#USD#DXY#currencies
The DXY made the low today exactly at the 2024 A/D. A decisive move above the June High, or more importantly, a consolidation above that high followed by a decisive move away, will most likely trigger one of the most disruptive moves of the year.
The $XLY contracts we found on the @unusual_whales flow feed yesterday are still moving up slowly. Contracts have moved from .62 to a high of .78 today.
Contracts up roughly 25% right now.
$LYB likely formed 40W cycle low
-Recovered 200 DMA, as long as above it, remain bullish
-Needs to clear 50 DMA (63-64) to create further upside projection of ~73
-Want to see diagonal resistance broken; looking for new 40W cycle to take us into early Oct.
-Main idea remains that chemicals like formed 4Y cycle low at the end of 2025
-Other chems similar $DOW $HUN $KRO $CE $OLN (Cont...)
Andean Precious Metals $APM.TO
Bought today up 6.7% and on the verge of breaking out of the wedge 🔥
Andean Precious Metals currently trades at a trailing P/E ratio of only around 4.2 and an EV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 2.6×, despite generating strong profits, substantial free cash flow and holding more than US$200 million in liquid assets. The company is therefore one of the cheapest profitable precious-metals producers on current earnings 🧐
https://t.co/zNtWvj3NaK
One of the @unusual_whales tools I probably use the most as a starting point is Market Map.
I like it because instead of staring at rows of data, you can quickly see what names are standing out visually.
In this video, you’ll learn:
• How I use Market Map to find names worth researching
• How I look at unusual volume and premium
• Why net premium matters
• How I connect the map back to flow and open interest
It is not about chasing every bubble that pops up.
It is about finding names worth digging into.
Watch here:
https://t.co/u6cUmFbCLt
If you’ve always wanted to try @unusual_whales, you can save 10% on your annual or monthly subscription with the link below:
https://t.co/xNtvfoxDAN
$BTC – What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
Everyone and I mean literally everyone I personally know has told me over the last three or four weeks, and especially over the last two weeks, that they want to buy in September or October. That alone is already very dangerous. When you ask them why, they all give the same answer: “Because of the four-year cycle.” And I honestly ask myself how long some of these people have even been in the market. The four-year cycle also worked almost perfectly at the top, but nobody talked about it then. That is the difference. At $120,000, nobody wanted to talk about the four-year cycle. In fact, people hated it. They said, “It does not exist. It does not exist,” because they were greedy and wanted prices to keep going higher.
Now the same people are greedy again, just in the opposite direction. They believe the market is going to serve them the exact bottom on a silver platter. “Here is the bottom. It will come around September or October. The exact price will be this or that.” That is genuinely what people believe. The problem is not the four-year cycle itself. The problem is the number of people who believe in the exact same outcome. The more people believe it, the less realistic it becomes. I honestly believe we will not see this traditional four-year-cycle bottom
The next question is: what do we actually see instead?
At the moment, I do not even see Bitcoin going below $50,000. There is an extreme amount of liquidity around $54,000, and that cannot be ignored. You have to keep that level in mind. From the current price down to $54,000 is around 15%. From a risk-reward perspective, even if we assume the worst-case scenario is a move into the $54,000 region, buying now and facing 15% downside is not much. It is nothing compared with the people who always and stupidly bought at $70,000, $80,000 or $90,000, and those who never understood the right moment to enter the market, and anyway, those people will always buy, and we cant count them among those who bought the bottom.
That is why it makes sense to begin accumulating now, step by step. Not all in. That is very important. I do not suddenly FOMO in and deploy everything. No. This will still take some time. I also believe the real move higher is not starting immediately. But there is one more thing people should not forget. They say the four-year cycle should end around October. Fine. Then let me ask you a counterquestion:
BlackRock, the New York Stock Exchange, the S&P, Nasdaq and the other major institutions are all involved in the DTCC, the new financial market infrastructure, and they want to move forward with the tokenization of stocks. BlackRock wants to launch the new platform in October. What does that mean?
