Bitcoin dumps on golden crosses are normal.
What is more telling is the bounce after the golden cross dump is over.
In 2019/2023, Bitcoin dumped into the golden cross then put in a higher high, thus confirming the end of the bear market.
In 2014/2015, Bitcoin dumped into the golden cross, then put in a lower high, and the bear market continued.
A higher high (if achieved) would likely correspond to a weekly close above the 50W SMA (which is a good predictor of the bear market being over).
A lower high (rejected at the 50W) would be a sign that the Q4 low occurs right on schedule.
To summarize:
The dump BTC is experiencing right now has happened previously in bear markets and in the beginning of bull markets. The thing to watch for whether the low is behind us is after this dump is over, does Bitcoin print a higher high (and go above the 50W) or a lower high (rejected again).
Once that data point arrives, it would likely be the nail in the coffin for either the bull or the bear case.
Jensen Huang, the founder and CEO of Nvidia, the largest company in the world, discussing and being bullish on Bittensor
But nearly everyone in crypto is still sleeping on the potential of $TAO
The next Bitcoin halving is in 585 days.
Historically this strategy always worked:
Buy $BTC 500 days before the halving.
Sell $BTC 500 days after the halving.
$BTC SMA multiple is flashing dark blue for the first time since 2022
Historically, every move into the dark blue zone has marked major long-term buying areas
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