@RufusPeabody@jeffma Curious if you think sportsbooks themselves are good investments going forward? On one hand, selling a somewhat commoditized product and faces risk if the exchange model ever becomes more common. On the other hand, seems like long runway for growth with more states legalizing.
@RufusPeabody@BetTheProcess@jeffma With sports betting becoming more mainstream, do you think that eventually commonly cited historical plus EV plays (home dogs, prop unders) will become so well known that there will be value taking the over side?
@jeffma@RufusPeabody@BetTheProcess If given enough historical data, do you think you could reverse engineer the model that an originating book uses to generate their opening line? Any value in doing this?
@RufusPeabody Do you need a good narrative for why a line is inefficient in order to bet it or is simply having a sufficient delta vs your model enough?
📢 $KUJI Staker Campaign 1 💸
We've put together a super simple guide for bidding & liquidations. Time to go back to basics.
Here is the campaign page https://t.co/ePIxNoLIRZ.
‼️ Stakers need to push the button on the campaign page to qualify (up in ~ 15 mins) 🔁
🧵 1/8
@RufusPeabody@BetTheProcess When betting futures are you more often long volatility (long dogs) or short volatility (long favorites)? What are the conditions of a sport/event that would make it more profitable to be long vol?
@DaveMasonBOL Why has BetOnline cancelled NBA season win total bets that are guaranteed winners (such as Thunder over 32.5 wins)? Other books have paid out over/unders where the outcome is not in doubt
@astraffon Given that all the biggest decliners are highly levered, would be interesting to compare change in Enterprise Value vs just change in stock price
Following Nick Martin’s contract extension with the Houston Texans this week, Notre Dame’s starting offensive line in 2015 surpassed $100,000,000 in contract values for their NFL careers.
One. Hundred. Million. Dollars.