It means investors WILL trade stocks 24 hours a day. That is enormous, and the market still has not fully understood it. Tokenization has mostly been treated like a beta phase until now. Platforms such as Hyperliquid and similar markets were effectively test environments. They wanted to see how much demand there was, how users would react and whether the infrastructure worked. The users had to be tested. The technology had to be tested. The market had to be tested. And it worked extremely well. Now it has been announced that this is expected to move forward in October. At the same time, there are rumors that the Clarity Act could pass in August. That would be enormous news.
If it passes, there is regulatory clarity. Institutions can enter the crypto market much more easily. I do not necessarily believe they will suddenly start buying the entire crypto market at scale, but I do believe they will move aggressively into tokenization, which could follow one or two months later. So lets return to my question:
Who benefits from tokenization?
First of all, the entire crypto market benefits. Even if institutions do not directly buy every cryptocurrency in large size, the narrative becomes bullish for crypto and Blockchain. The market starts to see blockchain as legitimate, institutional and part of the future financial system.
Then you will see prices move strongly in my opinion. I expect we will see BlackRock announcing partnerships, BlackRock doing something with Bitcoin, Trump making new statements, and suddenly the entire narrative becomes extremely bullish because everything fits together. Do you really believe BlackRock will aggressively push tokenization forward in October while, at the exact same time, the crypto market crashes, fear dominates and nobody wants anything to do with crypto? Do you think that ? I do not.
I believe we will see FOMO in October. I believe we will see large candles and strong momentum in the market. It may not necessarily be the same type of retail FOMO we have seen before, but there will be growing confidence and acceptance, while major bullish news enters the market at the same time. And this will be the time where the retails are sitting and doing what ? Exactly, these people will wait for their four years cycle! Let them wait for their cycle, because the market will front run that! In my opinion, that will create an extremely powerful bullish narrative.
That is why the fact that everyone now believes in the four-year-cycle bottom is a warning sign to me. It tells me the crowd may once again be completely wrong. I especially believe that many people sitting with buy orders below $50,000 will never get filled. That is why I am starting to accumulate now. I hope we still take the liquidity around $54,000, because that would give an even better entry. I have my orders ready, and I will continue buying gradually every day.
The Exact Strategy: How I Am Buying, How Much I Am Deploying, and the BTC–ETH Ratio
Watching this chart closely. In my opinion, once Bitcoin reclaims and flips the green line on the weekly timeframe, the end of the bear market will be confirmed. This would not be a standalone signal. It would align with several other indicators I am monitoring, some of which I have already disclosed inside Premium, together with multiple technical, psychological and fundamental factors I am currently considering. Bitcoin has already reclaimed the weekly MA200. The next major step is to reclaim this green line and hold above it on the weekly close. Once that happens, my next major target becomes $80,000. For now, however, Bitcoin has faced a rejection at this level, while a large amount of liquidity remains around $54,000. That is why my strategy is structured around two completely separate buckets of capital. It is important to understand that I am not mixing these funds.
The first bucket consists entirely of realized profits from the Bitcoin short opened around $120,000 and the more than 100 altcoin shorts I held for approximately nine months. I deployed that entire bucket yesterday and bought Bitcoin at around $64,000. In other words, I converted the profits made during the bear market directly into a long-term Bitcoin position fully.
The second bucket is completely separate. This is capital that was never used in the short positions and remained on the sidelines. I am now deploying this cash gradually. My plan is to invest this second bucket on every day Bitcoin trades between $54,000 and $64,000. Five percent multiplied by 20 purchases equals 100%, meaning the entire amount would be deployed if Bitcoin remains inside this accumulation zone for approximately 20 buying days.
If Bitcoin trades at $64,000, I buy. If it trades at $60,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it reaches $54,000, I continue buying at a better price. However, if Bitcoin moves above $64,000, I stop adding the daily 5%. I will not chase the market outside the accumulation zone. After approximately one month, the objective is to hold one large Bitcoin position purchased at around $64,000 using the realized short profits, together with a second position accumulated gradually through disciplined daily purchases. Depending on how deeply Bitcoin trades inside the range, I expect my combined average entry to settle somewhere around the $60,000 region.
