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US INFLATION COMES IN HOTTER THAN EXPECTED IN OCTOBER
US headline CPI rose 0.4% in October, above the 0.3% forecast, while core CPI increased 0.3% versus 0.2% expected.
Food prices jumped 0.5%, energy rose 0.7%, and gasoline climbed 1.0%.
Housing costs increased 0.3%, while real earnings for private-sector workers were unchanged.
The hotter-than-expected inflation report strengthens the case for further Fed rate hikes.
Unusual call options activity of the day is in $HONA Over 30,500 calls have traded to just 270 puts
with 20,000 of these contacts in the $HONA 6/17/2027 $200 calls for $7.90
I truly hope Warsh and the Fed understand when hedge funds start blowing up that will cause liquidity issues and the last thing you want to do is make the markets more illiquid by hiking rates.
After the red hot jobs data this morning the prediction markets now show an almost 80% chance of a rate hike for December. Great so the Fed is going to hike after a 14% drawdown in the $QQQ
I still would be careful today as the VIX did not have a blow off top yesterday , again the #1 way Iโve found that a bottom is in is when the VIX has a blow off top
So allegedly the job market and therefore the economy is booming but we just had a a 14% drawdown in the $QQQ This points to hedge funds blowing up and therfore forced selling imo
This week will likely mark the top of Large Cap Outperformance over Small Caps. Small Caps have little institutional ownership and theyโve been lagging Large Caps for years. Huge market moves tend to change leadership and I think Small Caps and Value will now lead for years.