ace profile is strong. He averages 13.9 aces per match on ATP grass overall, and in the BO5 ATP grass prop bucket he averages 16.0 aces across 3 matches. His BO5 grass hit rate over 12.5 is 67%, but that is only from a 3-match sample.

The matchup also helps. Zverev is not a weak returner overall, but on grass his return-games-won rate is only 15%, and this match should give Lehecka enough service games if he avoids a quick collapse.

The risk is match script. If Zverev wins quickly and Lehecka gets broken early in sets, the ace volume can fall short. Still, among the supplied props, this is the cleaner angle.

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@TenvyBets really poor performance from Bublik, even though I agree with Fritz winner

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Terrible performance from Bublik 😡

❌ Bublik Aces Over 19.5 (moderate) (1.80)

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik

Bublik Aces Over 19.5 (moderate) (1.80)

Bublik averages 19.4 aces on ATP grass overall, and his BO5 ATP grass average is 30.3, though the BO5 sample is only 3 matches.

The match script also helps if Sets Over 3.5 is correct. Bublik is likely to rely heavily on serve, and Fritz’s return profile is solid but not ace-suppressing enough to make this line unattractive.

The main warning is H2H: in the grass H2H sample, Bublik averaged only 5.5 aces, but those were not meaningful BO5 prop samples. The season BO5 grass ace profile is stronger than the H2H prop evidence.

What do you think?

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[Tennis Data App @tennisdataapp]

@TenvyBets good pick!

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev

Lehecka Aces Over 12.5 (moderate) (1.70)

Lehecka’s grass ace profile is strong. He averages 13.9 aces per match on ATP grass overall, and in the BO5 ATP grass prop bucket he averages 16.0 aces across 3 matches. His BO5 grass hit rate over 12.5 is 67%, but that is only from a 3-match sample.

The matchup also helps. Zverev is not a weak returner overall, but on grass his return-games-won rate is only 15%, and this match should give Lehecka enough service games if he avoids a quick collapse.

The risk is match script. If Zverev wins quickly and Lehecka gets broken early in sets, the ace volume can fall short. Still, among the supplied props, this is the cleaner angle.

[Tennis Data App @tennisdataapp]

🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik

Bublik Aces Over 19.5 (moderate) (1.80)

Bublik averages 19.4 aces on ATP grass overall, and his BO5 ATP grass average is 30.3, though the BO5 sample is only 3 matches.

The match script also helps if Sets Over 3.5 is correct. Bublik is likely to rely heavily on serve, and Fritz’s return profile is solid but not ace-suppressing enough to make this line unattractive.

The main warning is H2H: in the grass H2H sample, Bublik averaged only 5.5 aces, but those were not meaningful BO5 prop samples. The season BO5 grass ace profile is stronger than the H2H prop evidence.

What do you think?

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❌ Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego

Fritz Aces Over 17.5 (moderate) (1.85)

What do you think?

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✅ Bergs Aces Over 12.5 (moderate) (1.95)

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Fery

Bergs Aces Over 12.5 (moderate) (1.95)

What do you think?

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🎾 ATP Wimbledon - Player Props

👉 Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego

Fritz Aces Over 17.5 (moderate) (1.85)

What do you think?

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