From a risk-to-reward perspective, I personally consider my average Bitcoin entry around $60,000 to be phenomenal for the long term. That level is below the previous 2021 all-time-high region, and thats an exceptional position. At the same time, I am following a fixed BTC-to-ETH allocation. For every four dollars I invest in Bitcoin, I invest one dollar in Ethereum. That means for every $100,000 deployed into BTC, I allocate $25,000 to ETH.
Bitcoin remains the dominant position, while Ethereum receives an allocation equal to 25% of every Bitcoin purchase. Ethereum is a separate topic that deserves its own full report, because I am extremely bullish on ETH for the next major market expansion. So the strategy is clear: one bucket of realized short profits has already been fully deployed into Bitcoin at approximately $64,000. The second bucket is being deployed gradually through daily 5% purchases whenever Bitcoin trades between $54,000 and $64,000. For every four dollars invested in BTC, one dollar is invested in ETH.
That is the strategy, my accumulation just started
Join Premium and you will not miss out on what exactly I am buying, what I plan to build, where I place potential long orders and other of my trading targets: https://t.co/oP8wCPuO9J
THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE BUT EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY
A billionaire trader has spent 40 years trying to delete a one-hour documentary. It shows him making $100 million in a single afternoon. He predicted the crash that made it possible three months in advance. He has never explained why he wants the film gone. His name is Paul Tudor Jones. The film is on YouTube.
The documentary is called "Trader." PBS filmed it in 1987, three months before Black Monday. Jones was 32 years old, working from a small New York office, wearing shorts and a t-shirt, yelling at his phones, throwing paper across the room, and sleeping under his desk. The film captures him and his research partner Peter Borish overlaying a chart of the 1929 market on 1987, month by month. The two charts tracked within one percent. Borish said this is exactly what happened in 1929. Jones said if the analog holds, October is when it breaks.
On October 19, 1987, the Dow fell 22.6 percent in a single day. It remains the largest one-day percentage loss in stock market history. That afternoon, Tudor Jones covered his shorts and made roughly $100 million. He was 33 years old. He was one of the very few traders on the street who came out ahead.
He tried to bury the tape because it made him look reckless in a professional world that punished swagger. Twenty years of legal effort did not delete it. Someone kept a copy. It is on YouTube. It has fewer views than most makeup tutorials.
The film is not really about a crash. It is about a specific philosophy of trading. Jones is shown building conviction slowly, sizing carefully, then striking hard when the setup arrives. He is never once shown making a random bet. He is shown doing the same thing five times a day, every day, for three months.
His signature line, repeated across a 45-year career:
"The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense."
He does not try to be right. He tries not to lose. He sets stops tight, cuts positions fast, and never averages down on a loser. Every trade in the film follows this template.
Tudor Investment Corp, the fund he founded in 1980, has compounded at roughly 19 percent a year for 45 years. He is 71 years old and still trading. His method has not changed since the film.
The lesson: greatness in markets is a refusal, not a talent. Refusal to be reckless. Refusal to be certain. Refusal to average down. Refusal to trust yourself in a drawdown. Tudor Jones has refused those refusals for 45 years.
The tape is free. The philosophy is repeated in every trade. Most traders will never watch it.
$BTC: Report of the Century:
Today I am making one of the biggest announcements since I sold the top in September 2025. I am taking profit on every single crypto short. The Bitcoin short built between $115,000 and $125,000 is closed now with a gigantic gain. The $80,500 short, built between $79,000 and $82,000, is closed with another massive profit. The 100+ altcoin shorts I opened over the last several months are also closed, locking in another enormous win on top. The time of drinking tea is over. Congratulations to everyone who ignored the noise, trusted the framework and followed me from September 2025 until today.
