The Capital Allocator

Has Left this Plattform

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

@apsk32 So you’re basically giving up on the Bitcoin Power Law?

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

Farewell, Twitter

[Vincent Deluard @VincentDeluard]

The bull / bear debate ultimately boils down to the chart below: do you believe in rising EPS margins (red line), or falling FCF margins (blue line)?

The reality is probably in between, but I lean bearish because the market is pricing permanently higher profit margins

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

@inside_ffm Erstaunlich, dass die Mannschaft von weiten Teilen der Fan-Szene sehr lange überschätzt wurde. Spätestens seit dem 0-3 gegen Bergamo war klar, dass es vor allem an einem fehlt: QUALITÄT

[Wasteland Capital @ecommerceshares]

I don’t actually think most investors realise how much AI usage is exploding. It’s starting to hit that early exponential part of the curve.

Every top model has been massively nerfed compared to a month ago simply because there’s just not enough compute for all the new demand.

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

https://t.co/L3f3sckcFf

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

Most investors overpay for quality.

Great companies.
Strong brands.
High margins.

But price matters.

My Wide Moat + High FCF Yield strategy focuses on:

• durable businesses
• strong cash flow
• disciplined valuation

I explained the framework here:

[Coco Gauff @CocoGauff]

deleted twitter for a month, came back today, and got instantly reminded why I should not be on here lol :/

[Marc-André Fongern @Fongern_FX]

Worse than expected! $5.4bn in redemption requests. Blue Owl caps withdrawals at 5%. KKR, Apollo, BlackRock, Ares: same script. 41% of Blue Owl's tech fund wants out. They're getting 5%. 2008 vibes, but on steroids.

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

@TheShortBear @fcfinvest Why do you compare growth rates of Emerging Market Countries with Developed market countries like Germany and France?

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

https://t.co/jAUShiPeeG

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

Most investors think in asset classes.

Stocks. Bonds. Commodities.

I don’t.

My cross-asset model allocates across 20 markets based on:

• Value (vs history)
• Momentum

The better the trend and the cheaper the asset, the higher the allocation.

I explained it here:

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

Most investors separate quality, value and momentum.

I combine them.

My Wide Moat + Momentum strategy selects 30 stocks based on:

• ROIC
• EBIT / EV
• 6 & 12m momentum

Avg ROIC: 40.5%
Reviewed monthly.

I explained the framework here:

https://t.co/jBwGsxc5y1

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

$META with another ugly day: -7.96%.
Printed another lower low — downtrend remains intact.

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

@nikitabier @Noahpinion Why should I even open the internet?

[Thomas Thornton @TommyThornton]

$GLD down 19%, $GDX down 31%, $SLV down 44%, $SIL down 33%, $BTC down 44% off highs. Lots of trapped longs up there. Just remember those who were telling you to buy up there.

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

Surprisingly, Bitcoin has performed well since the war began suggesting most large sellers have already sold. Furthermore, an asset that doesn’t fall on bad news is potentially a long-term buy.

[The Capital Allocator @theallocator_]

Sold half of my $LRCX position (+130%) and rotated into $SCCO.

$SCCO:
• ROIC: 25.2%
• Earnings Yield: 5.8%
• Strong 6–12M momentum

Quality + value + trend.

Not financial advice.