When simulation becomes the norm, it weakens the human capacity for discernment. As a result, our social bonds close in upon themselves, forming self-referential circuits that no longer expose us to reality. We thus come to live within bubbles, impermeable to one another. Feeling threatened by anyone who is different, we grow unaccustomed to encounter and dialogue. In this way, polarization, conflict, fear and violence spread. What is at stake is not merely the risk of error, but a transformation in our very relationship with truth.
Within digital environments — structured to persuade — interaction is optimized to the point of rendering a real encounter superfluous; the otherness of persons in the flesh is neutralized, and relationships are reduced to functional responses. Dear friends, you, however, are real persons! Creation itself has a body, a breath, a life to be listened to and safeguarded.
"Agentic AI and the Next Intelligence Explosion" is a new paper just out in Science I co-authored with @blaiseaguera and @profjamesevans as part of Google's Paradigms of Intelligence research group.
"For decades, the artificial intelligence (AI) “singularity” has been heralded as a single, titanic mind bootstrapping itself to godlike intelligence, consolidating all cognition into a cold silicon point. But this vision is almost certainly wrong in its most fundamental assumption. If AI development follows the path of previous major evolutionary transitions or “intelligence explosions,” our current step-change in computational intelligence will be plural, social, and deeply entangled with its forebears (us!)."
It builds on my talk "The Singularity Will Not Be Singular" that I gave at @PrimeIntellect day last week.
https://t.co/S7JadVAYLG
By 2045, Kurzweil’s “Singularity” won’t just be a metaphor, it’ll be the operating system of civilization.
On the AI side, the trendlines are undeniable: models are rapidly leaping from solving problems in minutes to problems that would take humans centuries. By mid-century, AIs will be tackling tasks that would otherwise take millions of years of human effort. That’s not hype, that’s what the scaling laws and benchmarks already project.
On the robotics side, the Bank of America forecast shows humanoid robots reaching into the billions by 2060, with mass household, service, and industrial adoption. By the 2040s, we’ll have enough robots to fully automate the supply chain, factories, and every repetitive or dangerous job. The “hands” of civilization will be robotic, and the “mind” will be superintelligent AI.
That convergence is the singularity. A world where labor is optional, scarcity is engineered out of existence, and problems that haunted humanity for millennia, from climate to disease are solved in decades.
Kurzweil said it would arrive around 2045. The data now makes it hard to disagree.
This isn’t science fiction anymore. It’s the trajectory we’re on.