Buying Bitcoin Spot:
For the first time since September 2025, I am buying Bitcoin spot again. Today, I entered at $64,000 for the absolute long term. For the first time since 9 Months I am buying Bitcoin for the long term! It is the beginning of a structured accumulation strategy, and I will execute it with the same discipline that allowed me to sell the top.
The Accumulation Strategy
Everyone who followed my strategy at $115,000–$125,000 remembers exactly how it worked. Every day Bitcoin traded inside that zone, I sold 10% of my spot position and added shorts. I did not care whether BTC was at $116,000, $120,000 or $124,000. Now I am doing the exact same thing in reverse. Every day Bitcoin remains between $54,000 and $64,000, I will buy 5% of my allocated capital in spot Bitcoin. Not 10% this time, but 5%, because I want to spread the accumulation across a wider period! If Bitcoin stays at $62,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it drops to $56,000, I buy. If it wicks into $54,000, I become more aggressive. If it returns to $64,000, I still buy. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this zone of 54-64k I am buying every day with 5% of my entire capital limited to 20 days.
The Technical Zone and Sentiment Shift
The legendary weekly MA200 sits in this region and is now being tested from below. Bitcoin already reached the lower section of this area last week. The top of the 2024 consolidation box also aligns with it. More importantly, sentiment has completely flipped. And I need to say, there are more bears, much more bears than bulls outside, and I dislike being one of many. The same people who were screaming for $150,000 at the top are now desperately waiting for $40,000. X is flooded with targets of $50,000, $45,000, $42,000 and $38,000. Retail is once again standing on one side of the boat, convinced the market owes them the perfect entry.
Front-Running the Herd
Since I announced the 50-40k region as my deeper bear-market target, most of crypto X has copied the same narrative. They copied everything, The market is not blind. The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below $50,000. They know people are terrified to buy at $64,000 because they have convinced themselves they will receive Bitcoin at $40,000. I am not going to stand behind the herd and beg the market for the same price as everyone else. I am front-running them. And the next that is following is also going to increase the price and so on, and the chain will be continued and those who are waiting for lower can stay there waiting forever.
Just because the four-year cycle worked at the top does not mean it will work at the bottom. Right now, everyone is waiting for September or October as if the market has already programmed the bottom into the calendar. Do you understand how insane that is? Ask anyone when they plan to buy and they will tell you September or October. Ask them why and they will repeat the same answer: because of the four-year cycle. That is the 1+1 herd behavior. What if the real cycle is not exactly four years? What if it is three years and nine or ten months? What if the market bottoms before the date the entire crowd is waiting for? Bulls are waiting, bears are waiting, and everyone is using the same indicator to justify the same timing. That alone shold cause panic to all waiting for the 4 years cycle to happen. Markets do not reward the masses for memorizing a calendar. I am betting against the four-year-cycle bottom. It is not happening. The bottom comes earlier.
The Structural Shift Around Bitcoin
The deeper reason for the change is not technical. It is structural. The environment around Bitcoin is shifting at a speed most people still do not understand. Regulatory clarity, tokenization infrastructure and institutional adoption are all moving forward at the same time, and the legal framework being built right now has the potential to unlock trillions of dollars of institutional capital that has been sitting on the sidelines or parked in the stock market waiting for certainty. Combine that with Coinbase's institutional buildout and BlackRock's fully operational ETF ecosystem, and we are no longer looking at the same Bitcoin market that existed six months ago. The CLARITY Act could go through on August 10 depending on the Senate, and that is not a small event. There is a reason the entire world is now racing to regulate crypto with full speed.
BlackRock, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange are already inside the DTCC live tokenization pilot. Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ and US Treasuries are being tested as tokenized securities right now, with the official launch planned for October. Stocks, ETFs and Treasuries are moving on-chain, and the largest institutions in the world are adopting blockchain rails while retail is still debating whether the bear market is over. On top of that, Citadel just invested $400 million directly into https://t.co/R0aEy9w9Rx at a $20 billion valuation. The biggest players are deploying capital now, at scale, before the crowd understands what is happening. The infrastructure is being built directly in front of everyone, and I move my capital when the biggest capital in the world starts moving, not after
In Regards of the Stock Market Crash:
I am keeping every single SP500 short open. Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are not at the same point in their cycle. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and continued for nine months while the stock market refused to fall. Bitcoin dropped 52% from 125k to 60k. In the same window the SP500 made new all-time highs. Crypto has already been repriced while stocks remain over valued. Therefore there is a very high probability that the Crypto Market will benefit from a Stock Market crash, as profits will move from over valued assets into under valued assets, and in times of Tokenization Hype, Stablecoin talk and the Clarity Act, these funds will very likely move into the Crypto Market.
One More Thing: I called 40-50k as the target and I was clear about it, I called 60k when Bitcoin was at 120k, and at 60k I said 40-50k is coming, But when the entire crowd on X starts waiting for the exact same level, the market almost never delivers it. Six months ago nobody was calling for sub-50k. Today every single account is. That is exactly when the target gets taken off the table. I now believe we will not see 40-50k at all this cycle. The setup that would have delivered that level is dissolving in front of the tokenization revolution, the CLARITY Act, and the biggest capital in the world moving in. Changing my view when the facts change is what a good trader should do. It is exactly why I made massive profits shorting from 120k, and it is why I am accumulating now while others are still waiting for a bottom that will not come the way they want it.
That is why I am buying now. The crowd has become aggressively bearish and the conditions required for a much deeper collapse are beginning to weaken in front of the regulatory and tokenization revolution. I would rather begin building a position before the crowd understands the shift than chase Bitcoin after confirmation at much higher prices. Buy earlier before the mass starts to understand.
#BTC has continued higher into day 40, but remains below the day 10 high. In addition to the hidden bearish divergence noted last week, there is now regular bearish divergence.
Expected path is lower into August for a DCL where we may see an ICL and 4YCL. But Q4 for the major bottom remains most likely.
$BTC: After ten months of constantly warning Saylor to realize gains, Saylor finally admits that Strategy needs to sell their Bitcoin! Not at 120k, not at 100k, not at 80k, no he decided to do this at 60k, calling it the "Monetization Program."
Now watch this: Saylor dumping BTC to protect his stock and pay out the dividends. And watch what happens when the market forces him to sell lower and lower, as the market forced him to sell! The panic will hit bigger once people realize the amount of BTC he has to sell to protect his USD reserve of 1.25bn, the dividend payments, and the re-purchase of MSTR stock.
This happens after months of predictions, and the timing couldnt be better, its happening right where I am expecting a large capitulation event to happen. Guess what I believe will lead to this event ? Good luck everyone.
This video is a longer live education session on how I use Mr. Whale inside @unusual_whales to work through market data faster.
I like this one because it shows the tool in a practical way.
Not just “AI is cool,” but how it can help organize the research process.
We go through:
• Finding high volume contracts
• Filtering out weaker flow
• Reviewing Market Tide
• Building charts and tables
• Comparing tickers
• Organizing flow data faster
• Using AI to ask better market questions
The important part is that Mr. Whale should not replace learning how to read flow.
It should help you move through the platform faster, organize the data better, and ask better follow-up questions.
Watch here:
https://t.co/AI2zJhDimJ
If you want to try the same @unusual_whales tools used in this video, you can save 10% on the annual or monthly subscription here:
https://t.co/xNtvfoxDAN
#silver#preciousmetals#cycles 🧵
🔹When silver was trading at $35, I warned about the VERTICAL MOVE. That was my first call since I joined Twitter that silver would go vertically. We disregarded all the historical high RSI readings. Silver rallied 240%.
🔹In January, we were mindful that a CORRECTION was coming. Our KEY DATE (Jan 22-26) captured exactly the top (see chart). The sharp drop confirmed the shift in price action.
🔹In February, we stated that NO BOTTOM was confirmed. We identified $95.56 (spot) as the LINE IS THE SAND (before the fact). We remained disciplined while the PM complex was screaming higher prices. We noted that if $68-$72 breaks, $54 is the major BUYING POINT.
🔹The [price range] of the key date provided strong resistance. Silver ranged below that area (see price action from Feb-May). Another warning for lower prices.
🔹In December, as silver was rallying, well before these numbers were written anywhere, we highlighted the importance of $72 and identified the $64-$67 area as SUPPORT. The chart speaks for itself👁️.
🔹In late February, I drew your attention to the Feb 17 low. Gold was rejected exactly at the Feb-17 low. Moreover, that high came exactly on April 17 (our 2nd key date).
🔹In March, we warned about the bearish FRACTAL that was forming (see linked tweet) that could trigger a drop to $54. Silver was $82 (Mar 5) when we made the original post. So far, it dropped to $60.
🔹 On May 15, we clarified that there was NO PATTERN of higher-highs/higher-lows in silver. We concluded that the correction/consolidation was not over and that a retest of the $ 3800s (gold) and $54 (silver) was still on the table.
🔹 Next key date: 29 June - 6 July
🌀ANALYSIS
Price has been declining as expected. Silver is trading at the $64-$67 support. In terms of TIME, we are also heading into our next turning point. Most likely, a significant low is approaching.
$47-$54👁️
$54 is the major area to watch. We have been targeting this area for many weeks now. However, given that many accounts that joined the rally after the summer breakout and bought every bounce will go in the RED if silver tests the above level, it would not be unusual for the price to decline lower to the $45 area.
PSYCHOLOGY
The EGO wants to be 'right' and buy the exact low. Resist the urge and let the market prove itself. Understand that everything is possible, and even this kind of setup can turn into a loss.
Good luck to all who have read this market well and have been PATIENT.
This video is a walkthrough of Mr. Whale, the AI tool inside @unusual_whales.
If you are still learning the platform, this is a good one because it shows how AI can help explain the data and point you toward what to look at next.
I cover:
• Finding options flow
• Breaking down ticker activity
• Reviewing Market Tide
• Using better prompts
• Looking at Periscope and gamma screenshots
• Finding earnings and implied move data
• Using AI as a learning assistant
The point of the video is not to blindly ask AI what to trade.
It is to use Mr. Whale as a way to understand the platform better, organize your research, and learn how different pieces of market data connect.
Watch here:
https://t.co/sBwlnEPgoP
If you want to follow along with the same @unusual_whales tools, you can save 10% on the annual or monthly subscription here:
https://t.co/xNtvfoxDAN
New @unusual_whales Flow Recap is live 🐋
This video breaks down real flow alerts from 6/12–6/18 and walks through how each setup performed after the alert hit.
This was a quieter, shorter trading week, but there were still some really solid examples of how to read the structure behind the flow.
Covered in this recap:
🟢 $MRVL 160p SELL — 100% premium collected
🟢 $TSLA 240p SELL — 100% premium collected
🟢 $RIOT 28c — +30.34%
🔴 $TGT 139c — great risk management example
🟢 $GEO 29c — +54.81%
⚪ $ALT 8c — still developing / break even
The biggest lesson in this video is that ask-side flow does not always mean a clean buy.
Sometimes the better read comes from looking at:
• strike
• expiration
• delta
• theta
• IV movement
• volume vs open interest
• how far OTM the contract is
• whether the setup makes more sense as premium selling
That is why I use @unusual_whales daily.
The data gives you the flow, but the edge comes from learning how to read the contract structure behind it.
Watch here:
https://t.co/xmPnJ7osXS
Save 10% on your @unusual_whales annual or monthly subscription using my link below:
https://t.co/xNtvfoxDAN
#GOLD update. Price action starting to confirm the view previously shared - we are likely to break the March pivot low. The main targets are outlined on chart. I will seriously entertain ~2950. Silver lining - a buying opportunity awaits - patience.
$XAUUSD $XAU $GLD $GDX